The end of scepticism – personal thoughts.

Posted on 22 March 2011 by Scottish-Sceptic

I became a sceptic not because I could prove the world wasn’t warming, but because I could prove beyond all reasonable doubt that the public were being lied to on global warming. The test I set was simple: a warmer climate undoubtedly has benefit such as reduced deaths from cold in places like Scotland. Therefore, I reasoned, if the “science” were really science, and not propaganda, then I should see a large number of references to the known benefits of warming in the scientific papers on the subject.
So, I sat down one day and searched every single paper I could find on the effects of global warming/climate change and after reading around a hundred papers I was horrified to have found only one half-hearted mention of “some benefits of warming”. Continue reading →

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What does CO2 really Contribute to global warming – 2nd Update

Posted on 17 March 2011 by Scottish-Sceptic


Figure 3.1: Two-layer model consisting of the atmosphere and the Earth's surface


I have now received and roughly translated the majority of the paper from Hermann Harde. At 52 pages long this is a superb piece of work, but it will take me a few days just to digest what it says. On the big question “why is it 0.45C warming as opposed to around 1C direct warming based on the IPCC information”, there is no real answer.
Hermann can only speculate regarding the big difference of his results to that provided by others because he couldn’t get adequate information about the methodology used in previous calculations and specifically the conditions and assumptions on which these calculations were performed. This lack of information was his motivation to undertake his own calculations particularly as he was aware of the problems in this type of analysis from his own work in the spectroscopy of gas absorption:

This was one motivation to make my own calculations, particularly when I read that authors are dealing with broad band models to compute the absorption of well mixed gases with strongly overlapping spectra. Continue reading →

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Timeline of Japanese Earthquake

Posted on 15 March 2011 by Scottish-Sceptic

Like many people, the shear enormity of these events is overwhelming. I was wondering how much warning people had of the Tsunami. So, I started a time line of events. It appears there was about 25minutes between the time the earthquake was felt at the coast and the time the wave hit the nearest tsunami monitoring station.
Thursday 9th March 2011 (day before)

  • 7.2 MW event approximately 40 km (25 mi) from 11 March quake,
  • Another three on the same day in excess of 6 MW in magnitude.

Friday, 11th March 2011

  • 14:46:23 (5:46 UK time) Magnitude 9.0 Earthquake
  • 14:47 Seismic wave of earthquake hits Sendai 130km from epicentre
  • 14:47 Earthquake Early Warning system connected to more than 1,000 seismometers  in Japan sent out warnings on television of an impending earthquake to millions.
  • 14:48 Tremor felt in Tokyo
  • 15:12 6.8m tsunami wave hits Iwate Kamaishi-oki Continue reading →
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More eco-madness: ban risk taking cyclists

Posted on 9 March 2011 by Scottish-Sceptic

I wish I hadn’t worn a helmet when I cycled each day along the notorious Great Western Road in Glasgow when I did my MBA at Strathclyde (the busiest and wettest road I’ve ever had the misfortune to ride on). Because I was part of a fundamental destructive movement in the UK which is wrecking our society.
But before I go on, please sign the petition and read this article. Continue reading →

Posted in Environment | 10 Comments

Anatomy of Global Warming Jellyfish Scare

Posted on 4 March 2011 by Scottish-Sceptic

Barrel jellyfish (Rhizostoma octopus)


The number of Jellyfish in the Irish Sea are on the rise. In recent years there have been “super blooms” and the media start reporting “scientists” are looking at way of preventing a “jellyfish takeover”. So, what is the suspected cause? Is it overfishing of competitor fish species or is it Global warming?

Scientists suspect global warming could be behind the appearance of massed jellyfish flotillas in the Irish Sea. Continue reading →

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How much CO2 really contributes to GW? – further Analysis

Posted on 3 March 2011 by Scottish-Sceptic

Because of the huge interest in the paper: “How much CO2 really contributes to global warming? Spectroscopic studies and modelling of the influence of H2O, CO2 and CH4 on our climate” by Herman Harde which comes up with an estimated climate warming of 0.45C (rather than the IPCC 1-1.1C for direct warming or 2-5C with positive feedback), I’ve delved further into the subject to see if I can make more sense of it. Continue reading →

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Double Counting of "Greenhouse" Gas Effect

Posted on 3 March 2011 by Scottish-Sceptic

In a paper succinctly called: How much CO2 really contributes to global warming? Spectroscopic studies and modelling of the influence of H2O, CO2 and CH4 on our climate. Hermann Harde of Helmut-Schmidt-Universität Hamburg, Germany presents a summary of their calculation of the notorious “Greenhouse**” warming effect of gases such as CO2 and H20.
The paper calculates the direct affect of CO2 (without feedback mechanism) using a line-by-line calculations of each wavelength of sunlight and using this approach they arrive at a value of direct heating of 0.45C for a doubling of CO2. Continue reading →

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Elections are coming, throw them a bone

Posted on 3 March 2011 by Scottish-Sceptic

For at least ten years we’ve seen rising fuel prices as a direct result of the Holyrood politicians desire to hit the consumer and stop us using carbon fuels and the amazing thing is that the public just seem to take all this nonsense. You’d have thought that after May 2008 headlines like these:

Truckers block roads in fuel price protest Continue reading →

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Climate Activists Give Up

Posted on 2 March 2011 by Scottish-Sceptic

For five years there have been various climate camps in England: at Drax power station, Heathrow Airport, Kingsnorth power station in Kent and in the City of London. “Camps for Climate Action” who ran the camps first came into being in 2006, after the 2005 G8 conference in Stirling in Scotland. Continue reading →

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Johny Ball on Politics today

Posted on 2 March 2011 by Scottish-Sceptic

For posterity, this is a write up of what was said on BBC

(See discussion at: Bishop Hill)

Daily Politics 1st March 2011

Scene: chemistry class in a School – turns to office-room with Johnny Ball

How are your kids, your grandchildren, the next generation. How are they doing at school? Continue reading →

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