oMSM drops "Global warming" – but still alarmist.

Over the years I’ve regularly done a google search on their news reports for “Global warming”. When I started, you could measure the delay in minutes. When I stopped doing regular monitoring it was down to a handful an hour.  Usually the stories from the current day would fill the first page
Tonight, on the spur of the moment, I did another search and as I scanned down the first page, I was surprised because I thought I’d seen the same stories a few days ago. And then I checked, and rather than being all today’s stories as I had assumed, they were up to 8DAYS old.
That’s an eight fold decrease in interest in global warming. Part of that may be a change to “Climate change” (a term which also brings up stories on things such as “economic climate change”). But there is no doubt the level of interest has plummeted (assuming Google haven’t changed their monitoring).

Google Trends

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Trump must be doing something right.

In the Falkland’s war, we found out that the Argentinians had been using bombs which just went straight through the British aluminium war ships without exploding.
And that is now what it looks like for the alarmists. Take e.g. DeSmugBlog:

Koch-​Funded Former Lobbyist Replaces Koch Lobbyist on Trump’s Energy Trans­ition Team

What they don’t seem to realise, is that Trump couldn’t care less whether the best advisers have or have not had any dealing with Koch. These attacks are totally failing to do any damage whatsoever – because those that hate Trump – still hate him, and those who voted for him, have given up listening to the unfounded insults from the haters.

Indeed, Trump would probably say: “if these guys are attacking me – I must be doing something right”.

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Goodbye global warming – hello Global Cooling?

This month, we’ve finally seen the large-scale predicted cooling after the El Nino (in the only remaining credible temperature from UAH – all others now being UPjusted).3ac7b05800000578-0-image-a-79_1480203879647
I’ve been saying that temperatures could well drop before Trump becomes president – although to be absolutely honest – I thought he became president immediately when elected. So, I was predicting this perhaps Aug/Sept.
However, one snowflake doesn’t make global cooling – so I’d want to see 3-4 months at the present level or 2-3months falling further to confirm temperatures are firmly down.
Indeed, we probably need to wait for 6 months so we can see a 12/13 month average and compare 2016 with 1998. That will be the really interesting result.
We should have seen a minimum of 0.14C/decade warming. There’s been 18 years between the El ninos, so it should be 0.25C warmer. I’ve previously said that <0.05C/decade is still “pause”. So if the highest 12/13 month average of 2016 is not 0.1C warmer than 1998, then not only are we clearly still in a pause but I’d also say the theory is well and truly busted. (or is it?)

Is it busted?

In 2001, the IPCC predicting a minimum of  0.14C/decade. The absence of this warming tells us that for the predicted warming to be true natural variation is at least 0.14C/decade. So, the question then becomes: how likely is it that natural variation explains the lack of predicted cooling (bearing in mind the warming should have been much much higher).
One decade without the predicted warming would happen ~50% of the time – that is the supposed warming is wiped out by a random addition that happens to be cooling. Two decades with the right adverse natural cooling to counter supposed warming would happen perhaps ~25% of the time. Three decades perhaps ~12.5% – which is close enough to the 10:1 level that I would definitely call it busted.
So, if we get no net warming for another decade it will be busted as a theory.
But we can bust it earlier. Because if temperatures now cooled an equivalent amount to a decade of cooling (-0.14C) – so that even with the minimum supposed warming it would still be cooler than now, and this happened for a reasonable period, then I think we can likewise say it’s busted.
For the last 18 years temperature has been hovering around 0.3C on the UAH graph. If we assume 0.15C to account for La nina, then basically if 2017 comes out substantially below 0C, then … it’s gone! It’s busted. Allowing time to get out of La Nina – if yearly average doesn’t get up above 0.15C by 2020 – likewise it’s busted.
That really means that if we see temperatures settling below what they are now at anytime beyond 2019 … it’s busted.
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Brexit & single markets

