What is the likelihood of Nuclear War now?

Under Bidem and the Corruption of USAID, we were close to Nuclear war many times. In other words, another stupid move by Bidem-deepstate  and incompetence and lies of the west created a slippery slope which would have taken us into an escalating series of tit for tat moves down which the world would have slid with only nuclear war at the bottom. The world was only saved from this entering this slide to Nuclear war because of the quality of leadership in Russia.

That particular threat (Bidem) has gone, the US deep state has had some of a its feathers trimmed (but by no means all). But, whilst we might not be walking along the cliff edge as we did during Bidem’s tyranny, where any one small mismovement would have put us on a path to global nuclear war, that does not mean the threat has gone.

Trump may be nearly as good a leader as Putin … indeed, if he wasn’t so easily led by the Israeli lobby, I might be prepared to consider the possibility he is better. But Bidem, the deep state and the Israeli lobby have taken the world to the cliff edge of nuclear war, and it is now very difficult for either Putin or Trump to step back … especially as Israel’s land grab has and is pushing the world closer and closer to WWIII and nuclear conflict.

So, whilst the immediate threat has massively reduced, the fact is, the evil and corruption of the last years may have set the world onto a course where nuclear war is inevitable. But, at least we will see a build up manoeuvring that gives us time to prepare … not a sudden lied-about “mistake” of a corrupt and incompetent leader “leading” almost immediately to global death …. before most of the public had even the faintest idea that they were being lied to about what was happening (the situation under Bidem).

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The Manyconomy

I was envisaging the complexity of economic constraints, as some change from virtuous to vicious cycle. A constraint is something like Energy .. or people & diversity of ideas, without which the economy cannot grow.

Enerconics is a way to describe an economy measured by energy where energy takes a similar role to money in “economics”. Many rules are the same, but the one key rule is that energy cannot be created … it is a flow subject to the laws of physics … not the rate at which money can be created.

So, if there are many virtuous and vicious cycles, when these constrain the economy, they can behave like energy when it constrains the economy. As such we might have “Gallium-economics” for an economic model where Gallium (as an example) is a constraint on economic output (not growth … constraints also lead to shrinkage).

So, I wanted a way to describe an economy where there are many small things that can and do constrain it. Hence “Many-conomy”. Where the small things matter and money does not.

Which, then made me wonder … but humans are also a constraint, so shouldn’t I also have “maneconomy?” And, then I realised, that one of the key economic constraints is diversity of ideas.

Today, the Totalitarianism of Google is creating a brainwashed generation with no ideas of their own. You listen to one google brainwashee … you’ve heard all the ideas of all google brainwashees. There is no reason to talk to more than one … they are boring. Which made me realise, that we are already in a vicious cycle of decline intellectually. We might have more access than any previous generation to information … but there is now a total clampdown on thinking. It is now a severe constraint … which is bound to lead to economic stagnation.

Google is not just the dinosaur … it is the meteor that ended the dinosaurs as well. Which presumably means that the economies of the future will be those that google cannot reach.

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Contemplating the end of civilisation

Yesterday, I pondered on what would have happened if the insane reality of Net Zero could have been forced on humanity. That will never happen, so it was just an entirely theoretical situation. However, I was intrigued by the idea of virtuous and vicious technology cycles. A virtuous cycle is one where we do something that then makes it easier to do the same thing. So, things get easier and easier, or to put it another way, more and more resources become available. A vicious cycle is one, where we do something that makes it harder to do the same thing again, and then it become harder and harder.

Continue reading

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Virtuous cycles

One of the most fundamental virtuous cycles that created the industrial revolution was this:

Cheaper Energy -> Cheaper materials -> Cheaper equipment -> Even Cheaper Energy.

In other words, because there are cheaper forms of energy this has a knock on effect on the price of materials like Iron that require a lot of energy to produce, and that has a knock on effect on the price of equipment, and as the price of equipment reduces, it costs less to mine coal.

In a real economy there are enormous numbers of such virtuous, and even at the same time vicious cycles, but energy is such a key resource that this cycle tends to dominate.

But that in turn suggests the reverse cycle:

More expensive energy -> More expensive materials -> More expensive equipment -> Even more expensive energy.

