For those old enough to have been around in June 1988 when Dr. Hansen (part-time environmental activist, part time “impartial” public-servant and compiler of global temperature data) told the US senate that the world was heading for doomsday, there is now one simple question:
It is now a quarter of the way to this “doomsday” and can you honestly say that you personally have seen any change at all? Can you really hand on heart tell me that if this is one quarter of the way to “doomsday”, that “doomsday” can be that bad at all?
In 2001, mainly as a result of alarmism from those like Hansen, the IPCC issued a prediction that the world would warm by at least 1.4C by 2100. It is now 2015, some 27 years after this global warming scare started, Hansen is still predicting the end of the world despite the satellites showing 18 years without warming.
The failure of the predictions of temperature rise should have been enough to discredit the alarmists like Hansen and ended this scam, but unfortunately not. They still claim the world is warming but “we can’t see it” (too true!). But then they claim the world is changing … well, it is is! These days we see natural disasters happening real time whereas back in 1988 it could take days or even weeks to hear about them.
That is not of course what they mean, instead that is the effect they rely on to convince gullible people there has been change. But what really matters is not whether we hear more about climate disasters in the media, but whether we personally experience more/any climate “disasters”.
So, the real question that matters is not whether we hear a lot more about climate disasters … but whether we personally are seeing any change at all.
We are 27/112 years (24%) on the way to what is supposed to be “doomsday”. Simple logic tells us that if we were really going to see “doomsday” in 112 years, then we would certainly see some effects within 27 years.
So, the question everyone must ask themselves is have you personally seen any change at all?
Personal note – No! I have not seen any change at all!
What follows is a true account which if it were necessary I would vouch for in court.
Like many people, although I have lived in the same place for 20 years, I no longer live where I grew up, but I regularly go back to my childhood home and I can sincerely say that in neither my present abode nor my childhood one can I see even the slightest long term change**. Snow is still something that we get some years and not others. Hot summers are something I remember from my childhood. Occasionally I have wondered whether, if I recorded the exact date that e.g. leaves started sprouting in spring, that I might be able to see some change. But if anything has changed, it really is so subtle that I need to record the exact dates rather than rely on memory of when things “tend to come out”.
However, I tried recording the date the beech leaves came out this year and far from showing warming, the leaves came out much later.
But because I am interested in this subject and therefore much more likely to notice changes than most others. Therefore it stands to reason that if I cannot see any change then most people will not have seen any change. Therefore 1/4 of the way to “doomsday” the changes (if any) are so slight that most people will not see them at all and this “doomsday” cannot be much of a change at all.
**This year has been remarkably cold, but so far it is a one-off “cold event” rather than a trend.
