2016 in perspective & Happy Xmas and New Year

What a year! First Trump, then Brexit, then I spent five nights in hospital with some unknown illness – not knowing whether I’d come out again. Of course it started with the massive El Nino warming, and as I predicted, we then had massive global cooling. Then we had the comical events watching those people who claimed the massive El Nino was “man-made” then attacking us when it cooled for pointing out it proved it was just natural El Nino. And to top it I’ve worked out what causes “climate change” and “global warming” (no it’s not solar cycles). However, it needs a bit more work before I can publish (End of 2017/early 2018 with luck). Continue reading

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The final phase of the global warming scam: the lawyers

2017, the Global Warming scam will be torn apart by Trumps appointees in the US. And like many projects Global Warming has been through different phases. The last but one I’d describe as “disillusionment and lost of public belief”; The final phase is legal action and the size will be absolutely massive.
Why? Because the whole scam (at least in the UK) was based on a new idea: commercial obligations not taxation. Continue reading

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This is what I love about the Daily Mail

I read today the Daily Mail Headline:

Glee to gloom: Climate and the ‘Trump effect’

Was this I thought, “someone like Rose celebrating the resurgence of science against the pseudo science of global warming” ….or was it “someone like AFP pushing pseudo-science claptrap”.
And that’s what I love about the Daily Mail. Because whilst I hate papers like the Guardian that are just an rag mag for climate activists, I’d also hate to see any paper that (like the Guardian) spent its time regurgitating fake news supposedly supporting sceptics.
Because science is science because it is tested thoroughly and stands up to scrutiny. And if the Daily mail were to just print one side of the argument – even if it’s the only sensible side of the argument – however daft the insane ideas of alarmists like AFP, they might one day (almost by mistake) make a valid point which might cause sensible people to re-examine the science. And that would be progress.
Because unlike people like AFP, sceptics want to know the actual truth – even if it is unpalatable to us.

As for the Article

I went off it as soon as it said the US had ratified Paris. Nothing of the sort has happened. You ratify treaties and treaties cannot be ratified just by a president. Instead all Obama has done is the equivalent of a facebook “like”. And what has been done by one president can be easily undone by the next. To be blunt, the US can simply pull out the Day Trump arrives – there will be howls of protest, but there is no legal process that can force the US to comply when countries were told it was illegal under US law.
There’s not much else in the article.  They lie about severe weather, go on about Arctic ice – but ignore e.g. growing Greenland ice. Obviously ignore the pause, etc.
Can I be bothered to dissect such trash, when in a very few weeks, Trump will be tearing up all the pseudo-science and everything Obama has built on it?
And the fact they don’t allow comments on AFP’s articles (and who is AFP?) really shows that it’s just a filler piece – low content

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The Post-Internet-Revolution society

I’ve been watching the tweets of every MSP and MP for the last fortnight – and whilst I had a pretty dim opinion of our “pro-oil anti-fossil-fuel) Holyrood MSPs before I’ve started, I’ve gone from thinking they’re deluded to thinking they are a waste of time.
They care nothing at all about industry, industrial policy, engineering – in the whole fortnight I’ve been watching their thousands of tweets I’ve not seen one tweet on any of these subjects. The closest any got to saying anything positive about industry was “I welcome a group from small business” – from an MSP who spends 90% of his time rabbitting on about how; “being gay means he’s a victim” and that gives him the right to force his views on everyone else (and there seems to be dozens of similar people – special interests are all they ever talk about).

The Internet Revolution – good for people – bad for industry

Continue reading

Posted in Climate, internet Revolution, My Best Articles | 9 Comments

The Theory of Non-Causality, Apparent Causality & Natural Variation

In this article I disprove the whole of modern science (at least the version taught in academia). I disprove much of the belief system present in modern academia and I show that global warming is natural variation. But accepting what I say, really amounts to “common sense”. It’s not that science is wrong – it’s that when applied with “common sense” it is right – it’s just that recently academia has given up on common sense.
In academia, there is a strong belief in the theory of causality, that is to say if we have a stimulus A then it will cause an effect B such that

A→B.

This implies that if A is present, then B is present whereas if A is absent then B is absent.

However, the theory of causality (at least for the purposes of this argument) is that if we have an effect B, there must exist a cause A. Or to put it into simple terms: if we see a warming in the late 20th century, then there must be a “cause”.
The theory of non-causality is so simple that it is known to everyone intuitively and so academia doesn’t have to teach it, instead they have to try to get people to adopt the theory of causality. And in so doing, they constantly portray the theory of non-causality as “bad”, “not-thinking-properly”, etc. etc.
And it is best to use a few examples: Continue reading

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The PC culture is sexist

There are three simple stats that show life is unfair to us men:

  1. Men die earlier
  2. Far more men than women commit suicide
  3. Far more men than women are in jail.

If we then used the feminist assertions that we must enforce equality, then we would need to:

  1. Spend far more on men’s health than women’s so that men lived longer
  2. We would need to make men’s lives more worthwhile living (and thus women’s less worthwhile)
  3. We’d have to have far more draconian penalties for any women breaking the law.

So, why are these not seen as “fair” whereas the all pervasive “equality” for women is? The reason is that women demand “fairness” where it provides them benefits, and quietly ignore precisely the same arguments when it would overwhelmingly harm them. So, e.g. we hear demands for positive discrimination for women in the work place … but no demands for “positive discrimination” for women in prison places.

