Campaign to save the Climate Alarmist

Don't future generations deserve to see more than stuffed climate alarmists like this dodo?

We must preserve climate alarmists! Otherwise future generations will only see stuffed specimens like this dodo.


There are some species such as the Passenger Pigeon or the American Buffalo that are so numerous that no thinks they could disappear and not until too late does anyone think to protect them.
Back around 2007 when I first became a sceptic, you could go onto almost any forum in the world and be guaranteed to be the only sceptic or exceptionally, one of a small minority.
But these days even UK Guardian is so full to the brim of sceptics that it’s hard to be heard. I did find one of these isolated habitats where alarmists still thrive but I forgot to bookmark it and I’m now regretting that. These sites are now like gold-dust, secret reserves known to only a few sceptics jealously guarding their own clutch of alarmists. Continue reading

Posted in Humour | 18 Comments

Scientists: Join Prof Kelly or get booed off the lectern.

Any sceptic who knows any academics will know some who are sceptical of catastrophic or “doomsday” warming who are afraid to speak out. So hopefully they will all begin speaking out when someone as prominent of Prof Kelly of the Royal Society speaks out against that same society and says they are wrong.
There is a simple rule in science and that is theories are tested by weather 🙂 … whether they predict the evidence and whether the theories work. Therefore it is the cardinal rule in real science that no evidence or indeed contrary views are repressed.
However, western science has been living through a dark age of repression. Because for decades science has been decided not by whether the theories work, not by whether the climate behaves as predicted, but whether the theories are politically correct.
Even at this moment President Obama is conducting a hate campaign against ordinary decent American scientists who dare to speak up … not for anything political, violent … but simply for daring to say the evidence & science does not support the political belief in catastrophic global warming.
Those who were there will remember that in a similar way Tony Blair told us in Britain that the evidence was “unequivocal” that Iraq president Sadam Hussein had Weapons of Mass Destruction. Unlike the US where many factors were taken into account, in the UK it was on this basis alone that Blair demanded that the British parliament went to war. It turned out that claim was a totally bogus lie. It turned out the “unequivocal evidence” was nothing of the sort. Any evidence there was was “sexed up” and it is widely believed by many people in the UK that much of the evidence itself was fabricated solely to delude the British public and parliament.
But there was one brave sole who stood up to be counted. Like the noble Prof Kelly who has spoken out for science against the Royal Society, his name was also Kelly, a Dr Kelly. He let the press know the evidence could not support the conclusions it was being used to support. He met his death, whether it was by his own hands or another we do not know, but we do know his death was undoubtedly the responsibility of the British establishment either by intention or neglect.
Whether or not the Iraq war could be justified as Bush did in the US, the fact is that the perpetrators of the horrific events of 911 were in Afghanistan – a region almost ignored as Bush pushed for war in the middle east an area that has been in turmoil ever since leading directly to the rise of ISIS. So if only in hindsight, history will judge the Blair-Bush invasion of Iraq as a failure leading to ISIS. It singularly failed to make Iraq stable or save the population from repressive murdering regimes.
We can only guess what would have happened if the true state of evidence were known about WMD. But we can be certain that without the lies over WMD, if the UK had gone to war it would have been by popular support which would have vastly reduced the potential for home-grown terrorists that have since emerged.
The important thing is like Climate, we know for certain that many of those at the coal face gathering intelligence were completely deluded about Sadam’s “WMD”. We know there were widespread doubts but only one brave sole dared to speak up. And the many like Dr Kelly who did not speak out are perhaps more culpable than any for for both Dr Kelly’s death and all the lives lost in Iraq in the war and since. Indeed, I’ve always felt that it was highly likely that Sadam would actively encourage rumours of WMD because it would make him look a threat and therefore less vulnerable to outside aggression – an obvious possibility that seemed impossible for these “intelligence” agencies to conceive.
But like Iraq WMD, in the area of climate we have also seen this wholesale fabrication or at least “sexing up” of the evidence. Normal weather events seen regularly were sexed up as “Weather of Mass Destruction”. Scientists who did not support the political “consensus” like Salby were hounded out of their jobs. And eventually those at the coalface of gathering intelligence became so deluded by their own sexed up evidence that even in the face of increasing evidence that their predictions were wrong, they laughingly increased their confidence that they were right.
Now is the time to speak up
From my analysis of the past temperature of the planet, I guarantee that sooner or later temperatures will drop below the current level. And when that happens, if this whole “carbon capitalist”, “anti-western industry” scare has not imploded before, it certainly will certainly implode at that point. And I doubt the public who have had £100s if not £1000s stolen from us through our electricity bills at a time of great hardship economically will be in any mood to forgive. Those not speaking up, will be treated no differently from the last few zealots as they all are left “holding the baby” of failed science.
At that point, people like Prof Kelly who speak up for the evidence against the “consensus” will be applauded. But those who wait until there is no choice but to accept the evidence that the models have failed, will be booed off the lectern.
So, academics now have a simple choice. Not speaking up puts you in the same camp as deluded zealots. So, you have a simple choice. You can speak up for science now or suffer the indignity and lack of credibility when this delusion is exposed for what it is,

it’s your choice.

