ADE has occurred

A threshold has been crossed that makes ADE the most serious threat facing the UK, if not the world, since at least WWII.

Because there is now evidence that ADE can occur as a result of the covid jab. This changes the risk from “theoretical” to “reality”, but there is also possible good news, as it is still possible that the impact will be low.

“Laboratory findings are theoretical. But it is worrying when you see it in real life. Only a fraction of those who had COVID-19, then got vaccinated and had a breakthrough infection had a decreased antibody response. (4/20 or 20%).” (link)

If severity of this concern were on a scale of 1 (no concern) to 5 (certainty of large scale death) I would say, given that the jab is not reducing infections and has seen twice the expected rate of deaths from the Indian variant, that the level of warning has just gone up from 2 to 3. It is not inevitable we will see large scale deaths or serious illness, but ADE from the covid jab is now a reality and not just a theoretical possibility.

The next questions are: “will it cause deaths or serious illness”, “will it cause large scale deaths or serious illness”, and “is there any cure or effective treatment”.

Posted in ADE | Comments Off on ADE has occurred

Peak Sheeple

The number of people who have gullibly gone along with the covid scam is astonishing. But even their gullibility is being strained by the lack of any benefit from the jabs as Big Pharma now roll out their latest money making scam of yearly boosters for a jab that doesn’t work.

What do I mean by “doesn’t work”. According the the 2019 definition of a vaccine … it produced immunity which stops people getting infected. By that definition, the jab has utterly failed as those over 30 are (slightly) more likely to test positive for covid.

Likewise, the death rate is also not on the jabs favour. The Indian variant in India showed 5% of the deaths per head of population compared to the UK variants in the UK. So, we would expect that without a jab, the Indian variant being so benign, would have around 5% of the deaths of the previous variants. What has been the result since we got both the jab and the Indian variant? The death rate is now 10% of what is was before the jab … or double what we would expect if we only had the Indian variant.

And that failure to reduce deaths was clearly visible in the Spring when those age groups who had got the jab showed no reduction in excess deaths compared to other age groups. Nor did they finish the epidemic earlier “due to” the jab.

I grant that we might expect undercounting of deaths in India, but even so, a doubling of the death rate in the UK is not evidence of success. However, it would be difficult to say it proves the jab is increasing covid deaths. On balance the null hypothesis (no significant effect) wins.

However, the “null hypothesis” of no effect is what we can say of the supposed benefit of the jab. But, when we start accounting for all the deaths and injuries already caused by the jab … and then factor in the unknown quantity of the number of deaths and long term illness caused by the jab, it becomes a no brainer that the jab was an appalling thing, for almost all people (I might be convinced of a benefit for those who had serious conditions which made them particularly vulnerable to covid, and who had a very short life-expectancy).

Now, I grant that the above needs a bit of knowledge and research … especially when the media still lie about the “effectiveness” of the jab. But people were let to believe by the UK government vile psyops nudge unit, that the jab would be the end of the abuses of human rights and lead to a prompt return to normal.

It does not take any maths to know that was a blatant lie.

Likewise the lockup. A leaked memo revealed that the UK governments own estimate of the “success” of the lockup was that it reduced deaths by 5%. If we assume 120,000 deaths that is 6000 lives “saved”. The cost of the lockup was, according to UK government, in excess of £300billion. That makes the cost per life £50million. But with an average age of death of 83 (higher than normal) and with almost all having multiple conditions the best we figure we could use of their life expectancy is 10 years (but that is very high as in reality it could be less than a year). So, the average cost per year of life “saved” was £5million. Which is  200x the maximum permitable cost of treatment in the NHS. Or to put it another way, for each year of covid life “saved”, we could have saved more than 200 years of life simply by having no lockup and putting the money into the NHS. Or to put it another way, if we had put a mere £1.5billion into the NHS and no lockup, we would have saved more lives (note we are now having to put in far more than that 1.5billion into the NHS to clear up the mess from the lockup)

And this appalling cost of the lockup … is before we start to factor in all the deaths caused by lockup. And when even lack of cancer treatment is predicted to cause 30,000 deaths, it is not difficult to see the death rate from the lockup far exceeds any suggested “saving”.