Discrimination against males is far subtler than that against females

However, what I want to discuss today, is a way in which society discriminates against males that no one seems to discuss. The argument is as follows:
In any society, we must have rules. As the number of prison places show, it is overwhelmingly men that break the rules and it is right that those that break the rules go to prison. However, let us suppose that a parliament dominated by women decide that they personally would prefer much stricter rules than most reasonable people in society. It therefore follows that because men break the rules more often … that it will be men who are overwhelmingly penalised by having rules much harsher than necessary.
Thus the “nanny state” or the “cotton wool state” overwhelmingly restricts men far more than it restricts women. As such it is extreme sexism, in that it is  men that suffer overwhelmingly  from an excessive state.
Similarly, it is widely known that men are the “less refined” sex in terms of social etiquette. Thus, when society or organisations within society create meaningless Politically Correct rules, it is men who find themselves overwhelmingly caught and repressed by those Politically Correct rules. As such, these extremist social prescriptions are overtly sexist, only mildly affecting women, but having a massive affect on men.
The difference of course, is that whilst women are highly effective and manipulating the rules of society to benefit their sex … men just grumble and die earlier.

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If anyone wonders why I'm not mentioning the falling temperature

The reason is that it was largely predictable (This year global cooling) so when Anthony writes: Met Office Data Confirms Record Drop Of Global Temperatures I’m thinking: “why are people getting excited … it was so predictable”…
The El Nino was predictable in the sense that we saw it growing large and so as they last a finite time, the timing and scale of the fall could be predicted (but see end).
What is far less predictable is the following La Nina. It may not happen at all, it may be fairly small, or it may be a whopper of a La Nina. If I had to bet, I would say that the cooling from the La Nina would be longer and/or deeper than normal. In part that is because I think cooling is more likely than warming at the moment. And indeed, if the La Nina lasts long enough, and we get underlying cooling, we may never really exist the La Nina,  but instead find ourself in another “Pause”, whereby overall cooling and Post La Nina warming are countering each other, but at a lower temperature than has been prevalent these last two decades.
Warning: Mother nature just abhors predictability as such anyone who tries to predict the climate will very soon be proved wrong. So, these predictions are not “what will happen”, but instead “what is marginally more likely to happen – and we could easily see both cooling and warming far greater in scale than the predictable effects”

Addendum

According to Enso predictions, we are “turning” the corner and about to start coming out of La Nina. If the predictions are right, this move back to normal should be apparent by February. There, if we see a deepening La Nina by February-March it is indicative of a deeper or longer La Nina than “usual”.

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What is the answer to this question?

I read an email stating: “every question has an answer”. To which I responded:

“What then is the answer to this question?”

As I can’t think of a way to answer, one way out is to say: there is no answer” … which means that if I’m correct, I’ve given an answer, which means that answer is wrong. This proves there must be some kind of answer.
 

Posted in Climate | 2 Comments

£318billion – let's fund the NHS instead

During the Brexit campaign, the campaign highlighted the cost of the EU (£350million) and suggested that rather than funding Eurocrats, we should focus on our own NHS.  Now we learn that not £318million but £318billion of our money is being wasted on climate policies whose effect (when rounded to the nearest 1/10 of a degree) is to stop global warming by 0.0C. That’s right! Even using the discredited models of the alarmists, the effect is so small that no one will notice.
And it will undoubtedly be far worse in Scotland where are banana republic politicians swallow global warming pseudo-science with a relish.
Highlights from the Daily Mail

  • The radical shift to green, renewable energy will have cost £319bn by 2030
  • The huge sum is three times the annual NHS budget for England
  • The policy will be adding an average burden of £584 a year to every household by 2020 and £875 by 2030

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4021200/Hot-air-Bombshell-report-shows-green-levies-backed-government-cost-economy-319bn-2030.html
This climate scam is undoubtedly the most expensive non-war policy disaster the world has ever seen. As has been said many times, even on the alarmists own figures, the costs massively outweigh the benefits.
And next year, when Trump takes office, we will see the climate swamp drained, and there’s no doubt that what we find at the bottom will smell to high heaven of corruption, not just involving academics but also the “media” who overwhelmingly have taken the side of the corrupt against altruistic people like me. People who have worked for free for the good of humanity, only to be ignored or worse attacked by the media peddling lies from those with their snouts deep in the trough of public money.
Mike

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Today's News?

As I’ve stopped watching the #BiasedBroadcastCoy and find ITV and Channel 4 to be regurgitating pretty much the same material, so I’ve been searching around for a more impartial source of news … one that doesn’t send me lurching for the off button within seconds of turning it on.
This week I found an interesting channel called “UKColumn” on Youtube which on the day I found it seemed to be really good – as the day I looked they had a lead article on climate:

However, since then I’ve tried watching them and I find myself falling asleep as they have a very slow delivery for a massive 40-50minuts, it’s entertaining for a bit but all I’m really doing is replacing biased BBC opinions for ones biased against them with a very slow delivery of only 4-5 “news” articles a day.
Also, it doesn’t in any way cover anything in Scotland.
So I was trying to work out what it would take to produce news for Scotland. My guess is that even a very quick summary would take several hours. But the first problem is identifying what is “news”. So, today’s exercise is to identify the items that may be considered news today:

  1. UK Supreme court – the ongoing case.
  2. Trump appointment of EPA – the implications for global warming alarmism
  3. Scottish “Curriculum for excellence” failing – the way yet more political interference is destroying our education system in Scotland
  4. Facial reconstruction of Robert the Bruce:
  5. Death of Mark Griffin MSP – not that I know anything more than he died.
  6. Child abusers in sport – coming up a lot
  7. Late trains – Labour in Scotland have been running a campaign
  8. £13.6 million to establish new Wellcome Research Centre

This is an interesting Video:


PLEASE ADD ANY CURRENT NEWS STORIES (not necessarily Scottish, British or even in English)

Posted in Climate | 7 Comments