Posted in Climate | Comments Off on Scientists: Join Prof Kelly or get booed off the lectern.

The $100,000 bet

Today I was posting a few comments online  and I nearly got one annoying alarmist to agree to a 100:1 bet with him forking out the $100,000 – but apparently not.
I’m not naming the person as I really don’t want someone who cannot afford the wager to be forced into it. But clearly they quickly realised that it was a pretty awful bet, even for those believing in massive warming (they didn’t even notice there was an upper limit!!). However, I’m recounting the tale as it does prove how gullible these warmists are and how little understanding they have of how likely events are.
It started when I said something like: “the models do not work” or “if you predict warming and that predicted warming doesn’t happen then the model/theory is invalid and not science”. Well apparently the greenblob also work Saturdays, because one quite obnoxious individual just kept coming back with a whole lot of twaddle. In the past I’ve found that if I just keep to the point and asked them to show me that the global average surface temperature had warmed by at least the lowest prediction of the IPCC prediction they would eventually give up.
Of course, they were unable to give any dataset that had warmed by the 0.14C/decade warming from 2001 when that prediction was made. Usually even the most ardent eco-zealots realise that they’ve lost and give up, but this individual must be a novice born again believer who did not know when to stop. Continue reading

Posted in Climate | 4 Comments

An Aspiring Scientist’s Frustration with Modern-Day Academia

Judith Curry alerted me to a really good article “Here’s one way to reach a consensus“. I think very accurately describes the environment within which the global warming scare flourished and sceptical-science was repressed. Here’s a good excerpt. You need only know is that her own academic she was attacking based his views on actual research evidence and that the “mainstream” being described was “based on junk science advanced by a scientist with a fraudulent degree”.

The Dean of the UCLA School of Public Health admits that she only had “very general” knowledge of a dissenting scientist’s research — so general that she doesn’t know what his conclusions were based on, but still confidently declares her allegiance to the mainstream. Her opinion, you see, is based on “science,” while she has no idea how Dr. Enstrom — a researcher in her own school — came up with his conclusions.

This is exactly why the public should be suspicious of arguments based largely on appeal to “consensus” or the “mainstream.” Consensus is all-too-often created through censorship, suppression, greed, and opportunism.

This confirms what I have known for some time. In many areas like climate, so called “science” is rotten to the core. These subjects are worse than useless, actively causing damage to society by attacking those who do do good science.
It reminded me of another article, which because it was not involving climate, makes an all the more more powerful argument against climate alarmism in academia. It’s not easy to find, so to make it more available I’m reproducing the original in full below (it can be found at Pascal Junod).  Also there’s an interesting facebook group dealing with this area called: Just Science
Dear EPFL,
Continue reading

Posted in Academia, Sceptics, science | 3 Comments

How to boil a journalist

No frogs were harmed in the making of this photo

No frogs were harmed in the making of this photo


I have watching with increasing bewilderment as various journalists continue with their alarmist rhetoric which simply cannot be sustained against current evidence. And I think I’ve found the metaphor for what is happening.
There is a belief amongst some people that if you put a frog in a pan and slowly raise the temperature, that it will just sit there until it is too hot and it dies. Of course like the flat earth and Canute with the waves, it is made up rubbish.
Continue reading

Posted in Climate | 5 Comments

Toward a new theory of ice-ages XVI (Skydragons and Pressure induced heating)

Pressure pushing down causes heat to rise.

Pressure pushing down causes temperature to rise. So with more gas in the atmosphere the effect would be to increase the global temperature.