I will admit that when I started on the Brexit campaign, I still hadn’t joined the dots. The main thing I dislike the EU, apart from its obvious undemocratic nature, and the way you’ll never get all these European nations to form a unit where we accept consensus as a means of decision making, is that EU rules have destroyed UK manufacturing.
However, like many people I wasn’t against a “common market” – the problem is that the common market that was, has now been turned into an abyss of rules that are intended to prevent foreign competition.
That may sound a good thing to anyone in the EU, but what it actually has meant is LARGE (not small) EU manufacturers have become reliant on the market where they can tilt the table to favour them, but that also means they are uncompetitive in world markets. And it also means that all the rules are biased for those who have the size and power to lobby at an EU level. So, small scale manufacturers have been shut out of the EU market. In other words, the EU rules are written to serve a few large manufacturers who because of this unfair advantage have stopped caring about the consumer and as a result we consumers end up with more expensive products at worse quality than if we were outside.
So now I am firmly against staying in the single market. The only way Britain is going to get the massive benefits of leaving the EU, is if we can free ourselves from the stifling EU rules and start manufacturing to sell to the world (as we once did).

A compromise

One possible alternative to a complete break from the single market would be this: to allow a phased withdrawal. The reason for this is that it takes perhaps 5-10 years to develop new products, so there are already many products in the pipeline both in the UK and EU which are designed for the present BIASED rules. But why should those manufacturers be penalised?
In contrast, something like the straightness of bananas (a euphemism) can be changed rapidly. So, there is absolutely no reason why the EU should be interfering in standards for fruit and veg within a year.
Therefore, I suggest a phased withdrawal, indeed, I’d like to suggest that we commit where possible to allow any product reaching the required EU standard to sell into the UK (unless there are specific safety or compatibility issues). Thus we commit that future British Standards, will always try to allow EU produced goods to sell.
So, e.g. lets take the stupid EU rules about the size of sand and grit. For obvious reasons, we will be re-introducing rules to suit the UK construction industry and our particularly geology and style of housing. But that does not mean that EU produced product should be prevented from being sold, just because it was different sizes – so long as it is appropriately marked.

Single Markets

But of course, the UK has always been a single market. We are “the single market” and have been for 300 years. This is particularly irksome in Scotland where SNP politicians keep yapping on about “staying in the single market” – as they also demand to “leave the 300 year old single market”.

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the Empire controlled some rights, but literacy rates were high.

I saw this exchange which @murdo_fraser MSP retweeted:-

People always forget about Emperor Palpatine that he put an excellent health care system in place.

Sure the Empire controlled some rights, but literacy rates were high.

@Kennyf1283 Defence spending was 98.3% of the budget though.

@jp_murphy They had an economic multiplier effect.

@Kennyf1283 don’t forget the massive investment in planet sized infrastructure projects.

Qui Gon Jinn. Mace Windu. Obi Wan Kenobi. Yoda.

Four Jedi Masters. He outlasted them all.

@Kennyf1283 terrorists, you mean

@Kennyf1283 Jedi master = radicalised religious fanatics

Linked tweets below:-


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Blast the US electoral system

In all my deep thoughts about how climate and Trump would come together and we’d have a bonfire of the quangos … I just assumed that when Trump got elected – he’d be president the next day.
For us in Britain, three months is it? … well it seems an incredibly long time in which you’ve voted for a government and the last lot are sitting there smashing up the furniture so to speak.
On the positive side – at least Trump gets time to make an action plan so that he can “hit the floor running”.

The proof of the pudding is in the eating

But what really matters to us sceptics, is not what he says he’s going to do, or even what he says he has done, but what he actually does. If we assume some pretty large changes in climate, it will take time to work these out, so we may not even hear about them until ~1year into his presidency. Then action may take another year – the effects start the next year and almost before we’ve had time to celebrate, it will be into the next presidential election — and he’s not even president yet.
So, we’re going to have to be patient!
Grrrrrrr….

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Trump to scrap Nasa climate research in crackdown on ‘politicized science’

When the Guardian runs an article admitting that Trump is going to scrap NASA climate “research” because it is “politicised science”, when it then mentions of all people, the highly politicised Mann, and when it does not allow any comments – because it knows just what people will say and just doesn’t want to hear the majority any longer.
We know we’ve won.
The battle was never about proving or disproving “global warming”, instead it was about depoliticising “science” so that it was possible to know whether or not the globe is actually warming and by how much and to base public policy on real data and not on the manipulated figures stemming from the vile hate-filled politicised anti-modern-industrial-society journalists & “scientists” .
But in truth, this clear out of the politicised “scientists” should have been done as a result of Climategate. There is no excuse – except that it was politically convenient to have politicised researchers politicising the data and leading us down an anti-science pathway.
And in that way, Trump is arguably the most pro-science president there has ever been – and he’s not even taken office yet.
(I avoid posting links to the Guardian because their climate coverage & the way they treat people who are entirely properly sceptical …  is poisonous).

