Should I publish the survey data?

For months since getting a deluge of responses to the survey on sceptics I’ve been trying to find some way to get funding to hire in the necessary resources to do the funding and/or work with a group who have the resources themselves.
My first point of call was to write to government in both England and Scotland. Their response was: “we don’t want to know anything about sceptics”. I doubt if I were an academic I would have had the same insulting response.
Unfortunately, my next port of call was academia, but because UK academics include people like Lewandowsky and as most of UK academia appear to me to be openly hostile to sceptics I don’t believe they can be trusted on this. But I did put feelers out whenever I spotted someone in the right kind of area who was not openly hostile to sceptics. But nothing came of it and slowly I ran out of ideas of who to try. Continue reading →

Posted in Climate | 1 Comment

Why academics should pay the cost when Global warming fails

In the typical representation of justice Themis holds the scales but is blinded signfiying that justice is blind to the status of those who are to be judged. Justice is blind to race, to sex but also to whether a person is public sector or private, whether an academic or a consultant. They are all judged by the same law of liability.

In the typical representation of justice Themis holds the scales but is blinded signifying that justice is blind to the status of those who are to be judged. Justice is blind to differences of race, to sex, but also to whether a person is head of the Royal Society or some blogger, whether public sector or private, whether an academic or a consultant. Justice requires that we are all judged equally by the same law.


If you offer advice to government and claim that advice should be followed, then you are taking on the role of a normal private sector consultant who is legally liable for the costs incurred by those to whom they give bad advice.
This is just a simple principle of law. Another is that there is no distinction between an academic and any any other person – we are all equal under the law.
The private sector consultant’s advice can be relied on, not because they are superior, but because from bitter experience in the courts, they know they are liable when their advice is wrong. That is why they are cautious – a lesson academics have not so far learnt.
Academics used to avoid giving advice and so stayed clear of this legal minefield. Then they became arrogant and thought they were omniscient and could divine the future of climate.
But when academics chose themselves to step into the role of the advisor, and despite all we sceptics said, refused to heed our advice to be cautious, they wilfully took on the full legal liability when their advice is wrong.

They chose it! Continue reading →

Posted in Academia, Climate | 4 Comments

Survey: how often do you read Sceptic blogs

To give an idea of the output, this is the data from the first question as displayed on the summary report.
Results of survey “Professional Background & Attitude to Climate” undertaken in Spring 2014

Results
Number of records in this query: 6496
Total records in survey: 6496
Percentage of total: 100.00%
Field summary for I001
How often do you read “sceptic” blogs which are generally sceptical of manmade warming such as Watts Up With That, Climate Depot, Harmless Sky, The GWPF, Jo Nova, Climate Audit, Stephen Goddard, Bishop Hill, Tallbloke’s Talkshop, EIKE, etc.
Answer Count Percentage
Never (1) 47 0.78%
Infrequently (2) 169 2.81%
Monthly (3) 181 3.01%
Weekly (4) 1268 21.11%
Daily or whenever updated (5) 4204 69.97%
No answer 139 2.31%
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Posted in Survey | 3 Comments

"funding is a primary driver" of activists

In an article referring to Global Warming activists Randal Simonetti  a consultant in reputational management spells out the truth we sceptics know, the activists are primarily driven by money:-

“you must first consider the driving motive that supports the attacker’s existence. In this case, the environmental group, like many other social activist organizations, is dependent on contributions from people who share their cause. Most of these organizations are hungry for publicity and public awareness so being involved in a sensational story in which they appear as the protector supports their financial goals.

As is often the case, funding is a primary driver of any activist organization’s behavior.

… Once the activist organization realizes you have exposed their funding strategy to the very contributors they depend on, they will cease the attack.”