There’s a reasonable correlation between atmospheric pressure and the “greenhouse effect” found on various planets and whilst some “Skydragons” might appear to have some crazy ideas, it’s reasonable to accept that rising pressure would cause warming.
Somewhere online I had a really interesting discussion but I’ve now lost it with society distractions, so I will quickly post this as a very plausible addition to the work so far. Now I once said Skydragons were lousy publicists – and to prove it I can’t find any sites on this planetary warming online and the book “Slaying the Sky Dragon” doesn’t obviously have the graph. Continue reading

Posted in Caterpillar, Climate, Ice age | 1 Comment

My Guardian comment

The Guardian have an article “We must reclaim the climate change debate from the political extremes”. It has been very noticeable that almost no forum on the internet is not now dominated by sceptic views and that recently that the Guardian has upped the rhetoric with a whole string of vitriolic articles about “deniers”.
So I wrote the following comment, apparently so extreme that it was removed:
The Guardian is the political extreme. For years we sceptics have been the mainstream on this subject trying to encourage a sensible policy toward what is afterall only plant food.
But no. Political extremists and zealots at the Guardian and BBC have carried out a vindictive vitriolic attack on the ordinary scientists and engineers who have the expertise to look at the evidence and conclude it doesn’t support the argument to effectively destroy the western economy.
For 18 years we have watched as the temperature stubbornly failed to rise and during that time rather than becoming less certain as the evidence requires the “scientists” – for they are not scientist – kept INCREASING their certainty in what is clearly one of the biggest scientific delusions ever seen.
Anyone that understands control systems will know the climate must be stable just from a look at the ice-age cycle. But no we weren’t listened to be the numpties in papers like the Guardian who some how thought their arts degrees made them better judges than the scientists and engineers who are sceptics.
Now, the evidence has come in proving just what we have been saying. There are massive negative feedbacks and far from “runaway warming”, it will be difficult to get any warming at all.
http://judithcurry.com/2015/03/10/the-albedo-of-earth/
So, now we expect an immediate full and frank apology from the Guardian and BBC. We consumers who have been wrongly charged hundreds if not thousands of pounds on our electricity bill demand our money back. And we sceptics deserve compensation to cover our time and expenses.
Posted in Climate | 5 Comments

Proof: recent temperature trends are not abnormal

Central England Temperature

Central England Temperature


It has frequently been stated that 2oth century warming was “unprecedented” or “cannot be explained”. This article sets out to test this assertion on CET the longest available temperature series. I find the CET data rejects the hypothesis of ‘climate change’ (>58%) & current ‘global warming’ (>72%) and that overall global temperature has not changed significantly more than would be expected. I do however detect a marginally higher trend over a 50year period ending 2009 with about 2.5σ and a 35% chance of occurring normally within the dataset. However this is inconsistent with an established trend as progressively shorter periods toward the present time tend toward lower trends (40yr: 1.7σ, 30yr: 1.3σ, 20yr: 1.6σ, 10yr: -0.9σ).
I am therefore more than 58% certain that the data is consistent with natural variation and more than 73% certain that any current warming is within the normal range expected. Continue reading

Posted in 1/f, Climate, My Best Articles | Tagged , , , , | 17 Comments

BBC Lies

In science there is only one thing that matters: does a theory predict what actually happens.
In an hour of utter drivel broadcast by the BBC tonight the simple fact the climate models do not work was never mentioned once.
The pause or in other words, the clear unequivocal discrepancy between prediction and actual temperature is the single most important issue. Because if the models cannot predict the climate they have no scientific credibility.
What more can one say about an organisation that despite all the evidence against their alarmism appears to have set to knowingly and intentionally lie to the public.
They are devoid on any credibility.

Posted in Climate | 1 Comment

The symbol of sceptics?

If we go onto any sceptic blog from WattsUpWithThat to JoNova, we will find pretty much the same type of people with a superb understanding of science and engineering and very good grasp of how science should be done. That is based on the scientific method. Largely to define ourselves as “sceptical” of the alarmist doomsday warming, we call ourselves “sceptics”. Because it would be just as wrong to say we know they are wrong as it is for the alarmists to assert they are right.
So, a sceptic is someone who draws their conclusion conservatively from the data. It is the basis of proper science (although the word “science” now seems to be meaningless as “science” has come to mean almost any group of academics even if all they do is dress up their political views with long words).
Scepticism is at the heart of good engineering. It’s the rule of thumb that says “the theory says the bridge should hold with only so much steel – but let’s just be safe and add a bit more”. It’s the knowledge that theory does not always work in practice and that only experience or “testing” really determines the validity of ideas.
Is there any symbol that represents that view? Justice has the scales.  I’ve used the butterfly to symbolise the butterfly effect in climate whereby just because we cannot measure something directly it does not mean it will not affect the climate.
 

Posted in Climate | 8 Comments