Jeff Seeney
An interesting situation has arisen in Moreton Bay, Queensland, Australia.
Jeff Seeney, the Queensland Deputy Premier has ordered the regional council to remove all references to academic [my word] derived sea level rises as a result of supposed climate upcasting (upcasting, my word – like forecasting but it only goes one way).
In principle, there’s no reason why Queensland would take advice from people who have not only been proven to give bad advice, but they then deny their advice was wrong and then they continue knowingly saying black is white when they have absolutely no intention of compensating all the people who will lose money if they rely of this bad advice. In law Jeff Seeney would be acting recklessly to take the advice of such proven dishonest people. However, this now leaves is a politician – who can see that the academics are just part of the greenblobby – appearing to have no choice but either to take the known bad advice of partisan greenblobbiest or to use his own (partisan) judgement. But at least the politician is accountable, whilst the greenblobbiest academics are just unaccountable, uninsured and many still deniers of the pause.
Climate changes
If I were asked for my advice in this matter what would I say?
- You cannot trust the IPCC
- Nor can one entirely dismiss everything it says just because it is knowingly dishonest
- Nor can we say that it will certainly warm nor that the next change in climate will certainly be warmer.
- What we can say is that climate has always changed and it will always change.
Therefore my recommendation, would be to determine the amount of historic change per century and then to use this as the basis for the range of likely scenarios – perhaps with a bias toward warming more than cooling.
That would very likely reduce the probability of an 80cm rise in sea level, but the range would (likely) still include some significant rise as well as the possibility of a fall. One would also need to take account of local geological changes. I would also like to see some realistic assessments from the Non-Governmental Panel on Climate Change, but I would like to see some detailed research on local evidence for past sea level changes.
For more see: Jeff Seeney orders Moreton Bay Regional Council to remove references to climate change-derived sea level rises from regional plan