Peak Sheeple

if the jab had actually worked … people might have believed that the insane lockup was “worth it” … despite the economic insanity. If the lockup has worked to reduce deaths massively, then people wouldn’t have minded that the jab was an utter failure. But we now have a jab that is a failure and a lockup that completely failed to work.

And, worse for the vile people who broke international law and forced experimental medication on people, and those who broke the law of the UK and illegally detained millions of people in direct contravention of common law, Magna Carta and human rights, the sheeple are beginning to wake up.

I think it’s the realisation that this booster jab … means that there is no end … that no matter how much they go along with the profit making schemes of Big Pharma, that those loathsome “drug dealers” will always be demanding they pay for yet one more “fix” … and like all drug dealers, it will never end and it was all entirely utterly pointless.

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Peak Sheeple

Transition to the Ice-age

Just seen a video on the North Atlantic Oscillation, and for the first time I’ve got an idea about a potential mechanism that transitions us into the ice-age. More important, this gives an idea of the timing … a few decades … indeed perhaps as long as a century before the ice-age “latches in”. In other words, we could experience conditions suggesting we are heading to another ice-age for a decade, and then return to the inter-glacial.

Still very tentative, but it’s starting to go together.

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Transition to the Ice-age

Covid Update

In short: I don’t have a clue what the figures mean for future covid.

However, it is now clear the jab has been a total failure … it does nothing to stop the spread of covid, indeed if anything those with the jab are more likely to spread it, and if it does reduce deaths, the jab is as likely to increase deaths both immediately after taking the jab, and more worryingly long term.

So, basically, no fit and healthy person should be taking the jab … the risks outweigh the “benefits”. And, in an ideal world I’d tell people with serious conditions to talk to their GP … but GPs are now unobtainium.

But I only mention jabs, because the jabs are easy … the evidence is pretty clear they do not work to stop the spread of covid and are dangerous so only a very few people should even consider them.

But the covid stats … they just look like noise … loud noise, with a high level of positives. There is no longer any sign of “epidemics”, instead it’s just a continuous high level with massive fluctuations … which could have a long term trend up … but could just as easily turn to a long term downward trend. Is this the “lull” before the storm … or is this the dying waves after the event? Indeed, are the stats still real at all? Are they just being made up? Are we being fed total lies …. and if so, is this to hide what is happening or to hide what could happen … or to manufacture more profit for BIG PHARMA by keeping the scare going … or to normalise covid to make the panic go away.

Antibody Dependent Enhancement

The only thing that can be said for sure … is that we know people have begun to lose immunity, so now, the longer we don’t hear anything that clearly shows ADE is happening, the less chance there is that ADE will occur.

However, it is also true, that I haven’t seen anything to suggest ADE will not occur. Indeed, the more bizarre the stats, the more concerned I am, that in some way that I do not understand, the stats indicates that ADE is occurring.

And note: this is also the argument “for” global warming. They don’t understand the weather stats or “trends”, so the stats “must” indicate what they fear.

But, also note, like global warming … the stats get changed to suit whatever the agenda of those in control of the stats have. And, the bizarre behaviour of the “stats” may simply be indicative of meddling in the stats.

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Covid Update

A mechanism to explain the ice-age?

A few years ago, when I was trying to explain what led to the ice-age, I began with an expectation that I could include CO2 as at least explaining part of the cycle … but it turned out that when I looked in detail, that dramatic changes in temperature had no relationship to CO2 … and as problematic, the change in CO2 lagged temperature.

This left me with a problem, because without a plausible form of positive feedback sufficiently large to induce a catastrophic decline into the ice-age, I could not explain the ice-age cycle.

