I’ve just been to some prepper forums and I can honestly say that they haven’t a clue that we are standing right on the edge of nuclear war.

Rationally, this is exactly how the Russians would want to start a nuclear exchange: with no one in the west even talking about the possibility. So, minimal interest in so called “prepper” sites.

However my confidence in those sites, which didn’t start very high, has just fallen through the floor. There is now a realistic pathway to nuclear war within days, and they are all but silent? Do the Russians run them all? Or do they just respond to the latest article in some CIA produced propaganda rag mag dressed up as “information from an anonymous sauce” (misspelling intended)

So I went to the people who know the least and give least information – the snoozepapers … and it’s much of the same dross we always get. What there is, is clearly the result of some more press releases or other using “nuclear” as a way to get headlines  and not genuine concern.

Are there no other options for the Russians?

That is the crux question. And, knowing how Trump “thinks”, he will imagine that he’s some “genius” poker player who has given the Russians only one option which the Russians see is the total destruction of their country, and Trump will imagine that forcing the Russians to accept his bluff or nuclear war will lead to only one outcome. It will, but the Russians will obviously pick nuclear war. Except they know Trump is a prat and I guess they know he’s a bluffer.

This is utterly crazy. Even the prepper nutters aren’t showing any alarm. Everything is quiet, yet logically, within days, the Russians will be in a position where I can see no option but nuclear war … and I have absolutely no doubt they will do it.

But, is there no alternative?

The Russians have been very good at pulling out alternative options from the hat when I imagined there was none left. So, just because I can’t see any other alternative, doesn’t mean there isn’t one.

What I do know, is that the Russians totally pulled the wool over the eyes of western “intelligence”. So, they have no ideas about the scale or intent of Russia preparation. They are more clueless in that regard than I am.

However, I am totally lacking information about Russia alternative actions.

Conclusions

1. Given that everyone is clueless, there is no point trying to talk with anyone about this, let alone trying to persuade others to get ready.
2. The most likely outcome based on the available evidence is nuclear war within days.
3. The most likely outcome based on the evidence I do not know, is probably not war … but there might be a margin of error for that conclusion, given I have absolutely no idea what might stop a nuclear war now.
4. There is very little anyone can do to protect themselves from a nuclear war.
5. I have a lot of the key essentials like milk bottles and gaffa tape. Other than the limited list which is very different from prepper site ones, there is not a lot most people can practically do. So, as no one is going to listen to the list, I’m not going to bother to compile it.
6. In the current situation, there is nothing that can be done to help others. No one is going to believe it is coming … indeed, though rationally war looks pretty overwhelmingly likely, it is hard for me to take that rational argument seriously.

Goodbye

If war does occur, then this could well be my last post. So, I would just like to take the opportunity to thank anyone who may read this.

Of course, from a gambling perspective, it is much better to bet on no war. Because no one in the future is going to read this if this is the last post, but if it isn’t, I get the kudos afterwards of predicting the war wasn’t going to happen.

So, even if a 80% chance of this being the last article, the only winning option is to bet on the 20% chance that nothing will happen.

I read another “I told you so” about the collapse of the so called “Paris Agreement”.

I seem to recall I laughed at when it came out. Yet far too many sceptics seemed to believe that just because a bunch of know-nothing idiot politicians had got someone else to book their flights to Paris and actually managed to stay on the plane till it arrived, and then found a pen and managed to sign their own name to something none of them understood, that somehow the sceptics imagined it would change the world.

It has not, and it will not. The world carries on whether or not the idiots who signed the paris agreement want it to or not. They have very little control, and they chose to exercise the small amount of control they did have, in the most stupid manner possible. It was not difficult to predict failure, because there was no other outcome.

Nuclear War

So, we are yet again standing on the edge of nuclear war. Continue reading →

I missed one vital piece of information. There is no way for Russia to tell whether it is being attacked by conventional warheads or nuclear.

As such, Russia has to respond as if they are nuclear. And, then I cannot see any other outcome after than than a nuclear war.

So, If the US fires Tomahawks at Russia from Ukraine (and it is the US firing them), then we must assume WWIII is starting.

