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Ukrainian administration falling apart

Breaking news: Ukranian media, such as Strana, reports that the deputy head of the President’s Office, Kyrylo Tymoshenko, offered to resign from his post.

In his place, they plan to appoint the head of the military administration of the Kiev region, Alexei Kuleba, to the post.

In addition, the heads of administrations of Sumy, Dnepropetrovsk, Zaporozhye and Kherson regions, which are associated with Kyrylo Tymoshenko, may resign.

There is no official confirmation of this information yet. This would be a major purge/split in the government. We shall remind you that there was a serious confrontation between the various departments of Ukraine’s non-government agencies, including sweeping accusations of corruption, the conflict between Zaluzhnyy and Zelenskyy, as well as the war between the SBU and the State Security Service of Ukraine (SBU).

Following the mass resignations, the National Security and Defence Council has banned Ukrainian civil servants, law enforcers and MPs from travelling abroad.

And just to cap it all: the Omens!

Huge flocks of crows over Kiev. Locals write in social networks that they have never seen such huge flocks – “harbingers of trouble.”

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Is the Ukrainian Military about to Collapse?

For obvious reasons, what I see of the Ukrainian conflict is heavily contorted by both what the US and Russia are trying to get me to see. However, there are beginning to be signs, which I don’t think are likely to be the result of propaganda, that suggest the Ukrainian military, may be on the verge of collapse.

The logic for this is simple: Zelensky, like Hitler is the kind of military “genius” that you want leading the other side, and through his “genius” he has all but destroyed the Ukrainian army. In contrast, the Russians totally outgun Zelensky, and have been applying constant and/or systematic pressure on the Ukrainian forces and now they are showing signs of buckling almost across the entire front. Zelensky has thrown everything he has, no life mattered, no equipment was spared, and so he does not appear to have any reserve as his army runs out of men and equipment.

More importantly, the morale of his soldiers, that in the Autumn was lifted by the way the Russians gave ground in return for destroying Zelensky’s army, is now plummeting as the previous Russian advance turns to retreat.

However, perhaps, like the Russian “attack on Kiev” which was clearly a feint, the apparent collapse of the Ukrainians could be merely a Baldrick: “Cunning plan” … to lose in order to lure the Russians into a headlong rush, where upon the USians with some secret weapons and a hidden army will ambush the Russians and the evil witch will live happily ever after.

But at this stage, we aren’t even seeing the collapse of Zelensky’s army, so talk of what happens several weeks or months down the line is premature. The real question, is this: will the current rush of succeses for the Russians start to grow exponentially as the tide in the conflict turns or are they just small random victories in a very long campaign, that just happen to coincide?

ADDENDUM

Over the weekend we started hearing about the capture of the village of Kamenskoye on far eastern bank of the Dnieper reservoir. This was the first major movement I had seen in that part of the line for many months. But there have been many instances of small settlements changing hands (elsewhere), so, this could have been the result of many months of pressure leading to a decision to release one small parcel of land. But, then late today (23rd Jan) I read that the village of Stepnogorsk located 2 km beyond the village of Kamenskoye, had now been captured by the Russian Armed Forces.

In the past, there have been claims that some patch of land had been captured by the Russians, only for it all to go quiet and then a month or so later, a fresh claim that the same settlement had been (re)taken. So, once taken, it is possible that there is a counter-attack that retakes the parcel. However, when not only Kamenskoye, but also Stepnogorsk  2km on have been taken so quickly, it does indicate a more substantial change. That, together with the taking of Solidar and Artemovsk (Bakhmut) becoming nearly surrounded, does suggest the Russian advance is stepping up a gear.

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The emerging multipolar world is destroying the power of the dollar

Credit Suisse:

Current account surpluses of Russia, China and Saudi Arabia have reached record levels. But now these surpluses are not being transferred to traditional reserve dollar assets,” says Zoltan Pozhar, strategist and managing director of the Swiss bank Credit Suisse, on the pages of the British Financial Times

Instead of the dollar, these countries invest primarily in gold, raw materials assets, and also make geopolitical investments. The remaining surpluses are stored on bank deposits in a liquid form to guarantee the possibility of their use

Moreover, dedollarization is fundamentally accelerated by three fundamental trends:
1️⃣ Settlements in national currencies greatly reduce the role of the dollar as a world equivalent
2️⃣ Digital currencies of central banks will allow transactions to be carried out without using the infrastructure of the financial system of the West
3️⃣ Reserves denominated in US government debt are declining