One possibility I did consider was a change in the Hadleigh cell structure from the current 3 south, 3 north to either 1+1, or 5+5. The reason for this, is that the equator is always the hottest zone so sees rising air, and the poles are colder, so see descending air. The current three zone structure is created by descending air over the latitude of the Sahara (making it dry) and rising air over the latitude of the UK (making us wet).

This creates a potential mechanism to shut of the current three cell structure. The North Atlantic drift (wrong termed the Gulf Stream), is the dominant current that brings warm water from the south up toward Britain. (There is also another and much smaller current that enters the Arctic ocean which often gets talked about as it can shut off due to changes in ice, but it is really quite insignificant).

The problem with shutting off the 3 cell structure, is that North Atlantic drift and the equivalent current in the Pacific, supply much of the energy to create the rising cell structure  at the UK that maintains the 3+3 cell structure. But the 3+3 structure also creates the northward going trade winds which drive the North Atlantic drift (which get diverted by the earth’s spin so in the UK our predominant winds are from the SW). So, the 3+3 structure is maintained by the North Atlantic Drift, which is driven by the northerly winds by the 3+3 structure. So, if either the cell structure of the current were to cease, then the other would also cease and this could permanently “latch” the world’s climate into a new structure. That could explain the almost “two state” climate we see between “ice-age” and “interglacial”, but it doesn’t explain what the new state might be, nor how it makes the world cooler.

Proposal

I guess it was looking out the window, waiting for the day to warm so that I could do my car bearings, that started me thinking about which clear days are colder and how High pressure results in cooler conditions. I then started thinking about what would happen if we got a long period of high pressure over the UK in the winter: the ground would freeze, although we wouldn’t get as much precipitation, what we would get would be snow, and that would start to accumulate. And that in turn changes the colour of the ground so that more sunlight gets reflected. That is all well known. But then I started thinking about the air movement patterns. Instead of air moving generally along the “Hadleigh cells”, when we get High pressure over land, the air descends over land and then pushes out onto the sea. And, if the land were ice-covered, or covered in deserts and so reflecting more sunlight so getting less heat than the sea there could possibly develop a permanent wind pattern of descending air over the land, and rising air over the sea.

Importantly, this kind of wind pattern must occur, because globally, what we see in the ice-age period is that much of the land turns to desert. That indicates an absence of moist onshore winds, which means the predominant wind direction must change to be offshore.

Also importantly, this explains why the ice-age can be “latched in”, whilst the solar input hardly changes. The land becomes colder … partly because of the higher reflectance of heat from the ice sheets and deserts that form, but partly because the predominant movement of air is that of cold-dry descending air over land. Conversely, over the sea the air must be ascending, so here we have warm, moist ascending air, which undoubtedly means a lot of rain … but the rain is occurring over the sea and not the land. So, globally the temperature could be very similar … it’s just colder than now over land, and warmer over the sea. Likewise, the rainfall could be very similar, but in the ice-age, it predominantly occurs over sea.

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on A mechanism to explain the ice-age?

Is Scotland’s excess deaths a sign of ADE developing

The rise in Scotland’s death rate (shown below) has been in the news today. Given what I have been saying about the possibility of ADE developing, could this be an early sign?

Let us first look at the UK figures on which I have drawn some trends I have spotted for some time: Continue reading

Posted in ADE, Uncategorized | Tagged | Comments Off on Is Scotland’s excess deaths a sign of ADE developing

A new projection

I’ve been looking at figures today and it now looks as if Scotland, having had two peaks this autumn, is now starting to climb up again to a third. I believe this is a pattern of repeated epidemics and as such I can project this pattern forward.

This has not happened in Wales, England nor N.Ireland where the pattern of infection is much more complex and hard to understand. In Scotland we had (positive test per day):

  • (1st) July peak topped at about 3400
  • (1st) Aug trough at 1100
  • (2nd) September peak at about 6400
  • (4th) October trough at 2400

It clearly looks as if the scale of the epidemic is doubling with each peak with about two months between peaks. This suggests that the next peak will be around the 4th of November with 13000 positives a day. Continue reading

Posted in ADE, Uncategorized | Tagged | Comments Off on A new projection

Flying blind

Today I realised that the death rate in the UK, after being flat, had shown the first sign of going up. It now joins rising covid positives and hospitalisations on the way up.

