Category Archives: 1/f

uBurns.com

Posted on 4 December 2014 by Scottish-Sceptic

I’ve now updated uBurns.com which gives a simulated 100 year forecast of climate assuming a simple 1/f noise model to display the distribution frequency. Contents: Graph showing equivalent of individual global temperature data scaled -1 to 1. A smoothed graph … Continue reading →

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Lies, damned lies, and statistical significance of climate trends

Posted on 3 December 2014 by Scottish-Sceptic

Today I read another article talking about “statistically significant warming” (link) and I wondered how anyone could know what is statistically significant without knowing the nature of the underlying natural variation. So, let’s introduce a very simple model of some … Continue reading →

Posted in 1/f | 1 Comment

The pause and its affect on temperature predictions

Posted on 13 November 2014 by Pict1

Yesterday I realised that I could work out the statistics of 1/f noise which is the form of natural variation (NV) we see in the climate. I worked out that this means that natural variation (NV) is more than likely … Continue reading →

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Predicting a downturn

Posted on 12 November 2014 by Scottish-Sceptic

I wrote this article on the basis that climate variability is 1/f noise and assumed that as red noise is similar to 1/f noise an upturn is as likely as a downturn. However, as I cleaned my teeth before bed … Continue reading →

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PDO and El Nino: resonant response to natural variation?

Posted on 31 October 2014 by Scottish-Sceptic

In a recent article by Kevin Trenberth amongst his silly comments he mentioned El Nino and Pacific Decadal Variability as one of many “the dog ate my warming” type excuses to deny the scientific fact of the pause. In my … Continue reading →

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A brief summary of why "science" failed with global temperature

Posted on 30 October 2014 by Scottish-Sceptic

David Cage prompted me to write a reply which on reflection is a nice summary of why academic science got into this mess with global warming so I’m posting it as an article. He was replying to my comment that … Continue reading →

Posted in 1/f, Climate, Fails | 5 Comments

New 97% accurate climate forecast model

Posted on 9 July 2014 by Scottish-Sceptic

After extensive & thorough testing against the climatic science evidence (aka models), I am now ready to reveal to the world the latest state of the art climate prediction system. The current forecast is below: Forecast model My 100 year … Continue reading →

Posted in 1/f, Climate, Humour | 6 Comments

Mathematical requirement for fractals? Implications for 1/f noise and climate.

Posted on 5 July 2014 by Scottish-Sceptic

Fractal systems all have feedbacks. They all have infinite self-similar states at different scale. As such it seems the fractal nature is caused by the feedback. Therefore I suggest that if P is the probability function of a system describing … Continue reading →

Posted in 1/f, Climate | 2 Comments

Help needed! What's difficult about fractal noise?

Posted on 30 June 2014 by Scottish-Sceptic

I need help. I’ve many times tried to get a discussion going on 1/f noise so that I can understand how to put over this subject so that it is understandable. And let me be blunt, if only I could … Continue reading →

Posted in 1/f, Climate | 32 Comments

Global Warming disproved: Bad posts, CET, Antarctic Ice and Fractal Noise

Posted on 30 June 2014 by Scottish-Sceptic

I was caught out this morning seeing a graph of Antarctic Ice (unlabelled) which I took to be a plot of the Central England Temperature series. The fact I was confused is proof that that global warming is non-science. So, … Continue reading →

Posted in 1/f, Climate, Fails | 8 Comments