Category Archives: Uncategorized

The reason CV19 was so deadly

Introduction CV19 didn’t just kill directly although bad enough in itself, there were far more people were killed by the policy response. In a sense, both had one cause: the body (politics) response to the virus, which is to wage … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

The insanity of academics

The UK, like many economies, has just destroyed its economy for a bug that was not much worse than flu and indeed, it could still turn out to be less severe than flu. The insane policy was created by academics, … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

The failures of coronavirus

It is now clear that coronavirus has been the biggest public policy disater, arguably in human history, because never have so many governments deliberately shot themselves in the foot, but even if we just consider outcomes and cost, it is … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Sweden is peaking

I looked today at the Swedish figure and they look like they are peaking. That is the figures appear to be close to the point where they start coming down again. Based on that, I would estimate they have as … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Vile SNP

Until today Wikipedia, which has articles about the most ridiculously unnoteworthy people had no article about some woman who the SNP falsely decided was noteworth. And even today this is all we get: For the fictional character, see The 39 … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

NHS crashes

As expected we have reached, or are reaching, the first critical point where the NHS crashes. For obvious reasons given the failings of the SNP in Scotland, we see it first here: Yes it is! My friend is in the … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

The Waiting Game

On the 30th of January I warned politicians that we would be short of ventilators … nothing happened. On the 3rd of March I asked politicians to force medics to wear PPE. (Never in a million years, did it occur … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

A plan to beat CV19

Having looked at the modelling of the CV19 epidemic in the UK, there is no viable way to stop the majority of the UK becoming infected long before even the most optimistic forecast of a vaccine being available. All we … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

A possible strategy – infect people!

The more I look at the figures, the less it looks possible that any “delay” strategy will have any meaningful effect on the coronavirus except a complete clamp down on all social meetings for about a year till a vaccine … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Coronavirus Forecast Model

After a bit of work, I’ve managed to make my spreadsheet more presentable. It is largely the same as that described in the Scottish Forecast, the main difference being that it now contains two extra sheets. The first “overview” contains … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment