Dito
Coming back from some time away I find another round of articles revealing the massive costs of the green economic suicide and the inevitable demise of both the green fantasy and those who made they money from that fantasy.
There is now no need to try and persuade anyone of the insanity … mother nature and father economics are doing it all for us.
It looks like I will be busy for the next few weeks. So I may not have much time or inclination to comment.
So, if things do go belly up, before I return, I’d just like to say so long and thanks for popping by.
May the fates be kind to you and hopefully see you after,
Scottish Sceptic
It appears that an announcement on the delivery of nuclear ready Tomahawks to Cuba/Ukraine may be made as soon as tomorrow (Fri 16th)
Putin is not going to back down, however he could easily take a conventional attack.
However Trump is now on the edge with the US and EU about to collapse. The truth is that after plundering Iraq, the US now desperately needs to plunder another cash cow, which is why they are desperately eyeing up Venezuela, presumably because Iran proved to be too hard a nut to crack … and as for Syria … that has turned out really well for them! The problem is the US is less and less attractive as a strategic partner, and if the only tool in your bag is regime change, that is just as likely to move the regime even further against the US. The US is getting desperate and even with the best president the US is likely to do something stupid, but with Trump the “master bluffer” … it’s not a pretty prospect.
The US bankers are now demanding their pound of US heart, and Trump really has to do whatever they tell him to do, and what they are clearly telling him to do is to take down Russia and hand it over to the bankers to disembowel.
Which is why Putin is not going to hesitate at the appointed time to start the nuclear war.
Because if I were the Russians, I would have already made that decision many weeks in advance. Thus, they will not be responding to any event, so there is no way to predict the exact time, or even day of the attack. The doomsday clock could already be ticking and whilst Putin would have agreed to set it going, even Putin may not know the exact time or date that the attack starts. Because the west will assume that Putin will know and monitor his behaviour as part of the “alert process” warning of an attack.
The number of people dying from a Russia attack would be low. They are not going to waste missiles or drones killing civilians. So the reality in civilian populations could be in the range: 0.1% to 10%. However, it may be 90% amongst the kind of people who create and decide on wars like this.
No one has the ability to store enough food and water to sustain them for the post-nuclear crisis life. After a nuclear exchange the international economy will collapse and those countries living on debt will find it impossible to buy food. The UK is already massively over-populated and in a post-nuclear economy, food production output will collapse.
It is likely that state of affairs will last for about a decade followed by a slow and irregularly spaced, in both time and geography, improvement over the next century.
The one thing that is going to be in demand in a post-nuclear world is people with practical skills. The groups who will find it extremely difficult to find work, are those whose only skill is “artistic” or selling luxury goods to idiots with too much money.
So, if I were a government spin doctor or a psyops boron, or a BBC executive of diversity, I would be terrified. They are going to be a target at every level.
It seems to me, the best way to prepare for the nuclear war is to have a holiday. Clear out the mental mess and get the brain back in order for the challenges ahead.
(And I doubt you’ll see that on any government run prepper site!)
It has occurred to me, that if I and this blog survived a nuclear exchange, that there might be some people who ask “why didn’t you tell anyone?”
The simple answer is this: “because you would not have listened, and, even if you had, there was very little you could do about it.” The die is cast. If that die brings us to nuclear war, you will have to face it whatever I say. And why not let you have these last carefree days, because I can’t see any practical way to help. Because, whilst it will be very clear after such a war to say “the best way to prepare would have been … ” at the moment, I cannot see anything I could suggest people do, which they would actually do. All I could do, is to give them more days of fear before such an event, without significantly altering the prospects after.
Also there is the huge risk, after the clear deliberate lies of government and doctors during covid, that we are again being lied to. That we are being deliberately fed misinformation in order to stir up some kind of event that has nothing to do with nuclear war.
So this is why I’m not telling anyone:
One day our headmaster at school said: “there will be a surprise fire alarm some day this week at 10am”. Most other people accepted that statement.
However, I then explained the problem: If the alarm did not happen on Mon-Thu and we got to Friday, it would not be a surprise when it happened on the only remaining timeslot: Friday. So it cannot happen on Friday.
So, then by similar logic, if we get to Wednesday and it has not happened, then it will not be a surprise on Thursday as that is the last day available. So, likewise, Thu, Wed, Tue and Mon can be eliminated.
However another approach says that on Friday there is only one possibility: Friday. But on Thursday there are two possibilities Thur/Fri. So Friday would be no surprise at all, but Thursday paradoxically will be a surprise to some. Thus it follows that the sooner the fire alarm occurred, the greater the surprise.
