One small step for [a] Man a giant leap for climate realism

Why would an Apollo Astronaut come out of retirement to jump off a cliff in Peru?
For Apollo 7 astronaut Walt Cunningham, calling attention to the “sorry way” that climate science and policy have been distorted is an important reason.
Walt came to the UN climate conference in Peru (COP 20) as part of the official CFACT delegation to issue a call for political leaders and the media to return to “scientific realism” on global warming.  Cunningham was part of the three member Apollo VII crew which in 1968 became NASA’s first manned space mission after the loss of the three astronauts of Apollo I to a tragic fire on the ground.
82 year old Cunningham became so “fed up,” with the endless character assassination, lies and distortions that permeate the global warming discussion that in 2012 he joined with several of his colleagues to find out what America’s pioneers in space think about the issue. They found themselves to be united nearly unanimously in opposition the global warming alarmist campaign with the main division coming between those who were willing to say so publicly and those who expressed their opposition behind the scenes.
– See more at: http://www.cfact.org/2014/12/07/apollo-astronaut-takes-giant-leap-for-climate-realism-in-peru/
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Survey: Where have you mainly worked?

Results from survey “Professional Background & Attitude to Climate” undertaken in Spring 2014

Field summary for Q02
Where have you mainly worked?
Answer Count Percentage
Public sector (1) 1301 23.17%
Private (>1000 employees) (2) 1441 25.66%
Private (100-1000 employees) (3) 1052 18.74%
Private (10-99 employees) (4) 1017 18.11%
Private (1-9 employees) (5) 799 14.23%
No answer 5 0.09%
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Survey: What has been your main working occupation?

Results from survey “Professional Background & Attitude to Climate” undertaken in Spring 2014

Field summary for Q01
What has been your main working occupation?
Answer Count Percentage
Science (including teaching) (A02) 1460 25.58%
Engineering (including teaching) (A03) 2101 36.81%
Teaching (not in science or engineering) (A04) 221 3.87%
Management, administration. (A05) 1035 18.14%
Politician, lobbyist, other political. (A06) 28 0.49%
Accountant, banker, or similar financial (A07) 274 4.80%
Government (A08) 271 4.75%
Doctor, nurse, social worker or other healthcare (A09) 239 4.19%
Hospitality, leisure, sport & tourism (A10) 46 0.81%
Journalist, broadcaster, other media (A11) 130 2.28%
Retail, marketing executive, sales (A12) 215 3.77%
Transportation (A13) 158 2.77%
Law (A14) 168 2.94%
Other 1151 20.17%
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Survey: How often do you read convinced blogs

Results from survey “Professional Background & Attitude to Climate” undertaken in Spring 2014

Field summary for I002
How often do you read blogs that are in general convinced that manmade warming is a problem such as Skeptical Science, Real Climate, DeSmogBlog, Celsias, George Monbiot, The Carbon Brief, Cliff Mass, Tamino’s Open Mind, Climate Ark or Hotwhopper, etc.
Answer Count Percentage
Never (1) 807 13.43%
Infrequently (2) 2743 45.66%
Monthly (3) 827 13.76%
Weekly (4) 1113 18.53%
Daily or whenever updated (5) 386 6.42%
No answer 132 2.20%
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Questons from survey

A copy of the questions

 

Professional Background & Attitude to Climate

Welcome.

This survey is being undertaken by the Scottish Climate & Energy Forum to understand more about those engaged in the climate debate.
The majority of questions are optional. Those which are not are marked with an asterisk. However please complete as many as you are able.
The survey should take about 10 minutes. If you get part way through and cannot complete it, you should be able to return to finish it.
If you have comments or wish to report problems please let us know by filling in the box at the end of the survey.
The survey is anonymous and all responses will be treated in confidence.

There are 27 questions in this survey

[]How often do you read “sceptic” blogs which are generally sceptical of manmade warming such as Watts Up With That, Climate Depot, Harmless Sky, The GWPF, Jo Nova, Climate Audit, Stephen Goddard, Bishop Hill, Tallbloke’s Talkshop, EIKE, etc.

Please choose only one of the following:

  • Never Never
  • Infrequently Infrequently
  • Monthly Monthly
  • Weekly Weekly
  • Daily or whenever updated Daily or whenever updated

[]How often do you read blogs that are in general convinced that manmade warming is a problem such as Skeptical Science, Real Climate, DeSmogBlog, Celsias, George Monbiot, The Carbon Brief, Cliff Mass, Tamino’s Open Mind, Climate Ark or Hotwhopper, etc.

