The lull before the storm?

Back at the height of the Global warming story, google was reporting news stories every few minutes with typically 10 stories an hour. Today, I looked and found that in the last 14 hours, there had only been 9 stories globally – and they were quite dire.
What is even more noticeable, is the rush of sceptic stories coming out on the blogs. In the last 11hours there have been 30 blog postings, of which quite a few would undoubtedly make good headlines to a journalist with the inclination to make a name for themselves.
Never before have the climate extremists been so incapable of fabricating “climate doom” stories to satisfy the insatiable appetite of the media and never since Climategate have sceptic  blogs been so awash with real tangible tales of corruption and fraud.
And never before have politicians in the US had so much incentive to shovel the shit on Obama & the “Democrats”.

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Is this Global Warming Racket's "Black Tuesday?"

Today, there are just so many juicy stories appearing that I haven’t a hope of covering them (And I don’t have time as I’ve got other fish to fry**).
They are all individually worth reading, but when I put them all together it definitely looks like the Global Warming Racket – which has been showing signs of beginning to crack – is beginning to fall.
I’ve often talked about a “feeding frenzy” of the sharks in the press … I won’t say anything more … except that if it happens, the global warming racketeers now deserve everything they get.

Tony Heller: Hayhoe Accused Of Fraud

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2015/09/29/hayhoe-accused-of-fraud/
Tony Heller once again calls out Katharine Hayhoe for outright lies.
According to Scientific American about the Texas floods earlier this year:
In a Facebook post Sunday, high-profile climate researcher Katharine Hayhoe, director of Texas Tech University’s Climate Science Center, stated that “climate change will affect us in the ways we’re already vulnerable to climate and weather today, and Texas is no exception.”
While extreme weather events like droughts and floods occur naturally in Texas, precipitation in the state is becoming more variable, making droughts more potent and increasing the risk of heavy rainfall and flooding, Hayhoe said.
“Science does not say that climate change is CAUSING the extreme rain and drought we’re seeing across the U.S. today, and in recent years,” she said. “Just like steroids make a baseball player stronger, climate change EXACERBATES many of our weather extremes, making many of them, on average, worse than they would have been naturally.”
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/climate-change-may-have-souped-up-record-breaking-texas-deluge/

They’re out to get me – nutty cambridge professor loses case

A Cambridge professor who claimed that assassins may have murdered three British scientists investigating the impact of global warming has had a complaint against The Times dismissed by the press regulator. Peter Wadhams said in an interview that he feared he might also have been targeted himself. When his comments were published byThe Times, the academic complained that he had been misquoted and that the newspaper had breached a duty of confidentiality towards him. An investigation by the Independent Press Standards Organisation has found that Professor Wadhams did make the claims reported and has cleared the newspaper of breaching the editors’ code of practice. –David Brown, The Times, 28 September 2015
Peter Wadhams is something of a favourite at [Bishop Hill], his researches into the paranormal, his physics-free sea-ice predictions and his concerns about assassination having provided readers with much entertainment over the years. The last of these claims led to an official complaint to the Press Regulator, but it seems that Prof Wadhams’ complaint has been no more successful than his doom-laden predictions about the Arctic. Prof Wadhams is an advisor to Pope Francis. –Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, 28 September 2015

Delingpole: the Great diesel scandal

Why did no one speak out against this idiocy? Well, of course, a few did — people such as former chancellor Nigel Lawson, the Tory MP Peter Lilley, and journalists Christopher Booker and Richard North. But for years these sceptical voices have been drowned out by the yells of hypocritical politicians, greedy corporations, green zealots and a gullible public that ‘something must be done’ to deal with the supposed menace of man-made carbon dioxide. The great dash for diesel was a huge, expensive con inflicted on us by people who should have known better — and indeed did know better — but were so dazzled by the climate change scare that they could not see the bigger picture. It isn’t the first time this has happened, and it won’t be the last. –James Delingpole, The Great Diesel Scandal, Daily Mail, 9 August 2014

Bishop Hill: RICO letter disappears

Steve Milloy notes that the letter by Shukla et al calling for sceptics to be had up on racketeering charges has suddenly disappeared from the website where it was hosted.
You can imagine the horror on the signatories’ faces when they realised that some very determined people were about to take a close interest in their financial arrangements and those of their colleagues at IGES. I’m not sure taking the letter down is going to help much though.
 

