Ukraine Collapsing

After Zelensky’s spat with Trump and his refusal to apologise, and basically Zelensky treating the US like a beggar with a grudge against those who gave them money, it appears the US is ending all supplies of military equipment and money to Ukraine. It is also moving to end sanctions on Russia.

(Addendum: US is also “to Cease All Offensive Cyberoperations Against Russia”)

That leaves the EU & Starmer isolated as the only supporters left. But, it now appears that the EU is split about sending troops, with Italy refusing to kill its own people for the power hungry oligarchs in Brussel. And Hungarian has put a spanner in the works of the next huge financing of the war by the EU.

That leaves, Starmer, who has almost no support in the UK, and even less for going to war, as the only nation state in a position to actually continue funding the deaths and destruction.

Long before the election, I predicted Starmer would go within two years. It looked an insane prediction, even by the standard of some I have made. But, just as I predicted the Tories would be kicked out, when they were still riding high in the polls, so I predicted Starmer would leave when it looked crazy. He’s heading that way!

Starmer is about to go down, as a tyrant, supported by only a tiny number of people in the UK. A tyrant who is spending money on Nut Zero and Ukraine as if there is no tomorrow (and note! Not the army!). A tyrant who attacked anyone proud to be British as “far right” … and now a tyrant attempting to start WWIII … for who? Not for Britain … because that is “far right” and despite WWIII being a big NO for Nut Zero.

You couldn’t make it up.

Starmer is going to end up being the only one still supporting the literally Nazi regime of Ukraine … as it crashes, which it is now inevitable.

At the current rate, within 3 to 6 months, Ukraine will have run out of weaponry.  The Russian federation know that, and know that if they increase the pressure, that figure comes down massively.

As I also pointed out in Boudica’s last battle … logistics take a long time to build up, and the UK simply doesn’t have the time of means to get deeply enough involved in Ukraine to make any material difference.

It does look like the EU’s appalling behaviour, pushing Nato east against the clear promises to Russia, breaking the Minsk treaty and encouraging aggression against Russia, has entirely back fired. The EU is now very lacking friends:

  1. To the west, it has really upset the Trump administration by openly supporting and backing Biden and his assault against the US people.
  2. In the UK, the EU’s behaviour after Brexit will never be forgiven.
  3. In the Russian Federation … never is a long time, but probably Russia’s anger at the EU will last longer than the EU.
  4. The arab world … which lies to the south, is not very happy with the EU either, after the support for the genocide of Palestinians.
  5. Former soviet countries to the east … are sick to death with the EU stirring up trouble in their countries.
  6. And Ukraine is going to be ditched by the EU. And the Russian speakers in Ukraine are never going to forgive the EU for what it did.

Addendum

Just read this:

the lack of intelligence data will be especially sensitive, since American “eyes” allow the Ukrainian Armed Forces to “see” far. The most important components of American support for Ukraine are weapons and their maintenance, air defence missiles for protecting cities, Starlink for military communications and intelligence sharing.

It had not occurred to me these were going and so I had not considered the consequences, but they are MEGA MASSIVE. One of the biggest problems for the Russians is the ability of Ukraine to tap into satellite data and to see anything and everything happening, and perhaps as importantly, to tap into US systems to turn incidental intelligence (like a photo) into meaningful data about the battlefield.

Likewise satellite comms, is extremely difficult to interrupt and that has allowed very quick transfer of large amounts of data without interruption. If that data (videos of the battlefield) are then sent almost real time to an army of intelligence analysts in the US and GCHQ, then they can almost real time guide the Ukrainians in the most effective way to fight the Russians.

The result is that the Russians have to constantly operate in a “safe mode” that prevents the eyes in the sky providing the Ukrainians advantage.

Obviously the Russians also have a lot of the technology, and an army of sympathetic population more than willing to help in Ukraine. So, there does appear to have been some degree of parity in the intelligence war.

But, take away the “eyes in the sky” and satellite comms, and  that IMMEDIATELY affects  the war, much quicker and more decisively than cutting off arms.

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