At the same time, Credit Suisse emphasizes that many today are stereotypically approaching the upcoming confrontation in the US Congress over raising the debt ceiling. They say they will break the comedy, as usual, and then they will agree. But the main question is not whether there will be a default in the US or not, but that a protracted confrontation will accelerate global de-dollarization (flight from the dollar worldwide)
https://www.ft.com/content/3e05b491-d781-4865-

So, even Credit Suisse are agreeing that things are looking pretty dire for the US and those western econonies tied to the prosperity of the US (i.e. UK). But, on top of the looming dollar crisis, we have the massive … and it really is massive US debt, of which a large lump was simply hidden (as Lord James explains below).

$15 TRILLION is equivalent to the the federal debt of the U.S. Treasury Department. Lord James of Blackheath has spoken in the House of Lords

At the present moment, the US is technically bankrupt. But, it continues to struggle on, because the world’s bankers make their money from the dollar, and if the US falls, so do they. But, as Credit Suisse kindly point out, the US war against Russia in Ukraine, has seen a flight from the dollar, and a flight away from those bankers that sustain the US (and through it the UK and similar economies in the EU).

To add to this, we have the (Russian supported) move away from fossil fuels and toward costly unreliables, which means that even the Germans cannot afford to make armaments for their own army any longer.

To add to this, we have the Net Zero WEF inspired destruction of agriculture, through the attack on fertiliers, and obviously the attack on the rule of law as occurred by the totalitarian attack on civil liberties during covid.

Add to that, the massive import of people with no historic connection with our country, who will almost certainly flee with their gains as soon as the going gets tough, and it isn’t difficult to see where this is all leading.

The UK is going to be:

SUNaK

And there is nothing anyone like me can do about it. They chose to destroy Britain … they are going to have their wish. The only optimistic thing I can say, is that those British who destroyed Britain will not be remaining in positions of power.

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Nato’s Nazis are losing

The bizarre thing about the Ukrainian war, is seeing the behaviour of those vile organisations, who for years attacked anyone who dared disagree with their woke vendetta against humanity of being “Nazis”.

Unfortunately, I cannot post the videos showing the children of Ukraine with their Nazis salutes or their Nazi supporting songs, because they are as much victims of Zelenksy’s Nazis as the Russian speaking civilians they brutalised & murdered for 8 years. However, it is very clear that people who glorified in their Nazi links are now being fully supported by the Biased Brainwashing Cult and the Guardian.

Now, we all knew the BBC and Guardian were totalitarian fascists, who only needed the light shone of them to show them for what they really are: extremists! So, no one should be surprised at the BBC and Guardian. So, what is new? What is new, is that finally the fascists are losing!

The Russians, through … well I’m not going to say how … instead I will just say that Nato has thrown all its available weaponry and money into the firey pit and the explosion has come back to hit them. So, like all crazy people … they want to throw more!

This is a war of the controlled media, Totalitarian WEF and the woke against the cold reality of damp wet trenches and Russian shells. Nato is a vile organisation … set up to perpetuate a war against Russia. And, with that as its only objective … it failed! What is the point of it?

Better still, the USian hard liners, in their gender free “army”, are now going nuts! Huffing and puffing demanding to nuke Russia in the worst comedy fashion.

And, to cap it all, the US is about to push itself into a recession … one it may never come out of. The reason, is that the US has been funding itself by creaming money of the world’s financial system which it controlled when the dollar was the go to currency of the world. But, it made the strategic mistake of saying “if you want to use our currency, you can’t trade with Russia” … to countries that had no intendion of ending their trade with Russia and were delighted to see a reason to end using the dollar. The US & EU are now locked into a war, which is destroying their economies, whilst they destroy the western financial system that has sustained the US and through it the EU in global position of power.

The US and EU are now in a dire straight. Their only way out of this mess, is to capitulate to Russia, something that the totalitarian woke regimes currently in power could never countenance. But, the longer they keep up their war with Russia, the more the dollar, and the power of the US and EU wanes. It is a war the US and EU cannot win! That is a world of woke hatred, which I have to admit had a few good points, but to be honest, it never did much for me, so I really cannot say I will mourn its passing. But best of all it seems it may be a war that destroys the power base of the woke Nazi fascists that have grabbed onto the reins of power in the west, to be replaced by those with a firmer grasp of reality.

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Mistreatment of Prisoners

After the last post I came across a video. At first it showed the humanity of the Russians in that they gave drink and a cigarette, but then there was some questionable behaviour.