Now, rather than an economy in a virtuous cycle and long term GDP growth, there now find an economy, which is in a vicious cycle and long term decline and GDP decline. In other words, the trend is that people can afford to buy less and less real goods with a day’s work.

For the last several hundred years, the western world has generally been in a virtuous cycle of growing GDP. Putin funded green groups then persuaded the arrogant morons of government to commit economic suicide. We are now entering a vicious cycle of decline … much to delight of Putin who is ensuring Russia continues to grow.

And that is how Russia won WWIII … by getting the west to attack itself.

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How long would it take to recover from Nut Zero?

Nut Zero, if it had happened (which it could not … but if it had), would have been not just the destruction of the entire modern global economy … which is now reliant on fossil fuels, but, the impact would be far worse.

Because people before the industrial revolution, could only live the life they lived because of years of training to live in the economy at that time. Not, just by people on a farm, but those people also in turn relied on others for things like iron or copper or if we go back far enough for flint. As far as we go back, there was a reliance on others who also had years to perfect their craft so that everyone could live. Every stage of civilisation requires a infrastructure of other people and resources … and most people only barely survive when everything is just right. You can’t take a modern person and throw them into the stone-age and expect them to survive. It might take a couple dozen generations until humans are even doing nearly as well as whatever stage of development they went back to.

Likewise, the landscape had matured in harmony with those who lived there. So, for example, in the past there were animals to hunt.. Animals survived by being the ones that were just beyond the human ability to hunt them. So, modern animals are not the same as ancient ones … they are far harder to catch without modern technology.

Take away the modern technology (which last only till the ammo runs out) and the animals left have evolved to be skittish at the first sign of humans, and to get several hundred meters away. For people trying to fling rocks … those animals are beyond their means to catch.

But, it will be far worse!

If 70million people suddenly began starving due to Nut Zero in the UK … the first thing to go, would be any and all large animals. Not just every cow, sheep and horse would be stolen and slaughtered, but every dog and cat, and also every fox, badger, deer, rat, snails … if it moved and was edible, it would be eaten.

In my area, there are about 1000  people for each deer. Whilst, there is no doubt, that no individual is ever going to secure a reliable supply of deer … whilst humans still live, there will be 1000 people trying to catch each deer. So, whilst the people starve, the deer are ALL killed.

The result would be the extinction of most large animal speeches, followed by the extinction of most human populations. Almost no one would survive, because almost everything that people needed to live off, would be consumed in the global famine that Nut Zero caused.

Who would survive?

The best candidates for survival are those communities who are already most self-reliant and who have access to local resources. Indeed, arguably, those who were last to the industrial revolution, will be the best candidates for survival.

In the UK, we are probably talking about a few remote islands, which would be difficult to reach during the famine, and so would have least of their resources plundered by the starving population of the mainland. The faster the collapse, and the quicker fuel for boats, etc. disappears, the better the chances of these small communities. They will suffer, but not nearly as much as people and animals on the mainland.

Globally, the “poorest” countries, would undoubtedly see their populations plummet, but large numbers would survive … although with the same massive assault on wildlife. But, despite having a rapid velopment (if that is the opposite of de-velopment) … a rapid velopment to the stone-age … not iron, there being few iron source that are now readily available using primitive technology, it all having been worked out long ago … and indeed, no copper, or any other modern costly mineral.

Basically, the world would rapidly return, not so much to “stone age”, but “pre-stoneage”, because the skills of living in the stone age have been lost to most groups. What we think of as “Stone age groups” would be the few advanced civilisations.

Yes, there would be some remnants of the modern world. In particular scrap iron would be the prime source of iron for generations. But, that also means, there would be no development of mining. So, by the time all the iron had rusted, the technology to smelt iron would be lost. Rapidly everything else would decay as well … because houses would be damp and almost all books would …. probably be burnt, by a population starved of fuel for heating.

Yes, sure the odd globalist would emerge from their bunker when the food ran out and try to reassert their control using the guns and ammo that they had hoarded, along with a few other people to be their soldiers … the soldiers would then kill the globalists, and soon the soldiers would run out of ammo and die. So, they would die out and we can ignore them.

Back on the development ladder

Of course people, after the collapse, would start to progress again. But, the problem is that the last development of civilisation used up all the easily available resources. So, there is no easily available copper in the UK, there is very little easily available coal, and that which there is, is very poor quality. Iron might be easier, but, without the knowledge to find it and process it, iron is pretty useless.