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Burn the PC Fascists

Many moons ago, I spent my time changing a quality manual to remove references to “he” and “she” to change them to something neutral. There was a long debate between “he or she does …” and “they do …” and because they is neither gender nor number specific, “they” won out.
So, I’m no shrinking violet when it comes to speaking up for equality – because there was no reason why certain jobs should automatically be for women and some for men – even though men did tend to do some jobs and women others.
However, never in my wildest dreams did I ever imagine that someone could try to call themselves “they”. That was enough of a shock – however, if that’s what they want to do, then they are perfectly at liberty to call themselves whatever they want, but by the same rule, everyone else is also perfectly at liberty to call them whatever they want.
Except in Canada – where it seems that the fundamental human right to free speech (and common sense) has been thrown out the window and we now have a state of PC-fascism. The more I see of these fascists, the more I understand what it would be like to live in Nazi Germany.

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Deplorocracy: the future for democracy?

Thanks to Eric Worrall and his piece: “Green Incoherence: Reaching Out to the Deplorables” and everyone who commented in WUWT for triggering me to write this.
Ever since Margaret Thatcher rebranded the west as “democracy”, we in the west have been fed one of the biggest political lies by the political elites: that democracy is being given a once every 4/5 year choice between which members of the elite will lord it over us.
troughersOr as I often put it in my alternative ending to Animal farm (in which the Pigs take over and become the new self-enriching elite akin to communist takeover of soviet Russia):

And the pigs gathered all the animals of animal farm and said: “we have made mistakes, from now on Animal farm will be a democracy and you animals will be free to chose whichever pig you like to run the farm”.

The point, is that in an elected system, with a “mainstream media”, basically the same people are always in charge: those that the press barons (PC BBC) endorse. And in that system we had the notorious Sun headline: “it was the Sun wot won it” after the Sun stopped Neil Kinnock getting into power.
In the old system with a mainstream media and elections, the system was stitched up. The press decided who would get into power and even on which policies the election would be fought. The only real differences allowed to be discussed with the pretty trivial differences between the journalist (who were all fairly alike in many views). So  we had what amounted to a combat between the “left curling tail pigs” and the “right curling tail pigs”. The same basic political animals, overwhelmingly from the same Oxbridge type background, many on both sides from public school, from very similar courses. In other words totally completely different from those “deplorables” who won the Trump election.

Democracy doesn’t mean elected

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A diagnosis of the real problem

The two issues are apparently unrelated:

  1. There is no scientific evidence linking the warming in the 2oth century to CO2 and there is clear evidence from long term records that show that such changes occur quite naturally.
  2. There is no historical evidence that anyone in Britain was ever called a celt, ever knew themselves as a celt; in contrast, the Roman texts make it very clear that the Britons considered themselves to be distinct from the Gauls and Romans and that the Celts were a subgroup of the Gauls.

However, despite the overwhelming evidence in both cases, there persists a false belief amongst academia that the “politically correct” idea is unequivocally true. In both areas, but for very different reasons, I started with a naive belief in the status quo, then found it increasingly difficult to reconcile the facts with what I was told, and then as any sceptic would do, I went to check the raw facts myself to try to determine what a reasonable assessment of the facts would suggest and in both cases I have found that far from being a very nuanced debate, it turns out that the evidence is overwhelmingly against what has become the “political correct” myth within academia.

What is the problem?