Context

To put this in context, in some places half of Zelenskys troops are dying in 3 weeks. Which means an average life expectancy of about 3 weeks. That is shorter than the training course our stupid government have been giving, although to be fair, the training course will be delaying their death even if all they talk about is the 99 different genders in the modern army.

So, if your life expectancy is three weeks (or perhaps several months might be more typical), then isn’t the obvious thing to either disobey “lightbrigade” or “blackadder” orders sending the troops on “one more push” like the light brigade, but without any of the glory, against the Russian guns? It would be, except Zelensky’s Nazis are shooting the poor Ukrainians who are given no choice about being canon fodder.

Moreover, as the soldier in the clip shows, they do not have even basic supplies like gloves. Their food is running out and and from the way some behaved when they saw Russian rations, they are extremely poorly fed. They do not even have the means to melt the ice to get water let alone heat themselves. Instead they have to light fires, which immediately gives away their position attracting Russian guns.

It seems to be an utter hellhole in the Ukrainian lines. The only benefit of the freeze, is that the puddles of water in the bottom of the trenches will be solid.

This Soldier, will have run like the devil to escape being shot, not by Russians, but by Zelensky’s Nazis. So, he arrives, not just afraid of being shot by the Russians, but also from his own side. He is likely scared, tired, hungry, thirsty and cold.

Important to the context here, is that these are military people. Soldiers are harsh even to their own side. Ritual abuse is part of the training program. And it is normal to chastise people who did wrong. So, the treatment of the prisoner must be considered in line with what is acceptable in a military setting, not in an office.

It starts with the prisoner in a prone position after having his hands tied and blindfolded. I assume he approached Russian lines hands up and was told to get down. He then did so and was then “firmly” treated by having hands tied and head blindfolded whilst down. This appears to be standard practice when taking prisoners. In this case it may not be necessary as the prisoner may have been running to Russian lines. But he could have been a sabateur on a lone mission to Russian lines, who having been spotted attempts to pose as a common soldier.

Listening to the first comment again, “have you run enough”, it is possible that he was running away from Russians. But it may just be that they have tracked him over several kilometers running all the way. Or he may have attempted to escape when the Russians took a position.

Discussion

The first debateable point is that a prisoner is being filmed and this released publicly. My instinct that it is appalling to see someone who was forced to fight being humiliated, and being a prisoner cannot be anything but humiliating. But, it is also true, that by being filmed alive and well, there is now very little chance he will be deliberately harmed or killed (at least by the Russians. Zelensky did hit a POW facility).

On balance, so long a the video does not show abuse or humiliation beyond that necessary to process a prisoner, it is probably in the prisoner’s interest to be filmed.

The first good point is that the man asks for a drink and is rapidly given something. He is visibly shaking, possibly from adrenalin from the fear of being shot both by Russians and his own side, possibly from running, possibly from cold, having hidden or crept forward for many hours to avoid being shot by his own side. He visibly starts to relax after getting the water. This isn’t the effect of the water, it is the reassurance that his basic needs are going to be met, which isn’t something that someone intending to kill you will do. He also gets a cigarette. You can argue the health benefits, but for a man who had a three week life expectancy, the issues of smoking are irrelevant.

It is also good he also gets clear instructions “sit, don’t get up, don’t move”. I presume sitting is to stop a prisoner lashing out at his capturers. Getting clear instructions also means that a prisoner who is extremely anxious about what will happens, knows what they have to do.

He seems to speak** Russian as many in Ukraine do, so there does not seem to be communication issues.

The question : “where did you drop your weapon” isn’t what I expected. It does suggest he was spotted with a weapon and then was captured without it. Or it could be that every soldier is expected to have “their” weapon. The weapon could aid an escape. The weapon may also tell a lot about the type of soldier they are. Special ops will have special weapons.

Name, Rank

Asking name rank, etc. is totally proper, however, I know that by givign his name, this man is now in peril of his life from Zelensky’s Nazis. I just wish they had bleeped out his name. But again, it means the risk to this individual from Russians is very small, but he is at risk if he returns to his home and his family are at risk even if he does not. It should have been bleeped.

The shouting to “repeat” I imagine is very typical in the military. The only issue I might have, is that many of Zelensky’s forces seem to have almost no training. So, it could be totally new. But it is a clear instruction, and he did mumble it the first time.