The question I have is this: would there be enough resources, to develop society enough to create a viable economy that can get to the “next stage” of technology evolution, through all the various stages? It seems unlikely.

It is certain that the industrial revolution could not happen again in the UK or Europe as all the easy to mine mineral and coal disappeared long ago. A new industrial revolution would have to occur somewhere else, where there is easy to mine coal, but where, for some reason that coal was left in the ground. In other words, coal that is viable using medieval mining technologies, but which was ignored when later mining technology became available. Unless there is such a place, it seems unlikely that another human civilisation will ever get the economy vitality to create anything close to the modern world.

The Ice-age cometh

The one thing that could massively transform the availability of minerals is a new ice-age. That ice-age, would eat away at rocks, revealing large areas of untapped rock, which if they were lucky, might just provide the raw materials needed to trigger another industrial revolution.

Another pathway?

Is coal the only pathway to a modern civilisation? Coal was essential to the industrial revolution, but, could it have happened without coal? My gut feeling is no. The industrial revolution was the result of a sudden availability of cheap energy from coal, which in turn led to cheap iron, electricity, explosives, and without all these cheap items, the modern would would never have happened.

Wood could replace coal, but there have been wood-burning economies for thousands of years, and if wood would have led to modern society, it would have happened long ago. Wood never created the stimulus necessary to trigger the development of modern society.

The only proviso, is that not everything we now know need be forgotten. Perhaps a small group would continue making and using electricity in some remote part of Siberia, and then in a few thousand years, despite there only being wood, that technology would spread and slowly rekindle development towards something that has some resemblance to out modern world?

But, the same argument of slow growth … can also be used to suggest slow decline. That people start out cobbling together technologies we now have, but slowly as things wear out and cannot be replaced, things just regress and regress and even the iron, that was once easy to produce, becomes too hard and that technology is also forgotten.

There is no fundamental reason for technology progression … and it is quite possible that if the available resources have all been exploited, that we see technology regression.

Will it matter?

Has it happened before?

Is it possible that technology progressed before and then, for some reason (like a new ice-age), the progression was wiped away? It seems unlikely, but so too, is that the modern world would commit economic suicide through Nut Zero.

Maybe, the fate of humanity, is that in another million years, when almost all traces of this civilisation have been wiped clean, but sufficient new resources have been revealed by the retreating ice, that it all happens again.

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Proud to be a Sceptic

It is now only a matter of time before Net Zero gets ditched and all those who were pushing the insanity start trying to excuse their behaviour or hide their past.

I do not for even one moment imagine that I will ever receive any compensation for all the time and effort I personally put in to hold back the insanity, but I will have the satisfaction of knowing I did the right thing, and that I was ultimately successful.

We have seen what happened to the covid jab sceptics, where once they were obliterated from the media, now they are leading and winning the argument and increasingly gaining power. Likewise the sceptics on climate are now standing proud and seeing they are getting majority public support. Even business is seeing there is nothing left to be gained by supporting Nut Zero … even politicians are seeing it is a poison chalice.

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Big Tech Trying to destroy Private Emails

A funny thing happened last night, I signed up to a well known website with my own email address (not a monitored, snooping, moneticise all your correspondence gmail or such crap). And, the confirmation email, the one I had to click on to confirm its a real email I used, took an hour to come, and when it did, having asked it to resend … then given up and gone on to do other things, three arrived at once.

That wasn’t a mistake. Someone somewhere was deliberately intercepting and delaying the emails.

At first, I thought “my email is being monitored, it’s been in a queue to be checked and that is why it took the time”. But, then the reality dawned on me. There is no way on earth a spy organisation monitoring emails would delay confirmation emails from a well known website. Even if they hadn’t whitelisted the website, confirmation emails have patterns that are easy to detect. So, it would be almost trivial to let time critical emails like website confirmation through, so as to avoid any obvious sign of monitoring.

No! This was NOT the result of monitoring, instead this was an attempt to use psychological pressure … to suggest something was “wrong” with my email, that is working fine.

