After extensive & thorough testing against the climatic science evidence (aka models), I am now ready to reveal to the world the latest state of the art climate prediction system. The current forecast is below:
Forecast model
My 100 year forecast
(97% accurate)
The above image was supposed to change each time it is viewed, but unfortunately, wordpress caches the file which spoils the joke. For a working demo see: uburns.com
Please note, that as a real time system constantly taking account of new temperature data (both modern and historical) the temperature prediction may vary slightly between views. This is to be expected as it is having to constantly adapt to new 20th century temperature data.
Note: whilst every endeavour has been made to ensure this model is 97% accurate – it should not be relied on for any commercial, industrial, military, medical, governmental, agricultural, marine, fictional, crossword, scrabble or any other form of intellectual use.
Hey SS, you’ll make a real climate scientist yet!
When I look at the image all I see is a naked woman!
That’s too esoteric! I think each of us sees our own special forecast. If you look carefully, you can even see the point where kick the bucket .. oh no! That’s just dirt on my screen.
I think your model has predicted my lawn… Using my lawn as a model of your model I can push the prediction further into the future and I can confidently claim temperature in 500 years will look like an azalea.
If it were my lawn – there would have to be a flat bit where my son had a bonfire!
Pay the cheapest expert
J. Scott Armstrong found:
“People are willing to pay heavily for expert advice. . . .evidence, however, implies that this money is poorly spent. . . .
I have come up with what I call the “seersucker theory”: “No matter how much evidence exists that seers do not exist, suckers will pay for the existence of seers. . . .
expertise beyond a minimal level is of little value in forecasting change. . . .its implication is clear: Don’t hire the best expert, hire the cheapest expert.”
The seer-sucker theory: the value of experts in forecasting
I think you qualify as the “cheapest expert” with prediction likely more accurate than IPCC/Gore.
Your projection is similar though not quite as conservative as Armstrong’s “no change” forecast.