Questionable

We now get onto the section which I do not like. The prisoner is asked to say something to his comrades. The prisoner assumes if he doesn’t say the right thing it might mean he is going to be killed. They respond by saying that no one is going to do that. That assurance is good, but why is he being told to make a statement to his comrades?

I do not think that is acceptable. The prisoner is clearly under duress and believes he could be killed and anything he says is meaningless. So, it is a form of humiliation.

However, I think I do believe what he says is genuine. It is possible he agreed to the video being released, but if he is still a prisoner, it is impossible to see how that was done without duress. It is not good.

Then we have the question: “Glory to Ukraine” and he responds “Glory to Russia”. This signifies that he has completely capitulated to his captives and is offering no resistance. We don’t know what happens to anyone who refuses to say “glory to Russia” as there are no videos, so does that mean those prisoners are abused? This video is not a good idea. It raises too many questions. If a video of each prisoner captured was released, I would accept that, so long as it was the basics like name & rank. This would reassure relatives and ensure good treatment.

The problem with outright condemning the video is that this kind of ritual abuse in a military context is probably pretty common. So, would those involved, both prisoner and capturer, consider it abnormal? If this was a British Sergeant Major with a new recruit demanding they shout “God save the queen”, would that be excessive abuse? No doubt Russian soldiers regularly shout “Glory to Russia” or some equivalent. And they are used to abuse if they do not shout it loud enough, even if they don’t agree.

Comparison to Zelensky Forces treatment of Russians

Whereas the above treatment was good, but not perfect. I have yet to see any video from the Zelensky side showing any humanity at all to Russian prisoners. After the videos I have seen, it is amazing the Russians still respect Zelensky troops and treat them with humanity.

It is possible that the few videos I have seen of Russians being held, represent a very small rotten tip of the ice-berg, and that we just do not see other videos.

It is also possible that the videos of Russians treating their prisoners well, are very atypical, but in the context of the hatred I’ve seen from Zelensky’s side, and the “matter of fact”, “this is something we have to do – we don’t hate them” attitude of Russians. I have little doubt that the video above is not atypical.

So, whilst this video is arguably mistreatment of prisoners, I am very loathe to condemn the Russians given their much much better behaviour than Zelensky’s Nazis


**I have a limited ability to recognise Ukrainian versus Russian.

 

 

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The West is Falling

Throughout the west, and particularly the US, governments have been massively increasing their debt, at the same time as going for the long term economic suicide through Net Zero and destroying out societies by a host of woke policies.

The inevitability of collapse, “if nothing is done” is obvious. But the means of that collapse was opaque. The Ukraine conflict has crystalised that for me.

The key is watching the relentless pounding of Zelensky’s Nazis (or at least the people forced to fight for his Nazis) by a never ending stream of Russian basic weapons, whilst the west’s supposedly superior weapons have proven useless (High tech does not equal reliable) and the destruction of western manufacturing now shows in the total inability to supply from all the Nato countries anything near as much armament as Russia on its own.

The west could never win a conventional war against Russia, and seeing how Russia constantly suprised the west, I doubt we could win a nuclear conflict either.

Add to that the realisation, that the moment the west decided to do away with the old free market in energy and insist that countries can pick and choose, whilst they intended that to be the west could choose whether to take Russian oil and gas (through the front door, they still took it by middle men), the reality is that it also means that Russian and others can pick and choose whether they supply to the west. And, the arrogance of the west assuming that Russia will just go back to supply oil and gas is absolutely mind boggling. Energy is the lifeblood of an economy. The end of energy=the end of our economy, may be a lot nearer than I imagined.

To add to the stupidity of the west, quite literally the west stole Russian money. Russia is not going to go back to normal with the west until not only that money is repaid, but it has had some kind of compensation for all the Russian lives lost as a result of having to go and protect civilians in Ukraine from Nato supplied armaments. When Nato had pretended to go along with peace, in order to equip Ukraine for war. The behaviour of the west can only be called “spiteful” and full of hate.

Weaponisation of the Dollar

However, the greatest damage was done by the US, who literally shot itself in the foot, by weaponising the dollar. The dollar used to be the international currency of exchange, being the biggest and most stable currency. Now every country in the world, can see that holding dollars is a risk, because it allows the US to try to do what it tried to do to Russia. And, with the US under BuyDem being as corrupt as it gets and acting like an Alzheimic bully, the rest of the world, not only wants free of the dollar, but as the US power and influence wanes relative to other countries, they can be free of the dollar.