Heller: (yet another) Mindblowing Fraud In Victoria

Wilsons Promonotory is the southernmost point in Victoria. Satellites show that there has been no warming there since the start of records in 1978.

As of 2012, GISS showed no warming since the start of records in 1880.
But since 2012, Gavin and Tom (who lead one of the groups governments use to make policy) have added a spectacular hockey stick of post 1978 (satellite era) warming.

 

Bishop Hill: The Sharks

From Bishop Hill:-
Yes folks, we may have reached peak climate drivel, with the news that we are being saved from impending climate disaster by the heroic actions of a hardy bunch of…sharks.

Turtle-eating sharks help slow global warming, scientist says
Sharks help to reduce global warming by eating sea turtles and other creatures that consume carbon-rich sea grasses, an Australian scientist said on Tuesday.

Sometimes there are no words adequate to describe the silliness of the climate change researcher.

Bishop Hill: The Sin: £6bn on climate is mad


**Finally today I worked out the etymology of “Church”. It might not sound much, but it took over a decade to find it. And the deeper significance is very profound as it is akin to saying “I have found the meaning of the holy grail”.

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BBC admits: birdmincers mince 12x as many birds

The BBC is one of the most if not the most biased media organisation on climate … and usually such stories magically disappear no doubt as soon as the Guardian or greenspin read it and start yelling down the phone at them to “take it down”. So, here it is preserved … the BBC admitting not only that birdmincers are birdmincers, but that they are “even worse than they (didn’t) think”.

Offshore wind farms could pose a more serious threat to Scotland’s globally important gannet population than previously thought, scientists claim.

It is thought 12 times as many gannets could be killed by the turbines than previous estimates.
It follows research which showed the seabirds fly at greater heights when searching for food than other studies have suggested.
That is said to increase the risk of being hit by spinning turbine blades.
The calculation was made by scientists from the universities of Leeds, Exeter, and Glasgow.
Sources in the offshore wind industry have told BBC Scotland they believe the research must be treated with caution because it involved only a “tiny percentage” of the gannet population on the Bass Rock.
But conservationists have responded by pointing out the size of the colony means the scientists would have had to study 800 individual birds if they were to achieve a sample size of only 0.5 per cent of the population.
The Scottish government approved plans for four new offshore wind farms on the east coast in October 2014.
RSPB Scotland is already challenging the Scottish government’s support for the developments in the courts, after arguing they “would be amongst the most deadly for birds anywhere in the world”.


Factbox

The Neart na Gaoithe offshore windfarm will have up to 75 turbines. It is due to be built 15km east of the coastline at Fife Ness.
The Seagreen Alpha and Seagreen Bravo developments will have a combined total of up to 150 turbines. They are to be installed 27 to 38km east of the Angus coastline.
The Inch Cape windfarm will have up to 110 turbines. It is located 15 to 22km east of the coast of Angus.
Source: (numpty) Scottish government


The Bass Rock in the Firth of Forth is home to what has become the world’s biggest gannet colony. An estimated 70,000 pairs of gannets now breed there, between April and September, each year.
The birds can cover distances of hundreds of kilometres when searching for food. The scientists point out the Bass Rock is less than 50km from proposed turbine sites.
The blades of offshore wind turbines must be at least 22m above sea level, due to the need to protect shipping. It had been thought gannets flew well below that height.
But research carried out in the Firth of Forth shows the birds fly at an average height of 27m above sea level when searching and diving for prey. The scientists used lightweight GPS logging devices and barometric pressure loggers, temporarily taped to the gannets’ tails, to track the birds as they flew from the Bass Rock to search for fish.
Until now, data had been gathered by trained surveyors on boats, who estimated the height at which the birds flew, or by radar.