However, there is another effect: having been told on the preceding Friday that the alarm will be next week. More people will remember it on Monday than Tuesday, etc.
Russia will have spent a long time gaming the options running up to a nuclear war. And, logically, it will have a series of “shock” responses designed to halt that run up, either by demonstrating its capability or its readiness.
Some of those options will be entirely secret actions which I will never hear about. So, I have no idea what cards have already been played and certainly no idea of what cards are still to be played. Thus rather than working out the individual moves, all I can do is anticipate the overall strategy and guess where we might be in the sequence leading to nuclear war.
There is no doubt that the Russians will have worked very hard to give themselves extra levers to pull in the run up to nuclear war. There is also no doubt we are close to nuclear war. And, there is no doubt that Trump is an evil arrogant fool whose self-belief in his ability to “make the deal” is as bad or even worse than the incompetence and brain-dead away with the ferries presidency of … Biden’s wife … that would have us wandering by mistake into nuclear war.
I know the Russians will have spent a lot of time and effort looking for ways to play their hand if nuclear ready Tomahawks are used. The problem is that the response of the Russians to the Tomahawks is unknown. It is either a preplanned tit-for-тат response (which can include nothing obvious), or it could be tit-for-NUCLEAR WAR. Because the option of going direct to nuclear war may be the most advantageous to Russia.
I’ve just been to some prepper forums and I can honestly say that they haven’t a clue that we are standing right on the edge of nuclear war.
Rationally, this is exactly how the Russians would want to start a nuclear exchange: with no one in the west even talking about the possibility. So, minimal interest in so called “prepper” sites.
However my confidence in those sites, which didn’t start very high, has just fallen through the floor. There is now a realistic pathway to nuclear war within days, and they are all but silent? Do the Russians run them all? Or do they just respond to the latest article in some CIA produced propaganda rag mag dressed up as “information from an anonymous sauce” (misspelling intended)
So I went to the people who know the least and give least information – the snoozepapers … and it’s much of the same dross we always get. What there is, is clearly the result of some more press releases or other using “nuclear” as a way to get headlines and not genuine concern.
That is the crux question. And, knowing how Trump “thinks”, he will imagine that he’s some “genius” poker player who has given the Russians only one option which the Russians see is the total destruction of their country, and Trump will imagine that forcing the Russians to accept his bluff or nuclear war will lead to only one outcome. It will, but the Russians will obviously pick nuclear war. Except they know Trump is a prat and I guess they know he’s a bluffer.
This is utterly crazy. Even the prepper nutters aren’t showing any alarm. Everything is quiet, yet logically, within days, the Russians will be in a position where I can see no option but nuclear war … and I have absolutely no doubt they will do it.
But, is there no alternative?
The Russians have been very good at pulling out alternative options from the hat when I imagined there was none left. So, just because I can’t see any other alternative, doesn’t mean there isn’t one.
What I do know, is that the Russians totally pulled the wool over the eyes of western “intelligence”. So, they have no ideas about the scale or intent of Russia preparation. They are more clueless in that regard than I am.
However, I am totally lacking information about Russia alternative actions.
If war does occur, then this could well be my last post. So, I would just like to take the opportunity to thank anyone who may read this.
Of course, from a gambling perspective, it is much better to bet on no war. Because no one in the future is going to read this if this is the last post, but if it isn’t, I get the kudos afterwards of predicting the war wasn’t going to happen.
So, even if a 80% chance of this being the last article, the only winning option is to bet on the 20% chance that nothing will happen.
I read another “I told you so” about the collapse of the so called “Paris Agreement”.
I seem to recall I laughed at when it came out. Yet far too many sceptics seemed to believe that just because a bunch of know-nothing idiot politicians had got someone else to book their flights to Paris and actually managed to stay on the plane till it arrived, and then found a pen and managed to sign their own name to something none of them understood, that somehow the sceptics imagined it would change the world.
It has not, and it will not. The world carries on whether or not the idiots who signed the paris agreement want it to or not. They have very little control, and they chose to exercise the small amount of control they did have, in the most stupid manner possible. It was not difficult to predict failure, because there was no other outcome.
So, we are yet again standing on the edge of nuclear war. Continue reading
I missed one vital piece of information. There is no way for Russia to tell whether it is being attacked by conventional warheads or nuclear.
As such, Russia has to respond as if they are nuclear. And, then I cannot see any other outcome after than than a nuclear war.