The fall of the dollar

The problem for the US, is that they have absolutely staggering levels of debt, much of it denied (yet reported in the House of Lords).  If it were a company, they would be calling in the administrators or even the police. When countries start selling the dollar, there will be a massive excess of dollars, which will cause the price of the dollar to fall. The necessary response to that is for the US central bank to buy up those excess dollars to keep the price high. But the US and all those poodle countries like the UK who might support the US, have instead of having the economic vitality to buy up currency, are going through a prolongued episode of printing money, because that is their only way to survive.

So, whilst the EU and others will be pressurised to support the failing dollar, their own stupidity of cutting off their energy supplies to support the Nazis in Ukraine and thereby do even more damage to their economies, is very likely to come back and bite them really hard, as first the dollar, and then all the countries alligned to the dollar with massive debts (public and private) start seeing a run on their currencies. A run that cannot be stopped except by the support of all those countries that now look at their attack on Russia and know that the US-UK-EU will be coming for them next, if they get away with Ukraine.

52 Countries bombed by US since WWII

If you doubt that the rest of the world would just let the US collapse, the sobering figure is the number of countries that the US has bombed since WWII. And this is not Russian precision weaponry, hitting a single transformer in a power station supplying electricity for trains bringing in Nato weapons. No! The US goes in for carpet boombing using “shock and awe” and “calateral damage” on a gigantic scale as a deliberate cold and calculated terror tactic and then calls others “terrorists” for daring to fight back.

If you exclude Europe, that is an awful lot of countries where there are many people with a grudge against the US and its allies. And, as they have grown wealthier and more powerful in the last century, they are now in a position to push the US and its allies to the side and trade very happily amongst themselves with no need to turn to the arrogant ungrateful economically suicidal US or its allies.

Russia is not exactly friendly now

Having alienated Russia, by going along with the Minsk treaty which Russia had hoped to bring peace in Ukraine, whilst supplying arms to Zelensky to keep the violence going, thereby forcing Russia to take action in Ukraine, and thereby causing probably ten thousand deaths to Russians, in a war created by the EU and US, I doubt the Russians have  much good will toward the west. After the west’s appalling treatment of Russia, they will they can to help precipitate the fall of the west. And, with so many other countries full of resentment toward the US and eager to see its demise, it is not difficult to see a snowball effect leading to the ostracisation of the US, EU & UK by much of the world, as new alliances and trade links are formed.

I think someone once said: “you shall reep what you sowed”. The US, EU and UK attempted to isolate and destroy Russia. Now that is what the world may do to the US, EU and UK using the same tactics they attempted, but with far more success, because unlike Russia, the US, EU & UK are an economic shambles,

The Delusional Arrogance of Western Politicians and Media

For years, the politicians and media in the west have decided that they will force through a political agenda which they know is absolutely despised by the vast majority of their voters. They have manipulated the news, told blatant lies almost daily, all to create an atmosphere where they can distract the public fromt their real intent and blame others for the damage they are doing.

True … a large part of the blame lies with the complacency of Western electorates who largely don’t give a damn about the integrity of their elections or the honesty of their media, or even their own freedom of speech, so long as they personally are not affected, which really means so long as they have been brainwashed to go along with the delusional “reality” that the media creates to keep the population in control.

So, clone like the majority all have the same views on so many subjects … until it comes to their own economic position, where even relentless media brainwashing does not work. They know their pay packet cannot buy what it used to buy, and no amount of blaming others will change their need to restore their economic position. Hence the endless strikes and general and growing hate of government and all in it.

But, that is the problem with delusion: it doesn’t match reality. Yes the powers that be and the controlled media have gone into mega drive to lie to the public, but the result is only that the reality in the west, is fast departing from what any electorate, even a media brainwashed one,  will tolerate. Hence the growing public debt, as politicians desperately strive to make reality match the delusion: to both destroy the economy through policies like Net Zero, whilst having to pretend the economy is thriving. It will not go on! And, Ukraine, seems to have created the conditions, to precipitate the end. The West have shown they cannot be trusted, they have shown the dollar is no longer sustainable as a “go-to” currency, and they are incapable of supporting the dollar, when it collapses.

And, having created a delusion to hide the already bad reality, when it gets even worse, the delusion they created will be further and further from the truth, and it is only a matter of time before people question, not just the economic reality but everything else and start to see that they are being lied to through the media and by government. Then, there will be a large jump in views, a tectonic shift in public attitude, as the public becomes very hostile to those in power … at a time of massive economic stress. Not a great recipe!