Throughout the epidemic, I’ve always had an idea what was coming next, even if I didn’t fully appreciate the scale, because the epidemic got worse, then got better. It’s now very different. The level of infections has been fairly high and constant for some time, so that now almost half of all positive tests have occurred since the latest “epidemic” started (about August). So, this latest rise, is a rise on top of an already prolonged high. Moreover it is the end of a long trend of rise (since end of July).

I literally do not know what happens next … because the epidemic has stopped behaving according to any model I have of how an epidemic should behave.

Basically, all I can say is:

  1. it could have a small peak and go down as it’s been going long enough
  2. it could do what it has been doing and stay high for some time
  3. it could go up
  4. it could skyrocket up

But, what really worried me, was seeing that the epidemic, which had already spread to some areas in this current epidemic had spread again to the same areas. Yes, I was predicting multiple small epidemics so that areas were being reinfected, but I had hoped I wouldn’t see it, because that really seems to indicate seriously failing immunity. But maybe it doesn’t!

Is ADE occurring?

  1. There are clear signs of failing immunity
  2. There are clear signs that this is a trend
  3. We have tentative signs that more people are dying with the jab
  4. We have no signs that age adjusted mortality is greater for those with the jab

Conclusion

Immunity is failing, but there is insufficient evidence as yet to say that ADE is the cause.

The rise in all figures makes ADE more likely, but I think the worst case scenario of ADE is less likely than I originally thought. In terms of trend … inertia will keep the current trends going for a week but beyond that, but for the first time, I have no real idea what will happen next.

Posted in ADE, Uncategorized | Tagged | Comments Off on Flying blind

ADE – some positive thoughts

I’ve looked at the worst case scenarios, which are that up to 100% of those who had any jab will die and/or that substantial numbers will become too debilitated to work.

However, there is one big difference between ADE in the lab and ADE in a real population. And that is when lab animals get a vaccine, they are then exposed in a controlled way to new viruses. So there can be a long time when they don’t get exposure. In contrast, humans get haphazard exposure and unlike the lab animals, in real societies, the amount of exposure increases if there is falling immunity. That may be a very important differences if ADE is starting to occur.

The typical epidemic curves are shown below:

Continue reading

Posted in ADE, Uncategorized | Tagged | Comments Off on ADE – some positive thoughts

Lessons so far

This is my current thinking … which I suspect is more likely to be read by the Chinese than our own government, such is the stupidity of those who currently hold power in the UK.

That the worst case is a lot worse than we initially think

I started by assuming that 25% of people would get infected and only 50% die. In retrospect, neither of those can be supported as a worst case scenario. The worst case is approaching 100% of those who had the jab. Nor is that the worst case, because an even worse case is that a large number of those who took the jab survive, but are then unable to look after themselves and/or that the entire resources that could go to aid the survival of those who are left, gets diverted fruitlessly, by the jabbed, for the jabbed.

The worst case scenario is that single digit percentages survive. That might be a low probability scenario, but that is now a realistic worst case.


That worst case scenario planning fails when the worst case is so bad

The purpose of looking at the worst case, is to plan for a scenario which creates a huge problem, so, although it is a remote possibility, the total risk is significant compared to more likely scenarios.

But, in this case, either all the decisions have been made (mass jabbing), or the juggernaut brainwashed mindset is already on course to calamity and there is nothing that can reasonable be done to stop it (the brainwashing of the public to accept the concept of the jab as a “saviour” makes the mass jabbing of children inevitable and it cannot now be stopped by anyone like me). Nor is there any reasonable way to prepare for that eventuality in the time available.