The Russians have no red lines. They have no lines that if they are crossed necessitate action, and they have no red lines that have to be crossed before there is action. They will start WWIII when it is advantageous to them to start it rather than not. That has nothing at all to do with any red line being crossed.

Nor will they respond to Tomahawks being fired using the defence they plan for a nuclear attack, because that reveals their hand. Nor will they attack in a limited “conventional” way with nuclear ready weapons, for that allows the unproven US “defence” system to be tested. Nor will they allow the Tomahawks to be a success.

If you let loose a herd of raging buffalo, and the only way they can go is through the kindergarten, then whether the Kindergarten is a few meters or miles away, if that is the only path than can be followed, the raging buffaloes will kill the children, whether it seems directly connected or not.

Once the Russians are tipped into a nuclear war scenario, even by one nuclear ready missile, they have very little option but to play to win completely. And, the best way to win completely is an attack totally out of the blue.

The PR

Yes the Russians are currently doing all they can to avoid civilian casualties and indeed probably unnecessary governmental and military casualties. But, once WWIII starts, the Russians will no longer want to play the “victim” of US aggression. For they couldn’t care less about what anyone thinks of them if they are forced to play the nuclear hand. They will not be looking for any brownie points, just victory at all costs.

All that nice guy stuff about avoiding civilian casualties goes out the window as soon as they are pushed down the nuclear option. After WWIII the winner will writing the history books any way. The loser will be just another centrist Socialist …. sorry National Socialist aka “Hitler” whoever wins.

I have no idea what morons are running the “west’s” aggressive policy of hatred toward Russians and about everyone else on the planet, but whereas there may have been some that doubted Putin’s stance against the west, they will now be silenced by the behaviour of the hate-mongers of the west.

Brics is now secured success. Because it is quite clear the west cannot be trusted and sooner or later they will be using long range missiles on every single country that does not bow and scrape to whatever latest evil the EU & US elites are pushing from genocide to ethnic cleansing to the worst kind of pornography & racism. Unless the world embraces the vile western “values” and allow themselves and their economies to be raped by the “western” “?elites?” then they too will have long range weapons targetted on their women and children like the Palestinians.

Over the last few years of Totalitarians of the west, it has been made clear to the rest of the world that it has to put aside its differences and unite behind Russia and China and make the Brics project a success. And given the blatant lies and evil actions of the west, no one will believe them one little bit. “Western values” are nothing but a joke.

And, I am glad they do not read this, so I can say it out loud where they cannot hear, because the sooner the world unites against the people who took over the west, the better it is for the world and even us in the west.

Global Warming … a long suicide

Continue reading →

The problem with Nut Zero, is that it is a long term policy of economic suicide. And, once you set out on the path, it becomes hugely difficult to change the outcome, because Nut zero ingrains economic suicide within the economy so that it will continue collapsing long after they wake up and attempt to stop it.

That is why the Russians and Chinese were so keen for the west to adopt Nut Zero.

Given the appalling evil we have seen where governments have been helping the genocide of the original people of Palestine, that evil in the west means it is hard to say the Russians and Chinese were wrong.

The Brics nations, led by Russia and China are now undermining the western financial system with the west uses to suck dry the global economy and pour the money into the hands of “western” bankers (they aren’t our bankers).

The west is now up to its eyeballs in debt, and in no position with withstand a financial collapse created as the west attempts to attack the Brics nations (thereby undermining the credibility of the west more and more).

And Trump … he is just making everything worse. The world wants free of the US global bully boy and that is why they turned to Brics. So, Trump doubling down and boosting the global bully boy stunts is doing more than anything else to grow support for Brics.

It is hard to watch people like Trump destroying and taking down the west. For that is what he is doing. The worst is knowing that Russia and China are not that much better. But, Trump is giving the world little choice but to go along with the Brics plan.

We now have rock bottom confidence in politicians after the covid jab scandal. And, what insanity are the doing? Digital IDs that is certain to get Reform elected.

They are pushing for higher energy prices from Nut Zero … and they double down on that as well.