Let me first explain the issue with science in academia. The problem academics have with real sceptic science, is that science doesn’t work by consensus, it is not some democracy where we all vote for which theory we want to work, nor is it some beauty contest where we decide which theory is most attractive.
Instead, using the political analogy, science is a dictatorship of the facts. There is no compromise, if the facts say something is true, then no number of people wanting something else to be true can make it true. And often the truth science reveals is uncompromising even brutal and often not at all Politically Correct.
So, if the facts say that some racial group have a lower IQ or another are more athletic, or that Homosexual activity increases the risk of Aids, then irrespective of whether it is or is not Politically Correct (to e.g. infer one race is superior or inferior or to suggest that some sexual persuasion is bad) science requires the real scientist to tell the truth. However, that is not acceptable within academia. Because academia is an overwhelmingly politically “liberal” (PC, left of centre)
But the bigger problem is not that academics tend to be liberal, but that the system of peer review within academia creates a vicious cycle whereby certain views become more and more correct and all other views become unacceptable.
The problem stems from what academics call: “peer review”, but which increasingly know outside as “buddy review”. This and the way academia forces those writing for it, to “cite” “reliable” sources creates a huge compulsion to be “politically correct”.
Because as anyone who has ever tried editing Wikipedia on climate knows, by  “reliable” what is really meant is “the politically correct view of liberal public-sector academia”. As such anyone who wants to be cited, must in turn be politically correct which means they must be liberal, anti-private sector and pro-establishment academia. The result, is a huge compulsion on those writing papers within academia to conform to the politically correct norm. And because the system is re-enforcing, it has become a vicious cycle of increasing political correctness distrust of outside views and conservatism.
Because, by politically correct, I don’t just mean lying about lack of significant differences (if they exist) in race or gender, or promoting “nannyism” in all its various forms, but also political within academia itself, in that new ideas must respect the internal politics of academia and not step on the toes of other academics.
The result, I think, having observed their appalling behaviour on global warming, is that academia has become one of the most conservative and repressive cultures in the world, and I think I would include in that comparison even extremist Islamic groups.

From industrial revolution to industrial pariah

Academics always like to think of themselves as being at the forefront of change. That unfortunately is another of their delusions and again based on a historical lie. The reality is very different.
The industrial revolution in Britain didn’t start with academic science as most children are now being taught in what has become a “religion of science”. Instead as the name implies, the industrial revolution started with engineers and industrialists, who used their practical skills, experience and understanding to build better and better machines; to build pumps to allow mining deeper and deeper; to observe the progressive layers of geology and their relationship in different areas to understand the 3D geological map under our feet and thereby locate new coal seams; doctors who used their knowledge to understand the body, and navigators who built better instruments and clocks to measure longitude.
They were the ones who literally created the modern world. They mapped the world, they worked out the progression of fossils which provide the key to unlock the geological time-line beneath our feet and from  that sequence work out where the coal layers would surface; they created the modern industrial society with all its benefits, they created modern medicine & sanitation that means we all live longer.
The truth is that if academics played any role at all, it was secondary. As far as I can see, it wasn’t until well after the success of the industrialists, navigators, traders, etc., that academics were dragged by the burgeoning success of industry to try to find a role for themselves. And yes, there is not doubt their role was useful to industry. Because codifying and publicising the knowledge of engineers was a common good to all industrialists. But I have yet to find any evidence that academia led this industrial revolution.

The alarmist view of sceptics

The academic view of industry


Then much later came the “industrial slaughter” of WWI. That didn’t go down well with the academic dons who saw their pupils slaughtered on the battlefield. We can see this academic attitude toward industry if we look to the books of the time like “Lord of the rings”. Written by an Oxford academic, it portrays the industrial society of Mordor as dark, full of fire and brimstone, oppressive and evil. This is sharply contrasted with the “bright green healthy” almost Nazi-Arian view of society in the hobbit world of the shire or that of the “intellectual” (oxford don) elves.
Then we had WWII, where the failed Nazi/Arian war machine lost because of its (academic) obsession with new weaponry. Because like all “invented here made elsewhere” research from academia ever since, the Nazi academic research thankfully also created a lot of “not-quite-working” technology from rockets to nuclear, which the more pragmatic & therefore functional machinery of the allies obliterated.
In a real sense, WWII was where Mordor (British and Us industrialist) beat the Hobbits/Elves (Nazi-intellectuals).
But, unfortunately, the Nazi academics did enough to impress the allied academics, which is not surprising, but they also impressed politicians & military. So war crimes were ignored and Nazi war criminals brought their work as well as their ideas & culture into places like NASA.
Rather than learning the lessons that “hi-tech” or “academic” was the cause of Germany’s wartime failure, as Germany and Japan clearly did with great success, the UK & US academics enthused by their new Nazi colleagues with their new Nazi ideas of “progressive through hi-tech (high cost not quite working)”, began their own program of massive investment in “hi tech (high cost not quite working)”.
The result was inevitable.
So, since the Nazi academic ideas became endemic to US and UK science, we have followed the same downward curve of the Nazis with academics increasingly delving into areas they should not, increasingly seeing their role as instructing government how to run the country, and increasingly attacking and industry and engineering. With the inevitable result that both the US and UK have stagnated in our achievements with a “invented here made elsewhere) culture allowing other less stupid, less “hi-tech”/academic obsessed countries to overtake us.