Government and the experts are now fixed into a mindset which prevents them considering ADE

Despite the fact that ADE is a significant probability, I have found that the “experts” are totally arrogant about their knowledge that it won’t happen … and when challenged, they cannot defend that. Instead it’s the old trick of “unless you can provide incontrovertible evidence beyond any shadow of doubt proving not just that ADE can occur, but how it occurs … then you have to believe me (the arrogant expert)”  … when they can not produce any evidence that it will not occur. We are now latched into the groupthink “ADE cannot occur”, and these “experts” will not budge from that view, until they have incontrovertible evidence that it is occurring … and even then, they still won’t believe it, let alone take it seriously, for some considerable time.

When the jab starts killing people … they will push for more jabs.

Once government and the experts have the mindset that the jab is some saviour, all scenarios will be interpreted as evidence that more jabs are needed. More deaths means more jabs needed.

Punctuated slow collapse

My basic conceptual model for the response to a civilisation ending scenario is one of slow “ending of normal function” punctuated by the odd event such as a mass strike of police refusing to confront the public.

The Headless Chicken phase

I think covid shows, that people are most panicked by a low risk event. So, ironically, I think that one of the strongest social responses would be to a relatively low level of ADE. My reasoning for this, is that if we look at the soldiers in WWI & II, we see that despite horrendous stress, they were able to cope, I think because the risk was obvious and the way to avoid the risk was also obvious. In contrast, if people hear ADE is happening, they will have no idea of the risk nor any appropriate response. The headless chicken phase is a desperate attempt to find a meaningful response to a serious life threatening risk and, once people understand the risk, even when death seems inevitable, they are more able to cope with that if they know what to do.

The desperate seek for cures

The only caveat to the eventual die down of the headless chick phrase as the real risk becomes tangible, is that if large numbers of ADE deaths occur, people will be desperate for a “cure”. That will occur at a point when most people have lost faith in the experts … so people will desperately try “cures” both official and unofficial, with no real certainty over what they are doing. So, there will be repeated headless chicken episodes where some cure or other is claimed and people desperately try to work out what to do.

Children

Children are the future … but there could be large numbers of orphans with no easy way to look after them. Even if every child of a jabbed parent is jabbed, children have different immune systems, and it is not necessarily true that the same will happen to them as their parents. But …

Old People

Bizarrely, because of the weakened immune response of older people, it is possible that they do not suffer from ADE to the same extent as younger people. Indeed, if an auto immune response, it might be the elderly that survive where the children do not.

The potential for social wide action

The politicians & their self-appointed “experts” are obsessed with jabs. It is very likely that their response to increasing deaths FROM THE JAB, will be that they attempt to force jabs onto every one who has not had the jab. In that atmosphere, any attempt to dissuade them will fail. It will be a cult-like response from them … we cannot question the saviour of the jab. Indeed, given the incessant media brainwashing … any attempt to change the mindset of the majority of the public will also fail. (Deprogramming cult members takes many months)

By the time the futility of forcing jabs on people cannot be denied, it will be too late to so anything.

As such, there is no reasonable prospect of changing the course of this calamity until after it is happening. Even then, the power will reside with the jabbed, and they will take resources and future prospects away from the unjabbed for themselves. That will not change, except in the very worst case scenario where the number of “working” jabbed fall below that of the unjabbed, which is likely around 70 to 90% deaths.

So, although there are many possible scenarios with lower death rates, there is no actionable plan that can be put into place in the face of what will remain throughout most of the calamity as an overwhelming dominance of the jabbed.

Foreign invasion

Under the worst case scenario, the UK will be highly susceptible to foreign invasion and take over.

Conclusion

No current actionable plan at a society level

Common sense has not been listened to despite it coming from the most respected scientists. When the headless chicken phase sets in, there is no reasonable prospect common sense being heard until the evidence is so overwhelming that … and then it is too late.

But there are things that we can each do to improve our & our immediate family and social groups own survivability, even if there is nothing we can do for society in general.

Posted in ADE, Uncategorized | Tagged | Comments Off on Lessons so far