Today’s Videos

These are two videos I saw today. The first is yet another video of how Zelensky’s thugs treat people. I did think about posting the one showing them hanging a pregnant woman, the one showing them crucifying someone and then burning them alive. I thought about the one showing them torturing and abusing a naked woman. I could have shown them shooting or abusing Russian prisoners. I could show the pit of civilians they shot. But instead all I will show, is not their violence, there is no need to show that, instead I will merely show their utter contempt for Russian speakers in Ukraine. You do not need to see the rest. And have no doubt this is clearly officially sanctioned.

And now Putin. A statesman. A man who should be proud if his army for the way they treat prisoners. An army that needs no prompting to avoid civilian casualties.

Yes, there were incidents like the poisoning in Salsbury. But, having seen the appalling behaviour of the UK blowing up the German-Russian pipeline. Having seen the way British special forces attempted to attack a nuclear power station with the risk of a nuclear incident. I don’t think we have the moral highground.

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New Anti-Zelensky Ukrainian group

I came across this video. I don’t speak Ukrainian, so they may be saying anything, but if the text is to be believed, this is a group of Ukrainians opposed to both Zelensky and the Russians.

This is interesting, because from a Russian military point of view, Zelensky has all the military skill of Hitler and as the drying up military supplies shows, is fast gaining the same propaganda value. So, I suspect Russia would be quite happy to keep Zelensky and certainly would not want him replaced with a competent anti-Russian leader.

Given Zelensky’s callous throwing away of Ukrainian lives, I’ve no doubt that this group will grow rapidly. There is not a lot someone forced into Zelensky’s front line can hope for except to be captured by the Russians or if not, a clean rather than a lingering death. This gives a new option: to end the war by removing Zelensky.

But, bizarrely, this might be welcome news to Zelensky. He has milked Ukraine dry of all the wealth he can extract, he is now facing inevitable defeat, and, so the only way for him to get out of Ukraine rich and “undefeated” is to have an excuse to skedaddle off to Israel to join his parents. Why Israel? Because it is possibly the only place in the world, where Zelensky will be safe from the US, who will undoubtedly try to silence him to prevent him blabbing to the world about their eight year involvement in planning and executing the war.

Why Isn’t Truss being prosecuted for Terrorism?

It has emerged, that UK “intelligence” has become the sick bag of US politics, into which any scheme that is too immoral, illegal or risky to carry out in the US is spewed to the poodles who run Britain.

For it is clear that as soon the the Nordstream pipelines were blown up, Truss was going to her masters in the US to tell them she had done it. She & everyone else involved in the UK should be investigated for terrorism, because I cannot see any way what she herself claims to have done was legal.

As for those utter contemptible immoral poodles in MI6 etc. You are US dog dirt. Were you all on Epstein Island? Is that why you roll over like poodles in the US shit?

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Is Zelensky about to go?

For some time we have been hearing about a massive build up of Zelensky’s forces about to attack Kherson. And, almost every day, there has indeed been some form of attempt to launch an attack, but like every day, today’s attack seems to have to fizzled out almost before it began.

This could be a ploy: to give the appearance of being unable to push an advance, so as to lull the Russians into a false sense of complacency, but this is a very dangerous tactic, because it eventually becomes self-fulfilling as Zelensky’s troops will begin believing they are done and refuse to advance whether or not they have any chance of success.

This is why, I woke up this morning with the idea that Zelensky was about to get a coup against him. That was weird because I have not read it, nor had I been thinking it, yet I woke up with the idea that there might be a coup. Which is why I was paying particular attention to today’s advance.

It may not be over today, the “advance” could happen any time, but as the weather is getting worse and Zelensky’s infrastructure is being repeatedly hit, and BuyDem needs a victory for his mid term elections, Zelensky is the one now under pressure to do something quickly, but what? The US, for whom Zelensky is fighting this proxy war, might still have shedloads of equipment they could dollop on Ukraine, but most of it is only suited to fighting for the Israelis in the Middle East. It doesn’t like the winter mud of Ukraine.

And, this war does seem to have a lot to do with the middle east, which makes the comments from the Israeli government all the more surprising. They don’t want to supply Ukraine with any of their military equipment because they believe it will land up on the hands of the Iranians. For a country that would benefit enormously if Russia were defeated, that looks to me like an admission that Zelensky hasn’t a hope of winning and is on the verge of losing to Russia: anything sent now, will get immediately captured. Which might explain why the US are unwilling to send advanced equipment as well … and there is the problem of the overall campaign leader on Zelensky’s side: General Corruption. Even if there were a peace deal, equipment going to Ukraine would still end up being sold to the highest bidder as it has in the past.

