Any bets on the month of "peak global warming"?

The indications are that we’ve now seen the peak of El Nino. Some alarmists (clutching at straws) told me that the peak comes a “few months after” the El Nino peak, and true enough in recent El Nino’s in the warming phase of the 60year cycle the peak was delayed. But if I’m right we are now on the cooling phase of the 60 year cycle which might mean that the temperature peak occurs earlier.
My own view is that I’m expecting February to be marginally higher than January. However, there is an outside chance it will be lower (in which case this might be the first strong indication that we are in the cooling phase). However, global temperature is well known to be unpredictable, so there’s just as much chance that the peak will be delayed (there’s no well defined period from El Nino to the peak). Indeed, it’s not impossible we will see a drop in February and then the highest peak in March (just to annoy everyone!)
What I do think is likely is that we will see global cooling this year (note I didn’t say over the year – just that from the peak to the end of the year will be cooling). What I don’t know is the the magnitude of that cooling or even if it sustains beyond this year.

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2 Responses to Any bets on the month of "peak global warming"?

  1. CC Reader says:

    UAH V6 Global Temperature Update for Feb. 2016: +0.83 deg. C (new record)
    March 1st, 2016 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.
    The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for February, 2016 is +0.83 deg. C, up almost 0.3 deg C from the January value of +0.54 deg. C (click for full size version), which is a new record for the warmest monthly anomaly since satellite monitoring began in late 1978. (If clicking on the image leads to an error, this is due to “caching issues” according to my new website hosting company…I don’t know how to fix it.)

  2. So, when do you think we will start to see global cooling? Next month? The month after or when?

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