Now, it was pretty obvious the site was heavily into google, so much so, that I had more or less decided it wasn’t worth signing up to before I got the “please press link to confirm”. So, I suspect Google were somehow involved in the signing up process. Fortunately, I used an email which I only monitor for the short time when I expect confirmation emails.

So, who would be so keen to suggest my email wasn’t working? … GOOGLE! And their ilk! Any email that they can’t monitor, they want to undermine. Which means they still can’t monitor my emails … unlike all the morons out there who use gmail.

Obviously, having google constantly attacking emails it doesn’t like, has costs, but not anything near the costs of allowing google or fascist book to snoop on every personal correspondence.

If you let google monitor every discussion and decide every website you’ll be allowed to see through google … you’re being brainwashed!

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A good Day VII – X

OH! …. that’s my favourite thought. Having come to a conclusion about some trivial aspect of human evolution, I then realise it has utterly profound ramifications about other parts.

I feel like I am planning the colour scheme and whether or not to have wall paper in my model of evolution, whilst the neighbours have just figured that a leaf keeps out the rain.

Of course, it’s not really that different. All the parts are there, if only you know to ask the right questions and to see the right answers. I’m not inventing much new. But it is fundamentally different as a whole.

Why this post?

The more I understand about our evolution, the more I understand about our ancestors, and, the more I get a glimpse into the minds of our nearest relatives. It’s not so much that I’m humanising chimps, nor Chimpifying humans … but … I am beginning to see the world through the eyes of our distant ancestors. They were not us … Indeed, I almost said “are not us” … because it is increasingly hard to think of them as “the past” when they are so much “in the present” as I think of them.

Of course, they are not real … but neither is my “perception” of someone like President Putin. That perception is entirely one I have cobbled together from available information … the same as our distant ancestors.

I imagine Putin sleeping in a luxurious room strangely with a four poster bed. The only reason for that idea, must be that Putin is constantly figured in luxurious surroundings where the quintessential sleeping arrangements are a four poster bed. I have no real idea of what kind of bed Putin sleeps in … nor whether he sleeps on his back or side, or other similar details.

So, likewise, when I view our ancient ancestors, they have a sleeping position, and like Putin, I know my view of our ancient ancestors can never be right in every detail, but they did sleep somewhere. Whilst many of the details will be fictions, I am starting to fill in the broad brush details and the picture that is emerging is fascinating.

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Epstein Island – the real Test of Trump’s allegiances.

There is one simple test which will determine if Trump is part of the lying deceiving swamp that controls the US, or really against the swamp as he claims. That is whether Trump publishes all the names of those who were on Epstein Island and who have been liable to blackmail by those who funded and controlled Epstein island.

The Epstein islanders are clearly still in power, because unless they had power, they could not have protected all those politicians, journalists and government officials whose names have been kept secret in order to ensure they can continue to be controlled via threat of blackmail. As long as the names are kept secret, we know the blackmailers still control the US, and if Trump is colluding to keep the names secret, we know that Trump is being controlled by those blackmailers.

Indeed, if Trump doesn’t reveal the names and allows proper scrutiny of what went on in that cesspit, we can be certain that Epstein island was just one of many blackmail honeypots throughout the west used to control western politicians, journalists and government officials.

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Update on the war in Ukraine

The war in Ukraine proceeds with Russia taking one field after another. First they take one field  … then they pause, then they take another field … then they pause.

Each time, they pause long enough that I forget where the advances have been, so, whilst the advances are clear, it wasn’t clear to me how far they had advanced.

Until I looked at a small place called Vodiane a village of perhaps a few dozen houses near a lake north of Donbass airport. This was important for me, because I found footage that showed the real nature of “urban” (rural?) fighting. From this it was possible to see how individual soldiers operated and how the terrain played such an important role in their fighting.

For some time, the fighting continued just to the west of Vodiane, until I got bored trying to track it. But today, I went to look for that place again. It is now tens of kilometres from the “front line”. The advance is staggering and it continues. And I also have to say that in that time, many Russians, and far more Ukrainian soldiers have died, and all for a certain globalist agenda which evil people to two Tier Kier are being told to push. That agenda is failing.

I don’t support Putin on everything he does or has done, not by a long way, but those globalists are our common enemy. Indeed, they are also the common enemy of the common people of Ukraine, and much of the rest of the world.

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