A broken partnership

So, now the partnership that once existed between successful industry that led the world in Britain and an educated group who supported industry by codifying and disseminating its industrial knowledge has completely broken down. Because far from supporting industry, as it once did, now because of the culture exemplified in Lord of the Rings, academia has a vitriolic hatred of industry and the private sector, which it freely expresses through the proxy of CO2. Because from what I’ve seen of them on the internet, academics really don’t seem to care at all about the global temperature itself. It is almost a side issue compared to the much more key concern of academics who are obsessed with global warming which is that they want to get rid of industry, commerce and capitalism.
Or perhaps it is envy? That academia can’t stand all those upstart industrialists who rule the world – not because they are “intellectually superior” and so feel they can dictate what is politically correct – but because they just supply the world’s population with the goods and services they want. And boy do the academics seem to hate that!

Why modern academia is stagnating

So, the partnership between industry and academia is broken. But the real beneficiary of that partnership was not industry – which as the rest of the world shows, will steam on despite the lack of support from academia.
Instead the real losers from that broken partnership is academia itself. Because through that culture of hatred of industry and commerce, it has turned in on itself and become entirely inward looking. It seems to me that in the UK it has become excessively focussed on all that is “politically correct”. On the environment. On gender. On “racial harmony”. On social manipulation. On anti-industry CO2. On political marxism.
But because it is so political, within that kind of environment, where being politically correct is now a necessary requirement to being published and then being cited – both of which dictate progresion in academia – the pressure to conform has become so great that (if global warming is typical of academia) then in many areas progress is all but impossible.
Progress requires change. Change requires overturning old ideas. And a conservative institution inward looking culture like academia is challenged by new ideas. Thus, no academic can now challenge the established views of academia.
Instead, because academia can’t criticise itself, it must now find easy targets outside academia. This explains why people like Lewandowsky pick on sceptics. We are not part of the “in crowd”. We do not have huge coffers to afford to sue the shirt off his back for his lies. So Lewandowsky not only feels free to attack sceptics, it seems he feels compelled to attack us for just daring to not accept his politically correct views.
So, I have no doubt, that this kind of attitude and culture is now prevalent throughout academia. So that it is now standard practice to find external groups to attack & vilify (ironically at the same time as preaching harmony and tolerance to everyone).
But the one group who can never be challenged are academics themselves. Academics are a taboo, their ideas are sacrosanct, not even mother nature herself is allowed to contradict them.
And when even the clearest most unequivocal evidence contrary to the views of academia, such as mother nature’s failure to warm, cannot be tolerated, there is no doubt whatsoever that all new evidence is heavily repressed. As such it is certain that this repressive culture within academia is going to cause of stagnation.

The war is lost

After a decade and a half on global warming, where the evidence of their failure was blatantly obvious, yet the politically correct views dominated US and UK policy, I do not believe they have it within them to change.
There just is not the critical faculty within academia to impartially assess itself. And there are no other institutions in the US and UK which can challenge its supremacy in intellectual critique.
When the evidence against the global warming obsession was clear and unequivocally laid out in the pause and was (almost without exception) universally rejected by academia, there is not one hope in hell that US & UK academia could challenge itself on something so nuanced as its own culture.
As such, it is inevitable that the stagnation and decay of both US and UK academia and industry will continue – at least until the long term economic decay and success of other countries so destroys our ability to maintain the “cuckoo” in the nest and it dies from the economic decay it itself brought about.

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