So, If the US fires Tomahawks at Russia from Ukraine (and it is the US firing them), then we must assume WWIII is starting.
The Russians have no red lines. They have no lines that if they are crossed necessitate action, and they have no red lines that have to be crossed before there is action. They will start WWIII when it is advantageous to them to start it rather than not. That has nothing at all to do with any red line being crossed.
Nor will they respond to Tomahawks being fired using the defence they plan for a nuclear attack, because that reveals their hand. Nor will they attack in a limited “conventional” way with nuclear ready weapons, for that allows the unproven US “defence” system to be tested. Nor will they allow the Tomahawks to be a success.
If you let loose a herd of raging buffalo, and the only way they can go is through the kindergarten, then whether the Kindergarten is a few meters or miles away, if that is the only path than can be followed, the raging buffaloes will kill the children, whether it seems directly connected or not.
Once the Russians are tipped into a nuclear war scenario, even by one nuclear ready missile, they have very little option but to play to win completely. And, the best way to win completely is an attack totally out of the blue.
Yes the Russians are currently doing all they can to avoid civilian casualties and indeed probably unnecessary governmental and military casualties. But, once WWIII starts, the Russians will no longer want to play the “victim” of US aggression. For they couldn’t care less about what anyone thinks of them if they are forced to play the nuclear hand. They will not be looking for any brownie points, just victory at all costs.
All that nice guy stuff about avoiding civilian casualties goes out the window as soon as they are pushed down the nuclear option. After WWIII the winner will writing the history books any way. The loser will be just another centrist Socialist …. sorry National Socialist aka “Hitler” whoever wins.
I have no idea what morons are running the “west’s” aggressive policy of hatred toward Russians and about everyone else on the planet, but whereas there may have been some that doubted Putin’s stance against the west, they will now be silenced by the behaviour of the hate-mongers of the west.
Brics is now secured success. Because it is quite clear the west cannot be trusted and sooner or later they will be using long range missiles on every single country that does not bow and scrape to whatever latest evil the EU & US elites are pushing from genocide to ethnic cleansing to the worst kind of pornography & racism. Unless the world embraces the vile western “values” and allow themselves and their economies to be raped by the “western” “?elites?” then they too will have long range weapons targetted on their women and children like the Palestinians.
Over the last few years of Totalitarians of the west, it has been made clear to the rest of the world that it has to put aside its differences and unite behind Russia and China and make the Brics project a success. And given the blatant lies and evil actions of the west, no one will believe them one little bit. “Western values” are nothing but a joke.
And, I am glad they do not read this, so I can say it out loud where they cannot hear, because the sooner the world unites against the people who took over the west, the better it is for the world and even us in the west.
The problem with Nut Zero, is that it is a long term policy of economic suicide. And, once you set out on the path, it becomes hugely difficult to change the outcome, because Nut zero ingrains economic suicide within the economy so that it will continue collapsing long after they wake up and attempt to stop it.
That is why the Russians and Chinese were so keen for the west to adopt Nut Zero.
Given the appalling evil we have seen where governments have been helping the genocide of the original people of Palestine, that evil in the west means it is hard to say the Russians and Chinese were wrong.
The Brics nations, led by Russia and China are now undermining the western financial system with the west uses to suck dry the global economy and pour the money into the hands of “western” bankers (they aren’t our bankers).
The west is now up to its eyeballs in debt, and in no position with withstand a financial collapse created as the west attempts to attack the Brics nations (thereby undermining the credibility of the west more and more).
And Trump … he is just making everything worse. The world wants free of the US global bully boy and that is why they turned to Brics. So, Trump doubling down and boosting the global bully boy stunts is doing more than anything else to grow support for Brics.
It is hard to watch people like Trump destroying and taking down the west. For that is what he is doing. The worst is knowing that Russia and China are not that much better. But, Trump is giving the world little choice but to go along with the Brics plan.
We now have rock bottom confidence in politicians after the covid jab scandal. And, what insanity are the doing? Digital IDs that is certain to get Reform elected.
They are pushing for higher energy prices from Nut Zero … and they double down on that as well.
Putin allowed the west to take all that money … to show the world that their money was not safe in western banks. And, what do they do? They pretend to lend money someone else’s money, when all they are doing is lending their own, and not only will they have to repay the Russians all the money no matter what they get up to, but they undermine the credibility of western banking and finance at the same time.
It’s embarrassing knowing that “our” politicians have been completely utterly outsmarted by the Russians, but that is the truth.