‘Collision risks’

Prof Keith Hamer of the School of Biology at Leeds University oversaw the new research.
He said: “Our study highlights the shortfalls in current methods widely used to assess potential collision risks from offshore windfarms, and we recommend much greater use of loggers carried by birds to complement existing data from radar studies or observers at sea.”
The data gathered in the latest study was used to predict that around 1,500 breeding birds could be killed each year at the two planned wind farms nearest to the Bass Rock.
Dr Ian Cleasby, of Exeter University and the lead author of the study, cautioned: “There’s a lot of uncertainty over how many birds would actually be killed this way. But our predictions, if realised in the field, are high enough to cause concern over the potential long-term effects on population size.”
Co-author Dr Ewan Wakefield of the University of Glasgow, said: “It seems that many gannets fly at just the wrong heights in just the wrong places. Increasing the distance between the tips of the spinning turbine blades and the sea would give gannets more headroom.
“We strongly urge that the current minimum permitted clearance turbine height be raised from 22m to 30m above sea level.”
The renewable energy industry insists the potential environmental impact of offshore windfarms is already carefully examined before consent is granted by ministers.
Hannah Smith, of Scottish Renewables, said: “It is important to put this research into context. It focuses on developing a new method using a tiny sample of less than 1% of the total gannet population that can be found at the Bass Rock.
“Offshore windfarm developers in Scotland spend up to three years collecting detailed data on bird populations which is then scrutinised by various nature conservation bodies as part of their planning application.”
In a statement, the Scottish government told BBC Scotland: “This study, although limited in scope, makes a useful contribution to improving our understanding of seabird behaviour.
“Harnessing our natural resources through offshore wind helps to decarbonise our electricity supplies as a key plank of tackling climate change, which we know is itself having a significant effect on bird populations.”
A spokesman for RSPB Scotland said: “This is an enormously useful and scientifically sound contribution that highlights how little we know about what seabirds do when they are out at sea and away from their nesting sites around our coast.
“RSPB Scotland is currently involved in a Judicial Review of the four offshore windfarm projects in the Firths of Forth and Tay. Given the ongoing legal proceedings, it would not be appropriate for us to comment further on the implications of this research in relation to these cases.”
The study was funded by the Natural Environment Research Council and the Department of Energy and Climate Change. It has been published in the Journal of Applied Ecology.

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Jennifer Marohasy: Temperature Adjustments and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology

I’m noticing a growing anger and frankly bewilderment as to how they continue to get away with so obviously breaking the law. More and more people not only accept it is happening but are quite prepared to openly talk about the criminal behaviour of the “troughers”. It surely must rank amongst one of the most blatant global criminal conspiracies of all time. If we in the UK had anti-racketeering legislation I would certainly be asking for a criminal investigation to start.

For the true believer, it is too awful to even consider that the Australian Bureau of Meteorology could be exaggerating global warming by adjusting figures. This doesn’t mean though, that it’s not true.
In fact, under Prime Minister Tony Abbott, a panel of eminent statisticians was formed to investigate these claims detailed in The Australian newspaper in August and September 2014. The panel did acknowledge in its first report that the Bureau homogenized the temperature data: that it adjusted figures.

Rutherglen is of course in north eastern Victoria, an agricultural research station with a continuous minimum temperature record unaffected by equipment changes or documented site-moves, but where the Bureau nevertheless adjusted the temperatures. This had the effect of turning a temperature time series without a statistically significant trend, into global warming of almost 2 degrees per Century.

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Kalte Sonne: Britain has left the path of climate hysteria . When will follow Germany ?

The financial post has an interesting article (spotted through Die Kalte Sonne)

The greatest constellation that the world has ever created of free markets, property rights, the rule of law and economic liberty — the Anglosphere of Britain and the former colonies that broadly adopted its ever-adaptable culture and resilient political structure — has been dominant now for centuries, first through the British Empire, then through America’s supremacy. The same virtues that allowed Anglo-exceptionalism to flourish is leading the way again in the greatest environmental controversy of our age, as evidenced by the Anglosphere’s flirtation with, then rejection of, the global warming orthodoxy.
(Source)

Feels like a job well done for us UK sceptics (with a lot of help from our international friends).

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Problems with the wave particle theory of light

There are at least two reasons why the wave-particle theory of light is not a scientific theory. The first is that it is not scientifically testable, the second is that it requires an instantaneous transfer across the whole universe of the information regarding the annihilation of each and every photon in what if anyone thinks about it is scientific gibberish.
This is something that I started about 30 years ago. Put simply it is just an easier way to explain the behaviour of light which is not only compatible with the experimental data, but more importantly – it makes sense and is scientifically testable.
This first article is just to outline the issue with the current wave particle theory which to recap, in the classical theory of light, it is said to take two different forms:

  • A particle
  • An electron-magnetic wave

From which it has become known as the “wave-particle” duality. But in science there is a simple requirement and that is that any theory must be disprovable.
So, let us perform a thought experiment. If we get wave like properties does this disprove this theory? Obviously not. However, if however, we repeat the same experiment and this time we get particle like properties, does this disprove the theory? No! That is because the theory says it can be a wave and it can be a particle – but it doesn’t say when it will behave like either. Nor does it say it must always behave like one or the other. So, it can almost arbitrarily appear as a wave or a particle or just appear as one – but because it never predicts when it is a wave or when a particle there is really nothing that can be disproven.
To show how unscientific this wave-particle theory is, let me propose a new version of the theory. This I will call the wave-particle-bullshit theory. This theory, says that light might behave like a wave, like a particle or like bullshit. I don’t know of any instance where light does behave like Bullshit, but using the same “rules” of the wave-particle theory, I don’t have to know when it behaves like bullshit. So, under what circumstances can I prove the wave-particle-bullshit theory incorrect? Just like the wave-particle theory, because I don’t specify when the light appears as bullshit, even if it never appears as bullshit,  it can never be disproven – because failing to appear as bullshit just means we have to wait a bit longer.
So, the wave-particl-bullshit theory, like the wave particle theory is scientifically untestable.
The second problem is that if light travels as a probability wave for a long time, the wave front will spread out over greater and greater distances. Then at some point when it interacts with one speck of matter the whole wave is suppose to collapse in an instant into one point. So, in effect, the probability wave might travel hundreds of millions of miles in an instant. Not only does this break the rule about the limit of the speed of light – but it also makes no sense at all as the probability wave has to instantly know how to get to a very small area of space around an atom.

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Well done Steve Goddard – most UK climate commenters agree temperature data is fiddled.

I was just looking around to see what news there had been worth reading and I came across a UK Daily Mail article.
Unlocking the origins of global warming: Scientists pinpoint signs of climate change as early as 1940…and it began in Africa
After starting to read the latest comments I went to view what the top rated commenters, had said. And as I noticed commenter and commenter expressly stating the temperature data had been produced fraudulently (or similar terms), I realised that it is now commonly accepted by the public commenting on these blogs that the climate extremists producing these global warming figures are doing so dishonestly.
To use a metaphor … the sharks are clearly circling the climate extremists … one slip, one cut, one droplet of blood and I’ve no doubt they will be in for the kill.

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What happens after the Dead Parrot Talks?

Now that even WattsUpWIthThat have cottoned on to the failure of the Paris talks, Google forecasts no interest in Paris COP21 perhaps its time to start speculating as to how the climate extremists will respond when they once again face failure.
However, let me be frank, I’ve rather lost faith in my ability to predict the behaviour of climate extremists because they are just so irrational. At the end of 2012, when the Kyoto agreement stopped having any effect and despite having years to agree one, there was no sign of replacement, I knew the game was up. But apparently the climate extremists didn’t and when I challenged people on line they seriously told me the Kyoto accord was still functioning … that Elvis was alive (joke). But now, three years further along, even the climate extremists are beginning to admit the failure of the dead parrot talks in Paris. But whereas in 2012, I predicted a “thieves falling out” scenario after the commitment expired I now know these climate extremists are not rational people.
After all, not only do climate extremists irrationally believe in global doomsday, but they appear also to be totally irrational about their own prospects for governments to bow down and destroy their economies for the sake of their collective hysteria.
So, based on previous climate meetings, each of which has been an appalling failure – but proclaimed a success, I am rather reluctantly forced to predict that yet again they will come out of this meeting proclaiming it to be a success and yet again vowing to swallow the BS they are fed for just a few more years for the sake of “making progress”.
Or is that just too cynical?

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Fun question: what's the average IQ of a sceptic?

I was commenting saying that “organisations are generally dumber than the people in them” – which made me realise why the climate extremists organisations are even stupider than they are. Which implies sceptics are more intelligent than most, supported by the fact that the survey of sceptics showed around half had a post graduate qualification.
So do sceptics generally have a higher IQ?
 

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Global warming in context

There’s a scene at the end of Men in Black II where kay opens a door to reveal that humans are just an insignificant group metaphorically living in a locker unaware of the wider context in which they live just like the “locker people” (below).

In a similar way this video really puts the minuscule “unprecedented” temperature rise which so many have vent so much angst about in its true context: a very small part of the normal natural variation of planetary temperature:

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