Monthly Archives: March 2020

I have just been examining data for various countries and extrapolating back the growth to the date at which there would have been one carrier. Here they are: Italy 6th Feb S.Korea: 8th Feb Iran: 15th Feb UK 18th Feb … Continue reading →

After nearly an hour waiting for the current figures on coronavirus, the data has still not been updated and I’m starting to see “distract” type aticles from the press with very little detail. These seem to have been written to … Continue reading →

The government are already talking about using trainee doctors for the critical period. In addition there is another huge resource which is easily available and that is the large army of vets. Vets are trained to work on any animal … Continue reading →

Finally, we’re getting the truth from the gov: “Half of coronavirus cases in the UK are likely to occur over just three weeks, and the NHS does not have enough beds to cope with them, the chief medical officer has … Continue reading →

Apparently CV has already mutated into two forms, a later L which is more virulent and an original S which is less. However, being more virulent is not necessarily worse. Because it tends to be picked up quickly as people … Continue reading →

Based on early stats, I was expecting the UK to have had its first death by now with about 1 death for every 30-50 cases. And although there was a Brit died from the cruise ships, there has not been … Continue reading →

I was reading today an article which was “How does coronavirus compare to flu, Sars, and other diseases?”. Before looking at what the “experts” say, lets look at the simple stats comparing CV with SARS. CV increases by about 10x … Continue reading →

At first glance the news today in the UK looked good as only 2 new cases were being reported, but then I realised that was only for Scotland. And instead of the 70 cases I had predicted yesterday, I saw … Continue reading →