Prediction: Paris Climate Talks will be cancelled early next week

After the appalling events in Paris last night, many have started questioning the wisdom of going ahead with COP21.
If anyone has been following the run up to what I was calling the “DeadParrotTalks” (but in light of events that does not seem appropriate), you will know that for months many Greens are widely predicting the talks to be a failure. However, normally, such is the momentum of these things, that they are never called off.
However, I think they will now be cancelled for the following reasons:
World Leaders will cancel

The first thing, is that coming out of the blue and so soon before the Paris conference, World leaders are not going to want to gather together to present themselves as a choice terrorist target in Paris. Also, many have their own home grown terrorists and would not wish to be seen wasting their time at a failed conference.
The Delegates will cancel
Research by of all people, Lewandowsky, shows that the kind of people attending these events are the more gullible in society. They ignore the actual risk and instead they focus on the perceived risk. So, just as they can be persuaded that a minuscule increase in plant food is the greatest evil of humanity “worse than terrorism” – well you can imagine what a real risk like actual terrorism will do to them. Many will find “very important” reasons why they are needed elsewhere
Due to the international nature, there will now be a much increased security risk at any COP21
Because of these event, the French police, if COP21 went ahead, would need to devote perhaps 2x to 3x the resources they had intended to enable to talks to go ahead safely (and even more to make delegates feel safe)
The French Police have far more important things to do than baby sit a lot of climate hysterics.
When I heard that some 30,000 French police were already starting to prepare for COP21, it was obvious that these talks were going to be a massive drain on the same anti-terrorist police resources that are now needed to track down and stop these terrorists and any future attacks.
The French president and other politicians will have far more important things to do

Right now, the last thing anyone in Paris is concerned with is a climate that has not warmed for 18 years. And any politician seen working on any other issue than this terrorism (and certainly something as frivolous as climate) is going to feel the wrath of public anger. So, COP21 is now an unwelcome distraction which may well bring a lot of anger for any French politician wasting time on it.
The talks will be a failure
They would welcome an excuse to pull the plug

The rational thing is to pull the plug

The obvious thing for the French police to do, is to pull out the 30,000 police assigned for these talks – which are not going anywhere soon anyway and even the greens will admit can be delayed for at least another year – and deploy them on finding, capturing and destroying support for these terrorists.
Fundamentally, it boils down to this: many will now not attend COP21, and the only way most of the other COP21 delegates will now attend the conference in Paris, is if the Police in Paris drop the terrorist investigation and devote their whole time to protecting the COP21 delegates. One of these is going to have to give: the terrorist investigation and protection of public safety – or some talks already known to be a failure which likely many delegates would not attend even if every second person were armed police.
So, I predict, that very early next week, the French President will ask the UN to cancel the talks.

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9 Responses to Prediction: Paris Climate Talks will be cancelled early next week

  1. oldbrew says:

    ‘The French Police have far more important things to do than baby sit a lot of climate hysterics.’
    Quite so.

  2. Ron Clutz says:

    Still, Bernie Sanders is channeling Bill McKibben, saying the Paris terrorist attacks show how urgent is the climate change “problem.”

  3. Keefee says:

    Definition of “Global temperature” please.

  4. Scottish-Sceptic says:

    With everything falling apart for the climate scare this year, so we no know there’s been no warming in any sense since 1998, 1990 (or whatever the start is for the NASA staudy of Antarctic ice) there’s no excuse at all to link it with climate.
    Moreover I see Syrian grain harvests went up massively over the supposed period of warming – so if there’s any correlation it is that improvements in agricultural yield that were in part due to rising CO2, caused … Isis? How can anyone make that claim with a straight face?

  5. Scottish-Sceptic says:

    The average temperature a person would experience if you could average every unit of area over time. Ideally from a dense network of stations. But since we don’t have anything like that, and the network we do have is full of forged adjustments, I’d use the satellite average.

  6. The satellite data is subject to more adjustments than the land stations.

  7. Scottish-Sceptic says:

    So no doubt, those doing the measurements are under huge pressure from idiots like you trying to force them to fabricate the warming like NOAA and NASA – so all credit to them for resisting it so far.

  8. Keefee says:

    Is there a definition?
    Place.
    Instrument.
    Time and date.
    Environment.
    How to average mass readings
    Etc, etc.
    Quantification please.

  9. You’re right, of course, I have a personal hotline to NASA/NOAA/Roy Spencer which I use to give them hell if temperatures haven’t risen in the past month. Roy gets it the worst as he refuses to believe in what we need to do.

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