Category Archives: Coronavirus

We’ve been conned

In January, when SAGE said the risk of Covid was “Very low” I was writing to politicians telling them it was coming and we should be looking at getting hospitals and ventilators ready In February I was writing saying that … Continue reading

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The reason CV19 was so deadly

Introduction CV19 didn’t just kill directly although bad enough in itself, there were far more people were killed by the policy response. In a sense, both had one cause: the body (politics) response to the virus, which is to wage … Continue reading

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The insanity of academics

The UK, like many economies, has just destroyed its economy for a bug that was not much worse than flu and indeed, it could still turn out to be less severe than flu. The insane policy was created by academics, … Continue reading

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The failures of coronavirus

It is now clear that coronavirus has been the biggest public policy disater, arguably in human history, because never have so many governments deliberately shot themselves in the foot, but even if we just consider outcomes and cost, it is … Continue reading

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Sweden is peaking

I looked today at the Swedish figure and they look like they are peaking. That is the figures appear to be close to the point where they start coming down again. Based on that, I would estimate they have as … Continue reading

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Why official testing is not revealing community spread

Most cases of CV are mild. So, most people with CV won’t go for testing. But to add to that, even with severe symptoms, most health professionals will not be testing for CV unless there is a “reason” to believe … Continue reading

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Update March 11th

just done some analysis on the latest figures and present UK trend. It is possible that the rate of growth over last few days has reduced (yellow portion). This change is currently very small and could be a statistical blip, … Continue reading

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Scottish Coronavirus Forecast

I have been developing a model to try to predict the effect of coronavirus (CV) in Scotland. I will go through each point. CVModel Disclaimer, I make no guarantee this is correct and it is provided as is, intended only … Continue reading

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Clueless Chief Medical Officer

“Modelling suggests that there will be a a bit of a delay in peaks between different bits of the country … it will not be huge it might be only four or five weeks …”. This is why the UK … Continue reading

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Suggested ways to cope with the Pandemic

I’ve already suggested: Mecial students being trained for specific CV treatments Vets being turned into doctors and their equipment being redeployed for humans Closing of Universities and redeploying students into a host of roles Everyone is suggesting using the army … Continue reading

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