Defending Your Company Against an Activist Attack
Randal Simonetti | Reputation & Crisis Management

 

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uBurns.com

uBurns1 uBurnsI’ve now updated uBurns.com which gives a simulated 100 year forecast of climate assuming a simple 1/f noise model to display the distribution frequency.
Contents:

  1. Graph showing equivalent of individual global temperature data scaled -1 to 1.
  2. A smoothed graph roughly equivalent to a 10year averaging
  3. A probability distribution of temperature for this forecast showing the average
Posted in 1/f | Comments Off on uBurns.com

Lima: the straw that breaks the Green's back?

Back in 2012 when the Kyoto Commitment came to an end, I thought the greens would take a few months to realise what had happened, wake up, smell reality, and know that world governments are just stringing them along.
Two years later, their gullibility has surpassed all expectations. So when Obama came to a “deal” with China it was yet again heralded as some great step forward. But don’t they realise that both parties knew it would never be ratified by the Republican senate and congress and therefore both parties were just engaging in paper thin shallow posture politics.
Clearly there has never been a time when “green” so clearly meant completely gullible. Continue reading →

Posted in Kyoto | 1 Comment

Inhofe: finally the big guns are firing!

For years, we sceptics have faced a hostile press, hostile government politicians, hostile “in-the-trough” academics and worst of all, the hostile idiotic celebrities – jumping on the bandwagon – most of whom wouldn’t know at atom if it hit them – preaching down to us sceptics most of whom have science or engineering degrees …
Well take cover you bandwagon celebs:

Streisand: Inhofe ‘frightening’

Finally, your days of preaching non-science to us scientists are over. Finally when you talk drivel you will be called out. Finally your hypocritical lies about wanting to “save the world” when you fly everywhere, will be called out as in comes the big gun Senator Inhofe to pound you to smithereens.
Do I think Streisand deserves it? No idea. Is she like all the other science illiterates who falsely claim science backs them in their idiotic assertions. Yes! Will she and all the other cloth between the ears celebs get away with their non-science from now on? Not so easily.

Posted in Politics | 2 Comments

The real difference between alarmists and sceptics

There’s a post on a blog that is not any way connected to physics which when I asked for racist comments to be removed asked me not to comment. And that is something I am happy to comply with as I will not tolerate racists nor those who condone them. Continue reading →

Posted in Climate, Sceptics | 12 Comments

Lies, damned lies, and statistical significance of climate trends

Today I read another article talking about “statistically significant warming” (link) and I wondered how anyone could know what is statistically significant without knowing the nature of the underlying natural variation.
tidesSo, let’s introduce a very simple model of some underlying natural variation. The scenario is that we are measuring water level and that natural variation is giving +/-1m of variation occurring every 12-13 hours.
As can be seen, there isn’t much else going on except this natural variation.
Now let’s suppose that we want to detect whether there has been some “significant change” to this variation. Continue reading →

Posted in 1/f | 1 Comment

The Green-Blobby

GreenBlobbyThe greenblob is a gross overweight uncaring parasite on humanity. Now Jo Nova has gone better referring to the “Green-Blobby” – Spot on!
When Owen Paterson ex minister at Defra referred to his concern about the green lobby:

I leave the post with great misgivings about the power and irresponsibility of – to coin a phrase – the Green Blob.

By this I mean the mutually supportive network of environmental pressure groups, renewable energy companies and some public officials who keep each other well supplied with lavish funds, scare stories and green tape. This tangled triangle of unelected busybodies claims to have the interests of the planet and the countryside at heart, but it is increasingly clear that it is focusing on the wrong issues and doing real harm while profiting handsomely. (Telegraph)

He summed up my own disgust at the heartless people with their snouts so deep in the trough of public money that they can’t see their own hypocrisy: funding their own lavish lifestyles usually from fossil fuel money and shameless moralising over the rest of society as these terrorists try to frighten society to give way to their evil policies; policies where the poor, old and sick fund the bird mincers whilst they cannot afford to heat their homes properly because of these evil taxes on fuel.
But now Jo Nova (or someone on her blog?) has given it that finishing touch and is referring to them as the:

Green-Blobby

Blob – a life form like an amoeba which has no backbone and lives in the scum. Usually infectious, toxic and harmful.

Posted in Humour | 2 Comments