Please choose only one of the following:

  • Never Never
  • Infrequently Infrequently
  • Monthly Monthly
  • Weekly Weekly
  • Daily or whenever updated Daily or whenever updated

Continue reading

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Should I publish the survey data?

For months since getting a deluge of responses to the survey on sceptics I’ve been trying to find some way to get funding to hire in the necessary resources to do the funding and/or work with a group who have the resources themselves.
My first point of call was to write to government in both England and Scotland. Their response was: “we don’t want to know anything about sceptics”. I doubt if I were an academic I would have had the same insulting response.
Unfortunately, my next port of call was academia, but because UK academics include people like Lewandowsky and as most of UK academia appear to me to be openly hostile to sceptics I don’t believe they can be trusted on this. But I did put feelers out whenever I spotted someone in the right kind of area who was not openly hostile to sceptics. But nothing came of it and slowly I ran out of ideas of who to try. Continue reading

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Why academics should pay the cost when Global warming fails

In the typical representation of justice Themis holds the scales but is blinded signfiying that justice is blind to the status of those who are to be judged. Justice is blind to race, to sex but also to whether a person is public sector or private, whether an academic or a consultant. They are all judged by the same law of liability.

In the typical representation of justice Themis holds the scales but is blinded signifying that justice is blind to the status of those who are to be judged. Justice is blind to differences of race, to sex, but also to whether a person is head of the Royal Society or some blogger, whether public sector or private, whether an academic or a consultant. Justice requires that we are all judged equally by the same law.


If you offer advice to government and claim that advice should be followed, then you are taking on the role of a normal private sector consultant who is legally liable for the costs incurred by those to whom they give bad advice.
This is just a simple principle of law. Another is that there is no distinction between an academic and any any other person – we are all equal under the law.
The private sector consultant’s advice can be relied on, not because they are superior, but because from bitter experience in the courts, they know they are liable when their advice is wrong. That is why they are cautious – a lesson academics have not so far learnt.
Academics used to avoid giving advice and so stayed clear of this legal minefield. Then they became arrogant and thought they were omniscient and could divine the future of climate.
But when academics chose themselves to step into the role of the advisor, and despite all we sceptics said, refused to heed our advice to be cautious, they wilfully took on the full legal liability when their advice is wrong.

They chose it! Continue reading

Posted in Academia, Climate | 4 Comments

Survey: how often do you read Sceptic blogs

To give an idea of the output, this is the data from the first question as displayed on the summary report.
Results of survey “Professional Background & Attitude to Climate” undertaken in Spring 2014

Results
Number of records in this query: 6496
Total records in survey: 6496
Percentage of total: 100.00%
Field summary for I001
How often do you read “sceptic” blogs which are generally sceptical of manmade warming such as Watts Up With That, Climate Depot, Harmless Sky, The GWPF, Jo Nova, Climate Audit, Stephen Goddard, Bishop Hill, Tallbloke’s Talkshop, EIKE, etc.
Answer Count Percentage
Never (1) 47 0.78%
Infrequently (2) 169 2.81%
Monthly (3) 181 3.01%
Weekly (4) 1268 21.11%
Daily or whenever updated (5) 4204 69.97%
No answer 139 2.31%
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"funding is a primary driver" of activists

In an article referring to Global Warming activists Randal Simonetti  a consultant in reputational management spells out the truth we sceptics know, the activists are primarily driven by money:-

“you must first consider the driving motive that supports the attacker’s existence. In this case, the environmental group, like many other social activist organizations, is dependent on contributions from people who share their cause. Most of these organizations are hungry for publicity and public awareness so being involved in a sensational story in which they appear as the protector supports their financial goals.

As is often the case, funding is a primary driver of any activist organization’s behavior.

… Once the activist organization realizes you have exposed their funding strategy to the very contributors they depend on, they will cease the attack.”

Defending Your Company Against an Activist Attack
Randal Simonetti | Reputation & Crisis Management

 

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uBurns.com

uBurns1 uBurnsI’ve now updated uBurns.com which gives a simulated 100 year forecast of climate assuming a simple 1/f noise model to display the distribution frequency.
Contents:

  1. Graph showing equivalent of individual global temperature data scaled -1 to 1.
  2. A smoothed graph roughly equivalent to a 10year averaging
  3. A probability distribution of temperature for this forecast showing the average
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