Zelensky and his US puppeteers have painted themselves into a corner. They have told the public that “winning” is the total removal of Russia … from the Russian speaking areas of the former USSR which were ambiguously created into a supposed country called “Ukraine”. But the Russians are going nowhere and simply by doing that they are now winning. Russians have dug in and now Zelensky sends wave after wave of people to fruitlessly die for the US losing most of their equipment in the process. And in Europe support for the US’ proxy war and Zelensky is fast fading making it highly unlikely he will ever get the equipment he would need to win.

Anyone in Ukraine who has been conscripted or risks being conscripted can see Zelensky is going to toss their life away and now the only way to survive is to surrender to Russia or get rid of Zelensky and his US masters.

As Napoleon said: Never Interrupt Your Enemy When He is Making a Mistake!

I cannot see any scenario where Russia loses.

Has Zelensky already left Ukraine?

As many have pointed out, since the Russians started sending missiles to destroy Zelensky’s infrastructure, all Zelensky’s appearances have been pre-recorded with green screen technology giving an amateurish appearance of being “at the action”. As a result, there has been speculation as to where Zelensky is. The options appear to be:

  1. In a bunker in Kiev. This is the least likely, because why stay in Kiev and then use green screens?
  2. In a bunker somewhere in Ukraine. This makes more sense, because Zelensky knows he is a Russian target and this is far safer than Kiev and allows him the chance to make a dramatic reappearance at some point.
  3. Hiding in another country. If Zelensky is so worried about Russian attacks, that he will not appear in public, then why even risk being in Ukraine which could soon be over run by Russia?
  4. Hiding under the control of the US. This, I would suggest, is the most likely option, whether in Ukraine or not. Because, with a strong likelihood that Zelensky will soon be out of power, the US wants to remove all evidence of their involvement. So, I don’t think they will be allowing Zelensky to roam the world blaming the CIA for not doing more to support him.

Indeed, the US will take much the same attitude to all the high up people in Ukraine. Paradoxically, the only place they will be “safe” is in Russia, and only then if they helped them out in some way, which means they need to blab everything … which is why the US is going to be after them the moment it starts falling apart.

That is why it could all go pear shaped very quickly. As soon as the leadership in Ukraine realises that the game is up, I can see a race to get to and work with the Russians. The first to do so, will get handsomely rewarded, the rest can only hope to save their skins, those that lose the race will be left to the US to dispose of.

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First drone air “battle”?

I found this Russian post with the following video with the translated text: “The first published air “battle” of Russian and Ukrainian quadrocopters”

From the fact it is published in Russian, I suspect the Russian drone won. We don’t see the drone taking the video, however it is clear the drone in the image is quite small and the one taking the video must be quite large as there is almost no movement when the smaller drone is hit.

As drones are likely looking toward the other side, I suggest the following scenario: the bigger drone sees the smaller one, which is quite static, and does not respond, so it appears unaware of the larger one. So, the smaller one is looking down, perhaps acting as an eye in the sky for advancing forces. The larger drone is slightly above the smaller one, so in a blind spot.

The larger drone flies over the smaller one, the propellers hit the legs of the larger one and  debris can be seen flying off, the smaller drone loses control and almost certainly crashed.

To give a comparison in size, the drone in the image is perhaps 20-30 cm body length. This may be the Russian drone:

IMG_9795

Addendum I have just read this:

The Russian reconnaissance quadcopter encountered the Ukrainian quadcopter and just stood still, while the Ukrainian quadcopter crawled under it and tried to disable it but without success, the Ukrainian quadcopter damaged itself and fell to the ground

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Sad day for Ukraine – what next?

It has been pretty obvious for a while that Russia was not going to meekly depart from the areas of Russian speakers who have been brutalised by US supported Nazis in Ukraine. And, let’s be frank, when I say “US support”, I mean that small group who also support Israel.

When Russia held the referendums and proved that overwhelmingly the people of the regions it held, wanted to be part of the Russian Federation, there was a chance for peace. But this war has never been about what Ukrainians wanted. Instead it is a small group of people in the US wanting regime change in Moscow. So, they have ensured every peace deal has been torpedoed from the Minsk agreement, to the one earlier this year, to the Turkish proposals. They wanted war, and Ukrainians deaths do not matter to them. It is a sad day.