Putin allowed the west to take all that money … to show the world that their money was not safe in western banks. And, what do they do? They pretend to lend money someone else’s money, when all they are doing is lending their own, and not only will they have to repay the Russians all the money no matter what they get up to, but they undermine the credibility of western banking and finance at the same time.

It’s embarrassing knowing that “our” politicians have been completely utterly outsmarted by the Russians, but that is the truth.

There is no chance in hell of digital ID going anywhere, except into the history books as Starmer’s polltax. I only wonder how it is possible, even for someone so out of touch as Starmer, to imagine that his rock bottom popularity will be improved by treating the voters as cattle to be branded.

Not a lot else to say about it. Except I am intrigued to know who thought Digital ID was a hill worth dying on.

GENEVA – Israel has committed genocide against Palestinians in the Gaza Strip, the UN Independent International Commission of Inquiry on the Occupied Palestinian Territory, including East Jerusalem, and Israel said in a new report today. The Commission urges Israel and all States to fulfil their legal obligations under international law to end the genocide and punish those responsible for it.

The Commission has been investigating the events on and since 7 October 2023 for the last two years, and concluded that Israeli authorities and Israeli security forces committed four of the five genocidal acts defined by the 1948 Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide, namely killing, causing serious bodily or mental harm, deliberately inflicting conditions of life calculated to bring about the destruction of the Palestinians in whole or in part, and imposing measures intended to prevent births.

Explicit statements by Israeli civilian and military authorities and the pattern of conduct of the Israeli security forces indicate that the genocidal acts were committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, Palestinians in the Gaza Strip as a group.

“The Commission finds that Israel is responsible for the commission of genocide in Gaza,” said Navi Pillay, Chair of the Commission. “It is clear that there is an intent to destroy the Palestinians in Gaza through acts that meet the criteria set forth in the Genocide Convention.”

“The responsibility for these atrocity crimes lies with Israeli authorities at the highest echelons who have orchestrated a genocidal campaign for almost two years now with the specific intent to destroy the Palestinian group in Gaza,” Pillay said. “The Commission also finds that Israel has failed to prevent and punish the commission of genocide, through failure to investigate genocidal acts and to prosecute alleged perpetrators.”

The report is based on all the Commission’s prior investigations, as well as factual and legal findings in relation to attacks in Gaza carried out by Israeli forces, and the conduct and statements of Israeli authorities from 7 October 2023 until 31 July 2025. The Commission’s findings are based on a comprehensive examination of the underlying acts of genocide (actus reus) and genocidal intent (dolus specialis).

In establishing the genocidal acts, the Commission examined the Israeli military operations in Gaza, including killing and seriously harming unprecedented numbers of Palestinians; imposing a total siege, including blocking humanitarian aid leading to starvation; systematically destroying the healthcare and education systems in Gaza; committing systematic acts of sexual and gender based violence; directly targeting children; carrying out systematic and widespread attacks on religious and cultural sites; and disregarding the orders of the International Court of Justice.

In establishing genocidal intent, the Commission applied the “only reasonable inference” standard set forth by the International Court of Justice in the case of Bosnia v. Serbia. The Commission analysed statements made by Israeli authorities and concluded that those statements are direct evidence of genocidal intent. The Commission also analysed the pattern of conduct of Israeli authorities and the Israeli security forces in Gaza, including imposing starvation and inhumane conditions of life for Palestinians in Gaza, and found that genocidal intent was the only reasonable inference that could be concluded from the nature of their operations.

“Israel has flagrantly disregarded the orders for provisional measures from the International Court of Justice and warnings from Member States, UN offices, human rights organisations and civil society groups, and continued the strategy of destruction of the Palestinians in Gaza,” said Pillay. “The Commission finds that the Israeli authorities had no intention to change their course of actions. On the contrary, Israeli authorities have persisted and continued with their genocidal campaign in Gaza for almost two years now. Israel must immediately end the genocide in Gaza and comply fully with the orders for provisional measures of the International Court of Justice,” she added.

