Final conclusion re Scottish vote – There was !!NO CHANGE!!

In my last blog post I suggested a change in the Labour party whereby the referendum caused some internal divisions between separatists and unionists.
However, checking the last Scottish electoral results, it struck me how similar people in Scotland cast their vote – particularly if we include the general swing of Labour → Tory. So rather than there being a change in the Scottish vote, I might now argue their was a lack of the normal change in voting behaviour between Holyrood and Westminster elections.
So, now, hopefully my final hypothesis is this:
Voters didn’t change their vote – instead rather than switching from the SNP to English based parties as they have done in previous elections – they chose to vote for the same first choice party they always vote for in Holyrood.
The reasons this might have occurred is because firstly that the SNP were less than happy with the way Labour behaved (although it was clearly SNP supporters who were the most obnoxious). And secondly, after what must be seen as a very good campaign by the SNP it might have been felt to be a “kick in the teeth” for the SNP to sneakily vote for an English party when it suited SNP supporters.
Implications
If true, it would appear there are next to no implications from this vote. It is five years to the next Westminster vote (assuming no referendum before that) and in the meantime, if this hypothesis is correct, the voters will be voting in Scotland where the SNP were not the same wasted vote as the Westminster election.
Indeed, if this is correct, the most significant change is an INCREASE in Libdem support compared to the last Holyrood election.