It has been obvious that Russia was not going to continue to give up ground, even though this was at huge cost in terms of men and equipment for Zelensky. Zelensky is running out of tanks … and his forces can only use out of date Soviet era tanks … they are almost scouring the museum collections of Europe to get the few such models that still exist to supply him. And, his forces are totally outgunned and totally without air support. All his forces had, was the willingness of Zelensky to murder 100s of thousands of them on gaining a few bits of ground.

For the last week, we have now seen the Russians holding their ground and repelling all attempts to push forward by Zelensky’s forces and even minor gains for Russia of Zaitseve and reports that Zelensky’s forces are about to depart Bakhmut, a key part of the attack on Russian Donetsk.

But, who could say what they were planning. Indeed, I saw no point speculating. But, clearly there has been an escalation of activity when General Surovikin took over sole control. Today (his birthday) we are seeing, what I hear are cruise missiles being fired all over Zelensky’s area of control.

It is an inevitable escalation caused by the refusal of the west to respect the democratic wishes of those who want to join the Russian Federation.

That small group in the US did not allow Ukraine to have peace. Now Ukrainians are suffering. Indeed, Russians are suffering, the fuel poor in Europe are suffering. And, the only way I can see to end that suffering is for the quickest resolution of the conflict in Ukraine. Given that Ukrainians are not allowed peace, and that they haven’t had the sense to deal with the “leader” imposed on them from afar, the path that reduces death & suffering is a quick defeat for Zelensky. And, a Russian army that continues to maintain the high level of respect for civilians that we have so far seen. But unfortunately, war brings death, but at least the Russians bury the enemy with respect, whereas Zelensky has been killing any Russian speakers who “collaborated” with Russia. And, let’s be clear what they mean by “collaborating” … that includes distributing food supplied by Russia to civilians. I cannot say that those that Zelensky’s thugs are killing include those who were distributing food, but they were executed without any judicial process and treated with total contempt, described by one thug as “killing pigs”. That is how much hatred those vile people in the US have stirred up.

Russia has called up 300,000 reservists. These are people who have some experience in conflict. In contrast, I hear that Zelensky is conscripting women, and I saw one video showing a “how to fire your gun” leaflet that had been found. These Russian forces include Chechens, which supposedly means experienced combat troops known for aggressive fighting. It seems an unequal contest.

Now, we see a build up of forces on the (NW) Belarus border. It is reported that Zelensky’s forces have been laying anti-tank mines on the roads across the border. Is this an indication of a full scale attack aimed at Kiev? Or is it a diversion to hold large numbers of Zelenksy’s forces up in the NW, whilst Surovikin drives in a wedge elsewhere?

And, how will the US respond? It is already widely known there are US and UK troops on the ground fighting against Russia, but that is not currently officially acknowledged. They are already pouring in mercenaries … who the Russians appear to take particular delight in removing. I just look at it and think: “some pour kid will not have their dad/grandad home for Christmas” … and for what? For a war that has nothing to do with us and little to do with what Ukrainians want.

Unfortunately, we live at a time of totally bonkers politics. Where a common cold shuts down the country, where Europe is cutting off its fuel to spite its frost bitten face. And the US is just evil. Those on Epstein’s island abusing children … never prosecuted. BuyDem union not yet convicted and “10% for the big guy” still in power. Corruption is rife in the US … and that corruption is driving the war in Ukraine. And, unfortunately, the US’s response will be what those corrupt individuals dictate.

But, it does not look good for the US. BuyDem recently visited Saudi Arabia to order them to increase production. Their response was to cut back. And, for understandable reasons given the US are fighting a war in Syria, and occupying Syrian land (see the double standards!) The US, or at least that small group who think they own the US, also think they own the middle east and can dictate what happens. Hence the Russian support for Syria against that group, is likely to be the cause of attempting to get rid of Putin. So, they can install a “friendly” candidate so that Russia is controlled like the US.

But the US is running out of money, and from the Saudi response, it is running out of friends as well. US power is waning. The only place it still has power is in Europe through its control over the press and media. Hence the totally bonkers politics … they are literally able to brainwash politicians through their control over the legacy and social medias. Which isn’t a lot of use, when the US and Europe are about to face economic collapse and with it their global influence.

And, that is why the small group in the US, may decide that regime change in Russia is not worth it. Because, if the US goes down the pan, then so do the US “friends” in the middle east. So, the Ukrainians may just be allowed peace, to get regime change in the US and save the US from economic collapse.

 

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