The acts of Israeli political and military leaders are attributable to the State of Israel. The Commission therefore concluded that the State of Israel bears responsibility for the failure to prevent genocide, the commission of genocide and the failure to punish the perpetrators of genocide against the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip.

The Commission also concluded that Israeli President Isaac Herzog, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and then Defence Minister Yoav Gallant, have incited the commission of genocide and that Israeli authorities have failed to take action against them to punish this incitement. The Commission has not fully assessed statements by other Israeli political and military leaders and considers that they too should be assessed to determine whether they constitute incitement to commit genocide.

The Commission urges the Government of Israel to comply immediately with its international legal obligations, including to end the genocide in the Gaza Strip and fully implement the provisional measures orders of the International Court of Justice.

Israel must end its policy of starvation, lift the siege and facilitate and ensure the unimpeded access of humanitarian aid at scale and unhindered access of all United Nations staff, including UNRWA and OHCHR international staff, and all recognized international humanitarian agencies delivering and coordinating aid. The Commission calls on Israel to immediately end the activities of the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation.

The Commission recommended that Member States cease the transfer of arms and other equipment that may be used for the commission of genocidal acts to Israel; ensure individuals and corporations in their territories and within their jurisdiction are not involved in aiding and assisting the commission of genocide or incitement to commit genocide; and take action on accountability through investigations and legal proceedings against individuals or corporations that are involved in the genocide directly or indirectly.

“The international community cannot stay silent on the genocidal campaign launched by Israel against the Palestinian people in Gaza. When clear signs and evidence of genocide emerge, the absence of action to stop it amounts to complicity,” said Pillay. “Every day of inaction costs lives and erodes the credibility of the international community. All States are under a legal obligation to use all means that are reasonably available to them to stop the genocide in Gaza,” she added.

This video is well worth watching and long overdue:

Shell abandons huge biofuel project in Netherlands

If anyone wonders why Russia is winning in Ukraine, and indeed the west is now a forlorn hope in terms of being “the” global power or having any special influence with the rest of the world, that headline explains it.

Governments make many stupid decisions, and no doubt Putin has made many. But for good government, those bad decisions are haphazard occurrences within a general pattern of good decision making.

But, never in the history of humanity (at least as far as I can think of), have so many governments made so many bad decisions that now dominate their entire culture, economy and futures.

And, we’re not even yet seeing the real cost of this insane policy. The real cost is much longer term and far more damaging than a few small corps going bust or a few others losing a lot of money. Nut Zero is a systemic destruction of the economy to its roots and to its core.

The future historians of the west (if we can still afford such luxuries) will ALL look back at this era with total disgust at the way this present generation have so mindlessly squandered all they were handed on a plate by those who went before.

Even when government attempt to totally reverse the policy, the floodgates of destruction have already been opened and the flow cannot be stopped just by wishful thinking … indeed we needed the vibrant economy they destroyed, to give us the tools to turn it around, so much of the damage cannot be reversed, even though we are yet to see it.

For years I have been pointing out that Nut Zero is economic suicide, and so any party that embraces Nut Zero is going to end up hated by the electorate.

And just as I predicted it has come to pass.

Also, there is no point discussing global “temperature” from the knowingly pathetic array of thumb in the airs “sensors” that they have. There are carry on film thermometers stuck in arses that were higher precision and more meaningful than the garbage the Motly office pumps out.

So, it didn’t help that I banned NotALotOf… from having any of my comments for at least a month … and then I realised that I really am not interested in reading yet another article showing that Nut Zero is a catastrophe for the economy as well as those idiots who backed it.

We’re now at the stage where the people who spent an awful lot of their own time and money telling the idiots not to go up onto the snow hills because of the avalanche risk are being told they need volunteers to help find the victims of the avalanche. I cannot afford the time nor the money to help now.

So I was right … so who cares? There is no profit for me in being right … except knowing I was right. But, I wasn’t guessing. I might have been wrong, but even if I had been wrong, the decision to push nut zero was the wrong decision by the wrong people for the wrong reasons. So, there was very little chance of me being wrong. So, I wasn’t exactly taking much of a chance … I was just wasting time and effort on idiots who attacked me for trying to help.